FinalWin Prob.pScore
2234%91
88
966%96
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
94.693103.9
UTA logo UTA
118.59283.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0UTAJAZZ Rebound88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0UTAMISS Hayward 20' Jump Shot88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILDouglas-Roberts 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0UTAPrice 3' Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Watson 7 AST)85
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILMISS Sanders 7' Jump Shot85
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:05MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07UTAMISS Price 21' Jump Shot85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MILMISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45UTAEvans 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Watson 6 AST)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54MILMISS Douglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 284
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07UTAWatson 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (D. Williams 10 AST)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26MILBrockman 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46UTAD. Williams 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00MILSanders Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00MILMISS Sanders Free Throw 1 of 281
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29MILMISS Dooling 23' Jump Shot81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46UTAJefferson 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04MILSanders Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04MILSanders Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06MILMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17UTAJefferson 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Kirilenko 4 AST)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20UTAMISS Miles 12' Running Jump Shot79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48UTAKirilenko 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05MILMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot77
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:17UTAMiles Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)77
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:21MILWatson STEAL (2 STL)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28MILBucks Rebound77
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:28MILKirilenko BLOCK (4 BLK)77
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:29MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:31MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 22' Jump Shot77
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:48UTAKirilenko 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)77
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:12UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:14MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:32UTAPrice Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)77
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 6:32UTAPrice Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)77
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 6:48MILDooling 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)77
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 6:54MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 6:56UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 7:19MILJennings 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS)75
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 7:35UTAWatson 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)73
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 7:51MILDooling Foul Turnover (P1.T11)73
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 8:02UTAPrice 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)73
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 8:32MILIlyasova Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)73
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 8:47UTAPrice Foul Turnover (P3.T18)73
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 8:49MILPrice STEAL (3 STL)73
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 8:55MILBucks Rebound73
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 8:57UTAMISS Price 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 9:07UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 9:09MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 2' Reverse Layup73
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 9:30UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 9:30UTAKirilenko 2' Tip Shot (9 PTS)73
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 9:32UTAMISS Miles 9' Turnaround Jump Shot73
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q4 - 9:53MILMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot73
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 10:20UTAJAZZ Rebound73
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 10:20UTAMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
4.6%
85
95.4%
Q4 - 10:20UTAMISS Miles Free Throw 1 of 273
4.8%
84
95.2%
Q4 - 10:26UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 10:27MILMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q4 - 10:38MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 10:39MILMISS Boykins 10' Jump Shot73
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q4 - 11:04UTAElson 13' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)73
6.3%
84
93.7%
Q4 - 11:21UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
7.7%
82
92.3%
Q4 - 11:22MILKirilenko BLOCK (3 BLK)73
8.2%
82
91.8%
Q4 - 11:45UTAMiles 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)73
9.3%
82
90.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL73
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound73
13.6%
80
86.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Ilyasova 67' 3PT Jump Shot73
12.0%
80
88.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0UTABell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)73
14.3%
80
85.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0MILIlyasova Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)73
12.2%
80
87.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0UTAJefferson 8' Jump Shot (18 PTS)73
14.2%
80
85.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0UTAMISS Watson 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
19.1%
78
80.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0UTAMISS Watson 6' Jump Shot73
19.1%
78
80.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0UTAMISS Bell 7' Jump Shot73
19.1%
78
80.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0MILDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0MILDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
16.7%
78
83.3%
Q3 - 1:04MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
14.7%
78
85.3%
Q3 - 1:05UTAMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot71
14.0%
78
86.0%
Q3 - 1:23UTAJAZZ Rebound71
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q3 - 1:24MILMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
13.2%
78
86.8%
Q3 - 1:46UTAJefferson 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)71
14.6%
78
85.4%
Q3 - 1:58MILWatson STEAL (1 STL)71
17.5%
76
82.5%
Q3 - 2:02UTAWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)71
20.6%
76
79.4%
Q3 - 2:10UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)71
17.8%
76
82.2%
Q3 - 2:11UTAMISS Miles 1' Layup71
19.7%
76
80.3%
Q3 - 2:28UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
17.8%
76
82.2%
Q3 - 2:29MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 271
18.1%
76
81.9%
Q3 - 2:29MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)71
20.2%
76
79.8%
Q3 - 2:29UTAWatson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)70
17.7%
76
82.3%
Q3 - 2:33UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)70
15.2%
76
84.8%
Q3 - 2:35MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
15.9%
76
84.1%
Q3 - 2:46UTAMillsap 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)70
17.7%
76
82.3%
Q3 - 3:00MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)70
20.7%
74
79.3%
Q3 - 3:00MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 1 of 269
20.2%
74
79.8%
Q3 - 3:07MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
21.1%
74
78.9%
Q3 - 3:10UTAMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot69
20.1%
74
79.9%
Q3 - 3:22MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)69
18.1%
74
81.9%
Q3 - 3:22MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
17.7%
74
82.3%
Q3 - 3:25UTAMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)67
15.7%
74
84.3%
Q3 - 3:28UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)67
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q3 - 3:30UTAMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
14.9%
74
85.1%
Q3 - 3:49UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q3 - 3:51MILJefferson BLOCK (4 BLK)67
14.0%
74
86.0%
Q3 - 4:10UTAJefferson 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)67
16.1%
74
83.9%
Q3 - 4:24UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
18.2%
72
81.8%
Q3 - 4:25UTAMISS D. Williams 18' Jump Shot67
20.4%
72
79.6%
Q3 - 4:50UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
18.2%
72
81.8%
Q3 - 4:51MILMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
19.1%
72
80.9%
Q3 - 5:09UTABell 2' Layup (10 PTS)67
21.5%
72
78.5%
Q3 - 5:12UTABell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
24.1%
70
75.9%
Q3 - 5:14UTAMISS Bell 1' Reverse Layup67
26.5%
70
73.5%
Q3 - 5:16UTAJAZZ Rebound67
24.1%
70
75.9%
Q3 - 5:18UTAMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot67
26.5%
70
73.5%
Q3 - 5:34MILIlyasova 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)67
24.1%
70
75.9%
Q3 - 5:56UTAKirilenko 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)65
21.5%
70
78.5%
Q3 - 6:12MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)65
24.3%
68
75.7%
Q3 - 6:20MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
19.1%
68
80.9%
Q3 - 6:21UTAMISS Millsap 20' Jump Shot62
18.2%
68
81.8%
Q3 - 6:38MILJennings 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS)62
16.5%
68
83.5%
Q3 - 6:45MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q3 - 6:47UTAMISS Kirilenko 2' Driving Layup60
13.9%
68
86.1%
Q3 - 7:04MILIlyasova Foul Turnover (P1.T6)60
13.0%
68
87.0%
Q3 - 7:09MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
14.9%
68
85.1%
Q3 - 7:10UTAMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
14.3%
68
85.7%
Q3 - 7:25MILJennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
12.9%
68
87.1%
Q3 - 7:37UTAD. Williams Foul Turnover (P5.T13)57
9.9%
68
90.1%
Q3 - 7:55MILBell STEAL (1 STL)57
8.5%
68
91.5%
Q3 - 7:56MILBucks Rebound57
9.9%
68
90.1%
Q3 - 7:56MILKirilenko BLOCK (2 BLK)57
8.9%
68
91.1%
Q3 - 7:56MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
9.9%
68
90.1%
Q3 - 7:57MILKirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)57
8.9%
68
91.1%
Q3 - 8:18UTAD. Williams 3' Driving Layup (20 PTS)57
10.2%
68
89.8%
Q3 - 8:25UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 8:27MILMISS Mbah a Moute 21' Jump Shot57
12.0%
66
88.0%
Q3 - 8:37UTAJefferson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)57
13.3%
66
86.7%
Q3 - 8:51MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)57
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 9:11UTAJefferson 2' Layup (12 PTS)54
9.1%
66
90.9%
Q3 - 9:29UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
10.3%
64
89.7%
Q3 - 9:31MILMISS Salmons 23' Jump Shot54
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q3 - 9:48UTAD. Williams 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)54
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 9:53MILMillsap STEAL (1 STL)54
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q3 - 10:01MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
15.6%
62
84.4%
Q3 - 10:03UTAMISS Millsap 4' Jump Shot54
15.0%
62
85.0%
Q3 - 10:14UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
13.7%
62
86.3%
Q3 - 10:16MILMISS Jennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
14.2%
62
85.8%
Q3 - 10:34MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
15.5%
62
84.5%
Q3 - 10:35UTAMISS Millsap 10' Jump Shot54
14.9%
62
85.1%
Q3 - 10:52UTAJAZZ Rebound54
13.7%
62
86.3%
Q3 - 10:52MILMISS Salmons 2' Driving Layup54
14.2%
62
85.8%
Q3 - 10:59UTAD. Williams Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)54
15.5%
62
84.5%
Q3 - 11:07UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
14.0%
62
86.0%
Q3 - 11:08MILMISS Jennings 8' Floating Jump Shot54
14.6%
62
85.4%
Q3 - 11:33UTAD. Williams 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)54
15.9%
62
84.1%
Q3 - 11:48MILIlyasova 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Salmons 4 AST)54
17.7%
60
82.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL52
15.9%
60
84.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAWatson 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)52
16.1%
60
83.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
20.6%
57
79.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute 21' Jump Shot52
21.1%
57
78.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0UTAD. Williams 20' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
22.2%
57
77.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0MILIlyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)52
25.1%
55
74.9%
Q2 - 1:09UTAJefferson 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)49
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q2 - 1:28MILJennings 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)49
22.9%
53
77.1%
Q2 - 1:45UTAJefferson 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)46
18.1%
53
81.9%
Q2 - 2:01MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
20.5%
51
79.5%
Q2 - 2:01MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
20.1%
51
79.9%
Q2 - 2:16UTAJefferson 2' Layup (6 PTS)44
18.6%
51
81.4%
Q2 - 2:31UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
20.5%
49
79.5%
Q2 - 2:32MILMISS Salmons 17' Jump Shot44
21.1%
49
78.9%
Q2 - 2:44UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
22.7%
49
77.3%
Q2 - 2:44UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
23.0%
48
77.0%
Q2 - 2:51UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
25.0%
47
75.0%
Q2 - 2:53MILWatson BLOCK (1 BLK)44
25.7%
47
74.3%
Q2 - 3:00MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
27.4%
47
72.6%
Q2 - 3:03MILMISS Jennings 12' Running Jump Shot44
25.7%
47
74.3%
Q2 - 3:16UTAWatson 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)44
27.6%
47
72.4%
Q2 - 3:31MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
29.7%
45
70.3%
Q2 - 3:31MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)43
29.2%
45
70.8%
Q2 - 3:45UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
27.6%
45
72.4%
Q2 - 3:45UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 242
28.1%
44
71.9%
Q2 - 4:00UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
27.2%
44
72.8%
Q2 - 4:02MILMISS Salmons 3PT Jump Shot42
27.9%
44
72.1%
Q2 - 4:14MILBucks Rebound42
29.8%
44
70.2%
Q2 - 4:15UTAMISS Kirilenko 6' Running Jump Shot42
29.0%
44
71.0%
Q2 - 4:34UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
27.1%
44
72.9%
Q2 - 4:35MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 3PT Jump Shot42
27.9%
44
72.1%
Q2 - 5:04UTAD. Williams 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)42
29.7%
44
70.3%
Q2 - 5:16MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)42
32.3%
42
67.7%
Q2 - 5:16MILMISS Douglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 241
31.9%
42
68.1%
Q2 - 5:19UTAPrice Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)41
32.2%
42
67.8%
Q2 - 5:34MILDooling 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
29.7%
42
70.3%
Q2 - 5:41MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
27.3%
42
72.7%
Q2 - 5:43MILJefferson BLOCK (3 BLK)39
25.7%
42
74.3%
Q2 - 6:00MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
27.3%
42
72.7%
Q2 - 6:01UTAMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot39
26.8%
42
73.2%
Q2 - 6:18UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
25.0%
42
75.0%
Q2 - 6:19UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
26.8%
42
73.2%
Q2 - 6:36UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
25.0%
42
75.0%
Q2 - 6:37MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 13' Fadeaway Jumper39
25.8%
42
74.2%
Q2 - 7:02UTAMiles 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)39
27.4%
42
72.6%
Q2 - 7:08UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
31.9%
39
68.1%
Q2 - 7:11MILMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot39
32.7%
39
67.3%
Q2 - 7:25UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
34.5%
39
65.5%
Q2 - 7:25UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 7:40MILIlyasova 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)39
36.9%
37
63.1%
Q2 - 7:54UTAWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)36
32.1%
37
67.9%
Q2 - 8:23MILSalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)36
36.7%
34
63.3%
Q2 - 8:40UTAPrice 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)33
31.9%
34
68.1%
Q2 - 8:45MILPrice STEAL (2 STL)33
34.2%
32
65.8%
Q2 - 8:54MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
36.7%
32
63.3%
Q2 - 8:55UTAMISS Watson 5' Running Bank Shot33
36.0%
32
64.0%
Q2 - 9:12MILDouglas-Roberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)33
33.9%
32
66.1%
Q2 - 9:27UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)30
29.5%
32
70.5%
Q2 - 9:37MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)30
27.3%
32
72.7%
Q2 - 9:37MILMISS Douglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 229
26.9%
32
73.1%
Q2 - 10:00UTAPrice 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
27.4%
32
72.6%
Q2 - 10:06MILPrice STEAL (1 STL)29
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q2 - 10:28UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)29
31.7%
30
68.3%
Q2 - 10:31UTAJAZZ Rebound29
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q2 - 10:32UTAMISS Price 23' Jump Shot29
31.0%
30
69.0%
Q2 - 10:56MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q2 - 10:56MILMISS Salmons Free Throw 1 of 228
29.0%
30
71.0%
Q2 - 10:59UTAMiles Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)28
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q2 - 11:16UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
27.3%
30
72.7%
Q2 - 11:18MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 20' Jump Shot28
28.0%
30
72.0%
Q2 - 11:33UTAPrice Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q2 - 11:47MILDooling 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brockman 1 AST)28
27.3%
30
72.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL26
25.5%
30
74.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAElson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)26
25.5%
30
74.5%
Q1 - 0:11.0MILDouglas-Roberts 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)26
27.5%
28
72.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0UTABell 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)23
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
25.6%
26
74.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0UTAMISS Miles 3PT Jump Shot23
26.6%
26
73.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
25.6%
26
74.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
25.2%
26
74.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
23.4%
26
76.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0UTAMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
23.0%
26
77.0%
Q1 - 1:15MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
22.3%
26
77.7%
Q1 - 1:15MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
22.1%
26
77.9%
Q1 - 1:29MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
20.3%
26
79.7%
Q1 - 1:30UTAMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
20.0%
26
80.0%
Q1 - 1:55UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19.2%
26
80.8%
Q1 - 1:56MILMISS Jennings 9' Fadeaway Jumper19
19.5%
26
80.5%
Q1 - 2:19UTAD. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)19
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q1 - 2:29UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
24.1%
23
75.9%
Q1 - 2:31MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 3PT Jump Shot19
24.5%
23
75.5%
Q1 - 2:45UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)19
25.6%
23
74.4%
Q1 - 2:57MILDouglas-Roberts 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)19
24.1%
23
75.9%
Q1 - 3:01UTAD. Williams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)17
22.4%
23
77.6%
Q1 - 3:02UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
20.8%
23
79.2%
Q1 - 3:08UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
21.9%
23
78.1%
Q1 - 3:23MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
20.8%
23
79.2%
Q1 - 3:23MILBrockman 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)17
20.8%
23
79.2%
Q1 - 3:25MILMISS Jennings 6' Jump Shot15
18.4%
23
81.6%
Q1 - 3:45UTAMillsap 19' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
19.4%
23
80.6%
Q1 - 4:04UTAJAZZ Rebound15
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 4:05MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q1 - 4:10MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
22.3%
21
77.7%
Q1 - 4:11MILMISS Jennings 2' Driving Layup15
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q1 - 4:22MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
22.3%
21
77.7%
Q1 - 4:23UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
21.8%
21
78.2%
Q1 - 4:35MILIlyasova 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)15
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 4:52UTABell 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)13
19.4%
21
80.6%
Q1 - 5:09MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 1 AST)13
20.9%
19
79.1%
Q1 - 5:22UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
18.4%
19
81.6%
Q1 - 5:22UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
18.6%
18
81.4%
Q1 - 5:23UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 5:24UTAMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot10
20.6%
17
79.4%
Q1 - 5:31MILD. Williams STEAL (1 STL)10
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 5:39MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
21.1%
17
78.9%
Q1 - 5:40UTAMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot10
20.6%
17
79.4%
Q1 - 5:56MILJennings 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 6:07UTAMillsap 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)8
18.4%
17
81.6%
Q1 - 6:23MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
19.7%
15
80.3%
Q1 - 6:44UTABell 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)5
17.2%
15
82.8%
Q1 - 6:48UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
18.4%
13
81.6%
Q1 - 6:50MILMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)5
18.8%
13
81.2%
Q1 - 7:06UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)5
19.9%
13
80.1%
Q1 - 7:06UTAJefferson 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)5
19.9%
13
80.1%
Q1 - 7:08UTAMISS D. Williams 9' Floating Jump Shot5
22.1%
11
77.9%
Q1 - 7:21UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
21.1%
11
78.9%
Q1 - 7:22MILMISS Salmons 7' Jump Shot5
21.5%
11
78.5%
Q1 - 7:49UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)5
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 8:03UTAJAZZ Rebound5
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 8:03MILMISS Ilyasova 2' Layup5
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 8:04MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
26.9%
8
73.1%
Q1 - 8:05MILMISS Jennings 4' Jump Shot5
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 8:13UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)5
26.9%
8
73.1%
Q1 - 8:29MILIlyasova 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)5
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 8:45UTABell 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)3
23.9%
8
76.1%
Q1 - 9:01MILMbah a Moute 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)3
25.7%
6
74.3%
Q1 - 9:17UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)1
24.3%
6
75.7%
Q1 - 9:17UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
24.5%
5
75.5%
Q1 - 9:24UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
25.7%
4
74.3%
Q1 - 9:25MILMISS Salmons 18' Jump Shot1
26.1%
4
73.9%
Q1 - 9:32UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)1
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 9:53UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
25.7%
4
74.3%
Q1 - 9:54MILMISS Sanders Free Throw 2 of 21
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 9:54MILSanders Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 10:06MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 10:08UTAMISS Jefferson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot0
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 10:20UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 10:22UTAMISS Bell 13' Jump Shot0
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 10:29UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 10:30MILJefferson BLOCK (2 BLK)0
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 10:47UTAMillsap 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 11:01UTAJAZZ Rebound0
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 11:02MILMISS Jennings 17' Jump Shot0
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 11:08UTAJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 11:25UTAJAZZ Rebound0
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 11:25MILJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)0
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 11:48UTAJefferson 2' Layup (2 PTS)0
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 11:49UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 11:50UTAMISS Kirilenko 3' Layup0
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Jefferson vs. Sanders: Tip to Kirilenko0
30.0%
0
70.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.93 46.3%
UTA
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
7
15
47%
UTA
26
32
81%
Midrange
MIL
9
37
24%
UTA
15
35
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
UTA
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
MIL
26
34
76%
UTA
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings2756%13.5 / 24
C. Douglas-Roberts1959%9.5 / 16
E. Ilyasova1875%9.0 / 12
K. Dooling836%4.0 / 11
J. Salmons623%3.0 / 13
L. Sanders433%2.0 / 6
J. Brockman4100%2.0 / 2
L. Mbah a Moute225%1.0 / 4
E. Boykins0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson2279%11.0 / 14
D. Williams2279%11.0 / 14
A. Kirilenko1354%6.5 / 12
E. Watson1275%6.0 / 8
R. Bell1036%5.0 / 14
R. Price1063%5.0 / 8
P. Millsap857%4.0 / 7
C. Miles630%3.0 / 10
F. Elson4100%2.0 / 2
J. Evans2100%1.0 / 1
G. Hayward0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
81
+13
-12
94
UTA
74
+19
-18
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.93 46.3%
UTA
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.9
108.2
MIL 94.6 +23.9
UTA 118.5
Pace
89.6
91.0
MIL 103.9 +20.6
UTA 83.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.2
MIL 13.9 +3.4
UTA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.7%
49.8%
MIL 41.3%
UTA 57.7% +16.4%
TO %
13.9%
14.8%
MIL 11.8% +6.4%
UTA 18.2%
ORB %
24.8%
26.9%
MIL 22.0%
UTA 48.5% +26.5%
FTrt
28.7
31.3
MIL 45.3 +28.6
UTA 16.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
62.7%
MIL 61.5% +0.6%
UTA 60.9%
STL %
8.3%
8.3%
MIL 11.8% +3.1%
UTA 8.7%
BLK %
7.9%
9.9%
MIL 3.0%
UTA 19.2% +16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.5%
52.9%
MIL 46.3%
UTA 58.6% +12.3%
Rim FG%
53.9%
60.3%
MIL 46.7%
UTA 81.3% +34.6%
Mid FG%
39.0%
40.0%
MIL 24.3%
UTA 42.9% +18.6%
3P %
34.2%
34.6%
MIL 43.5% +14.1%
UTA 29.4%
FT %
75.7%
77.1%
MIL 76.5%
UTA 85.7% +9.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
37.2%
MIL 20.0%
UTA 38.1% +18.1%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
43.8%
MIL 49.3%
UTA 41.7% +7.7%
3P Att. %
21.6%
19.1%
MIL 30.7% +10.4%
UTA 20.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsMILUTA
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes21.526.5
Points88109
Rebounds2648
Assists1628
Steals118
Blocks210
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)18 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)17 (2)32 (7)
Field Goals26-7546-84
At-the-Rim FG7-1526-32
Midrange FG9-3715-35
2-Point FG16-5241-67
3-Point FG10-235-17
Free Throws26-3412-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 24
40.5
18
75%
6
0
3
0
4
3
2
4
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 170 · 21
33.0
27
56%
2
4
3
0
3
1
0
2
7-9
78%
4-11
36%
4-9
44%
F · 6'8" 230 · 24
32.5
2
25%
4
0
1
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 210 · 31
30.2
6
23%
4
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
3-4
75%
0-9
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 230 · 22
16.3
4
33%
2
0
1
1
0
4
1
1
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 24
33.9
19
59%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
6-9
67%
2-7
29%
3-5
60%
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
23.1
8
36%
2
4
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 255 · 24
18.9
4
100%
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 34
11.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 250 · 29
F · 6'6" 225 · 31
C · 7'0" 260 · 26
#10 · G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G · 6'7" 210 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
46%
26
16
11
2
12
0
9
17
26-34
76%
16-52
31%
10-23
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.