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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 29, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Rockets22%9491
5Mavericks78%105101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.8
31.7
34.3
17
48%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
6-6
100%
1-9
4-9
11%
45%
3-6
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.7
25.6
36.3
6
43%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.2
22.2
31.8
3
30%
0
0
1
1
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.6
20.9
32.2
15
48%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-6
50%
6-13
7-14
46%
49%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.5
15.9
22.2
2
100%
7
1
1
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
27.6
16.6
10
45%
8
0
0
0
0
1
5
3
4-5
80%
3-9
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.5
25.8
18.4
9
49%
1
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.6
23.8
18.2
11
80%
6
5
1
0
2
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.2
23.2
14.0
13
47%
6
3
2
1
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
1-9
1-3
11%
46%
3-4
75%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.0
7.9
3.2
5
51%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.0
7.9
1.8
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-1
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.4
7.6
10.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.9
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.2
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.4
29.4
36.8
20
63%
10
1
0
1
3
3
0
10
0-0
-
10-15
8-16
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.7
27.3
30.8
19
64%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
7-11
5-11
64%
48%
1-3
33%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.7
25.6
34.5
8
50%
3
11
0
2
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
43%
2-3
67%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.2
23.1
31.3
5
54%
8
1
1
1
0
0
2
6
5-6
83%
0-2
3-5
0%
61%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.7
21.0
14.1
10
85%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
2-4
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.4
26.8
16.2
11
69%
3
6
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
1-1
100%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.6
26.6
23.4
14
57%
10
0
0
1
0
1
4
6
4-5
80%
5-10
4-8
50%
54%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.0
21.1
13.2
6
50%
9
1
0
0
2
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.2
20.9
31.4
6
38%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
51%
0-2
0%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.1
7.9
1.2
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.6
6.5
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.1
3.9
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.8
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.6
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.