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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 29, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bucks34%9188
9Jazz66%96109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
40.5
30.4
18
77%
6
0
3
1
0
4
2
4
4-4
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.2
33.0
35.6
27
56%
2
4
3
1
0
3
0
2
7-9
78%
4-11
4-11
36%
41%
4-9
44%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.2
32.5
32.2
2
25%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.0
30.2
34.4
6
24%
4
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
0-9
4-9
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.0
16.3
22.2
4
35%
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
4-6
67%
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
33.9
16.1
19
60%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
6-9
67%
2-7
2-4
29%
46%
3-5
60%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.6
23.1
19.0
8
37%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
1-3
38%
44%
0-2
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.7
18.9
10.5
4
100%
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.5
11.5
4.9
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.2
18.5
0
3-7
47%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
16.7
0
3-6
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.0
11.2
0
2-4
52%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.3
Darington Hobson
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
39.2
32.5
13
56%
8
4
0
1
4
2
3
5
5-6
83%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
0-2
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 25.9
31.4
32.6
22
79%
11
0
0
1
4
2
3
8
0-0
-
11-14
6-13
79%
50%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
30.3
36.0
22
80%
5
10
1
1
0
5
0
5
4-4
100%
6-8
5-10
75%
50%
2-4
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.8
29.3
32.0
8
57%
9
4
1
1
1
1
5
4
0-0
-
4-7
6-11
57%
54%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.2
24.0
27.6
10
36%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
5-12
2-4
42%
45%
0-2
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.5
27.4
16.0
12
75%
6
7
2
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
2-3
67%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
20.9
23.9
6
30%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
1-5
20%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.4
14.3
11.0
10
63%
3
0
3
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.8
12.5
15.4
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.9
5.8
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.7
3.0
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.1
1.9
1.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.