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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 30, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs67%106118
21Warriors33%10098
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.6
32.6
29.0
15
44%
18
11
0
1
2
2
6
12
3-5
60%
6-15
6-11
40%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.3
30.4
33.3
27
80%
6
3
5
2
0
2
0
6
8-9
89%
5-6
4-7
83%
51%
3-7
43%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.4
30.4
29.8
12
56%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
0-3
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
29.6
34.2
12
40%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
6-14
7-13
43%
52%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.6
28.3
11.2
16
50%
10
0
2
0
0
1
5
5
2-2
100%
7-15
2-4
47%
52%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.6
27.7
29.4
12
55%
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
8-9
89%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
19.9
17.1
14
79%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
2-4
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
15.3
17.9
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.3
11.7
5.1
2
100%
1
0
3
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 25.9
7.9
11.1
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.2
3.3
16.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
3.0
5.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.0
42.3
40.0
13
41%
5
2
0
1
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
46%
1-5
20%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
40.1
30.2
32
69%
3
5
1
2
1
5
1
2
3-3
100%
10-16
5-10
63%
48%
3-6
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
37.1
36.8
18
60%
7
5
2
1
0
3
3
4
4-7
57%
7-12
7-14
58%
53%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
33.2
40.5
12
38%
0
3
1
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
6-13
8-15
46%
49%
0-3
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
31.2
30.2
4
33%
18
2
0
1
0
2
4
14
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
58%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.7
19.1
10.0
7
44%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
11.9
8.8
3
44%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
11.4
19.9
4
72%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
6.6
13.8
2
100%
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 24.8
3.6
14.7
3
104%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
3.6
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
5.4
0
0-1
42%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.