FinalWin Prob.pScore
2712%90
94
288%105
105
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
98.99591.1
MIA logo MIA
110.59599.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0WASBooker 2' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Arenas 7 AST)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0WASWizards Rebound92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0WASMartin 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Booker 1 AST)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12WASBooker 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Arenas 6 AST)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAHEAT Rebound88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Jump Shot88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43WASArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Seraphin 1 AST)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45WASMISS Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53WASMISS Seraphin 4' Jump Shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21WASBooker 3' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Arenas 5 AST)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53WASBlatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53WASWizards Rebound81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T16)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIABosh Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (20 PTS)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIABosh Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (19 PTS)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51WASBlatche 14' Jump Shot (24 PTS)81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16WASWade STEAL (4 STL)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS James 20' Fadeaway Jumper79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50MIAHEAT Rebound79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12WASGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12WASGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17WASMISS Blatche 3' Driving Layup77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03WASGee 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22MIAAnthony 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Anthony 4' Dunk75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31WASBlatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 1 of 274
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:37WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:12WASGee 3' Driving Layup (3 PTS)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:24WASMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (26 PTS)72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57WASAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 8:02MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:14WASMISS Young 21' Jump Shot72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:38WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:51WASMISS Blatche 20' Jump Shot72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 9:00WASWizards Rebound72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 9:01WASWade BLOCK (1 BLK)72
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 9:04WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 9:05MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 9:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 9:17WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 9:22WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 9:23WASMISS Arenas 22' Jump Shot72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 9:41MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)72
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 9:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 9:48WASMISS Young 6' Jump Shot72
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 10:06MIAWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)72
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 10:18WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)72
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 10:18WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)71
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 10:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)70
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 10:44WASBlatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)70
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 10:44WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 1 of 269
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 11:05MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)69
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 11:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 11:20WASMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot69
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 11:34WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q4 - 11:36MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 269
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q4 - 11:36MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)69
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 11:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q4 - 11:45WASMISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot69
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound69
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 43' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0WASMISS Young 3PT Jump Shot69
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q3 - 0:07.0WASYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
3.2%
80
96.8%
Q3 - 0:08.0WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0WASBooker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
3.2%
80
96.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS James 13' Fadeaway Jumper69
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 269
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 269
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0WASHinrich Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)69
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)68
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot68
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q3 - 1:11WASWizards Rebound68
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 1:11WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)68
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 1:11WASMISS Young Free Throw 1 of 267
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 1:24MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS)67
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 1:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q3 - 1:34WASMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 1:48MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)67
3.4%
78
96.6%
Q3 - 1:48MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)67
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q3 - 1:59MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
4.1%
76
95.9%
Q3 - 2:00WASMISS Hinrich 12' Fadeaway Jumper67
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q3 - 2:17MIAJames Foul Turnover (P6.T13)67
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q3 - 2:39WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)67
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q3 - 2:39WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
4.1%
76
95.9%
Q3 - 2:47WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 2:48MIAMISS James 10' Fadeaway Jumper65
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 3:05WASYoung 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 3:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)63
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 3:33WASYoung 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 3:49WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot61
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 4:12MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)61
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot61
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q3 - 4:29WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)61
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 4:29WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)60
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 4:34WASArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 4:35MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot59
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 4:54WASArenas 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)59
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 5:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)57
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q3 - 5:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)57
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 5:12MIAHEAT Rebound57
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 5:13WASMISS Seraphin 6' Jump Shot57
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 5:27WASWizards Rebound57
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot57
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 5:33WASMISS McGee 2' Driving Layup57
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 5:55MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)57
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 6:08WASYoung 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)57
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 6:24MIAAnthony 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)55
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 6:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper55
3.3%
67
96.7%
Q3 - 6:41WASMcGee 2' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST)55
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 6:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 6:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 7:18WASArenas 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)53
3.1%
65
96.9%
Q3 - 7:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q3 - 7:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 7:41WASWade STEAL (3 STL)51
3.1%
63
96.9%
Q3 - 8:06MIAIlgauskas 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 8:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 8:26WASMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 151
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q3 - 8:27WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)49
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q3 - 8:28WASMISS Young 17' Fadeaway Jumper49
3.3%
61
96.7%
Q3 - 8:41MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T12)49
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q3 - 8:52WASMcGee Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)49
3.1%
61
96.9%
Q3 - 9:07MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)49
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q3 - 9:19MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q3 - 9:20WASMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q3 - 9:34MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)49
4.9%
59
95.1%
Q3 - 9:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
5.6%
57
94.4%
Q3 - 9:44WASMISS Blatche 16' Jump Shot49
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q3 - 10:07MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 3 AST)49
6.5%
57
93.5%
Q3 - 10:31WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)49
7.4%
55
92.6%
Q3 - 10:42WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
5.7%
55
94.3%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot46
5.4%
55
94.6%
Q3 - 11:03WASBlatche 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)46
5.0%
55
95.0%
Q3 - 11:25MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)44
4.4%
55
95.6%
Q3 - 11:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q3 - 11:33WASMISS Blatche 15' Jump Shot44
5.9%
52
94.1%
Q3 - 11:46MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)44
6.5%
52
93.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASArenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)44
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)41
4.5%
52
95.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0WASMcGee 3' Slam Dunk (6 PTS)41
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0WASMISS Arenas 5' Driving Layup39
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)39
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)39
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0WASMartin Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)39
5.2%
48
94.8%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)39
5.8%
48
94.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)39
5.9%
47
94.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAHEAT Rebound39
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q2 - 1:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 1:13WASMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 139
6.9%
46
93.1%
Q2 - 1:33MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)37
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 1:48WASMartin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)37
5.3%
46
94.7%
Q2 - 1:51MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)37
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 1:55MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
5.3%
46
94.7%
Q2 - 1:56WASMISS Arenas 20' Jump Shot37
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q2 - 2:13MIAJames 3' Alley Oop Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q2 - 2:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
6.7%
44
93.3%
Q2 - 2:17WASMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
6.9%
44
93.1%
Q2 - 2:41MIAHoward 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)37
7.5%
44
92.5%
Q2 - 2:54WASArenas 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGee 1 AST)37
8.4%
42
91.6%
Q2 - 3:12MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)35
7.5%
42
92.5%
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 235
7.7%
41
92.3%
Q2 - 3:15WASJames STEAL (1 STL)35
7.4%
41
92.6%
Q2 - 3:25WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
8.4%
41
91.6%
Q2 - 3:26MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot35
8.1%
41
91.9%
Q2 - 3:48WASBlatche 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS)35
7.4%
41
92.6%
Q2 - 4:07MIAJames Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P4.T8)33
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 4:13WASArenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)33
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 4:19WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
4.7%
41
95.3%
Q2 - 4:20WASMISS Blatche 2' Layup30
4.3%
41
95.7%
Q2 - 4:37MIAJames 3' Layup (13 PTS)30
4.7%
41
95.3%
Q2 - 4:52WASMcGee 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
5.2%
39
94.8%
Q2 - 4:53WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
4.7%
39
95.3%
Q2 - 4:55WASMISS McGee 3' Layup28
4.3%
39
95.7%
Q2 - 5:05WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
4.7%
39
95.3%
Q2 - 5:06MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot28
4.6%
39
95.4%
Q2 - 5:21WASMcGee 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)28
4.2%
39
95.8%
Q2 - 5:23WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
3.8%
39
96.2%
Q2 - 5:24WASMISS Hinrich 13' Jump Shot26
3.5%
39
96.5%
Q2 - 5:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)26
3.8%
39
96.2%
Q2 - 5:37MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)26
3.9%
38
96.1%
Q2 - 5:47WASBlatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)26
4.2%
37
95.8%
Q2 - 5:47WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 1 of 225
4.1%
37
95.9%
Q2 - 6:01MIADampier 2' Alley Oop Layup (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)25
4.5%
37
95.5%
Q2 - 6:15WASBlatche 16' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)25
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q2 - 6:42WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
4.4%
35
95.6%
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 223
4.4%
35
95.6%
Q2 - 6:42MIADampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
4.1%
35
95.9%
Q2 - 6:51MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
4.4%
34
95.6%
Q2 - 6:52WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
4.5%
34
95.5%
Q2 - 7:12MIABosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)23
4.9%
34
95.1%
Q2 - 7:28MIAJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)23
5.4%
32
94.6%
Q2 - 7:39MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
6.0%
31
94.0%
Q2 - 7:40WASMISS Young 20' Jump Shot23
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q2 - 7:57WASMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
6.8%
31
93.2%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 123
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q2 - 8:12WASMartin 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
7.5%
29
92.5%
Q2 - 8:22WASMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
6.8%
29
93.2%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot21
6.6%
29
93.4%
Q2 - 8:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
6.1%
29
93.9%
Q2 - 8:33WASMISS Blatche 12' Jump Shot21
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q2 - 8:55WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
6.8%
29
93.2%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 121
6.7%
29
93.3%
Q2 - 9:11WASHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)21
7.5%
27
92.5%
Q2 - 9:13WASArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
8.3%
27
91.7%
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
8.0%
27
92.0%
Q2 - 9:20MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
7.5%
27
92.5%
Q2 - 9:21WASMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot21
7.7%
27
92.3%
Q2 - 9:34WASWizards Rebound21
8.3%
27
91.7%
Q2 - 9:35WASMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
7.7%
27
92.3%
Q2 - 9:48WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
8.3%
27
91.7%
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 221
8.1%
27
91.9%
Q2 - 9:49MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
7.6%
27
92.4%
Q2 - 9:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup21
8.8%
26
91.2%
Q2 - 9:55MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q2 - 9:56WASMISS Booker 3' Layup21
8.5%
26
91.5%
Q2 - 10:11WASArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q2 - 10:12MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
8.9%
26
91.1%
Q2 - 10:27WASBooker Foul Turnover (P1.T6)21
8.3%
26
91.7%
Q2 - 10:32WASWizards Rebound21
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q2 - 10:33WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q2 - 10:48MIAChalmers 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q2 - 11:06MIAHEAT Rebound21
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q2 - 11:07WASMISS Young 17' Jump Shot21
10.4%
24
89.6%
Q2 - 11:10WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
11.1%
24
88.9%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup21
10.8%
24
89.2%
Q2 - 11:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q2 - 11:20WASDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)21
10.4%
24
89.6%
Q2 - 11:35MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)21
11.1%
24
88.9%
Q2 - 11:36MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot21
10.8%
24
89.2%
Q2 - 11:43MIAHEAT Rebound21
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q2 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper21
10.8%
24
89.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASArenas 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)19
9.1%
24
90.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
10.1%
22
89.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0WASAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)19
10.4%
22
89.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper19
10.6%
22
89.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)19
10.1%
22
89.9%
Q1 - 1:11MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)16
8.3%
22
91.7%
Q1 - 1:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
10.1%
19
89.9%
Q1 - 1:20WASMISS Young 16' Jump Shot16
10.3%
19
89.7%
Q1 - 1:34MIAHoward 10' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)16
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 1:50WASBlatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
12.0%
17
88.0%
Q1 - 1:50WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
11.8%
17
88.2%
Q1 - 2:08MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)14
10.9%
17
89.1%
Q1 - 2:08MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
11.1%
16
88.9%
Q1 - 2:26WASArenas 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
12.0%
15
88.0%
Q1 - 2:46MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
10.9%
15
89.1%
Q1 - 2:56WASGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
12.0%
13
88.0%
Q1 - 2:56WASMISS Gee Free Throw 1 of 211
11.7%
13
88.3%
Q1 - 3:14MIAJames 3' Driving Dunk (5 PTS)11
11.7%
13
88.3%
Q1 - 3:30WASBlatche 2' Dunk (5 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)11
12.7%
11
87.3%
Q1 - 3:45MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T6)9
11.7%
11
88.3%
Q1 - 3:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
10.8%
11
89.2%
Q1 - 3:50WASMISS Blatche 16' Jump Shot9
11.1%
11
88.9%
Q1 - 4:10MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
11.4%
11
88.6%
Q1 - 4:10MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 4:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
12.2%
9
87.8%
Q1 - 4:10MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup9
13.0%
9
87.0%
Q1 - 4:23WASWade STEAL (2 STL)9
12.2%
9
87.8%
Q1 - 4:39MIAJames Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)9
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 4:56WASYoung 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)9
12.2%
9
87.8%
Q1 - 5:14MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P3.T4)7
11.5%
9
88.5%
Q1 - 5:27WASWade STEAL (1 STL)7
10.5%
9
89.5%
Q1 - 5:37MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)7
11.4%
9
88.6%
Q1 - 5:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
10.5%
9
89.5%
Q1 - 5:47WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 2 of 27
10.6%
9
89.4%
Q1 - 5:47WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
11.2%
9
88.8%
Q1 - 6:05MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
10.4%
9
89.6%
Q1 - 6:21MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)6
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot6
11.8%
7
88.2%
Q1 - 6:39WASBlatche Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)6
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 6:53WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
12.1%
7
87.9%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 26
12.0%
7
88.0%
Q1 - 6:54MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 6:56MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
12.0%
6
88.0%
Q1 - 6:57WASIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)6
12.3%
6
87.7%
Q1 - 7:17MIABosh 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)6
12.7%
6
87.3%
Q1 - 7:23MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
13.6%
4
86.4%
Q1 - 7:24WASMISS Blatche 20' Jump Shot6
13.9%
4
86.1%
Q1 - 7:39WASWizards Rebound6
14.6%
4
85.4%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot6
14.3%
4
85.7%
Q1 - 7:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
13.6%
4
86.4%
Q1 - 7:51WASMISS Armstrong 8' Jump Shot6
13.9%
4
86.1%
Q1 - 8:07WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14.2%
4
85.8%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Ilgauskas 22' Jump Shot6
13.9%
4
86.1%
Q1 - 8:23WASGee Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 8:28MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
14.2%
4
85.8%
Q1 - 8:38WASBosh STEAL (1 STL)6
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 9:00WASArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14.2%
4
85.8%
Q1 - 9:01MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot6
13.7%
4
86.3%
Q1 - 9:20WASHinrich 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
13.1%
4
86.9%
Q1 - 9:43MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
12.2%
4
87.8%
Q1 - 9:53MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
13.1%
2
86.9%
Q1 - 9:54WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 10:08WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 10:09MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot4
13.5%
2
86.5%
Q1 - 10:12MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
12.8%
2
87.2%
Q1 - 10:16WASMISS Blatche 16' Jump Shot4
13.1%
2
86.9%
Q1 - 10:19WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 10:20WASJames BLOCK (1 BLK)4
13.1%
2
86.9%
Q1 - 10:24WASGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 10:26MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Dunk4
13.5%
2
86.5%
Q1 - 10:34MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.8%
2
87.2%
Q1 - 10:35WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
13.1%
2
86.9%
Q1 - 10:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 10:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
14.0%
1
86.0%
Q1 - 11:10WASArenas 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 11:16MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
13.2%
0
86.8%
Q1 - 11:45WASBlatche 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)2
12.5%
0
87.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Armstrong: Tip to Blatche0
11.8%
0
88.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.98 49.0%
MIA
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
15
28
54%
MIA
13
19
68%
Midrange
WAS
17
39
44%
MIA
17
43
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
3
4.5
17
18%
26%
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
WAS
21
29
72%
MIA
33
42
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Blatche2652%13.0 / 25
G. Arenas2352%11.5 / 22
N. Young1336%6.5 / 18
J. McGee1071%5.0 / 7
A. Gee758%3.5 / 6
T. Booker675%3.0 / 4
K. Hinrich536%2.5 / 7
C. Martin450%2.0 / 4
H. Armstrong0-0.0 / 1
K. Seraphin0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3065%15.0 / 23
D. Wade2662%13.0 / 21
C. Bosh2053%10.0 / 19
J. Jones770%3.5 / 5
J. Anthony675%3.0 / 4
M. Chalmers531%2.5 / 8
Z. Ilgauskas467%2.0 / 3
J. Howard467%2.0 / 3
E. Dampier375%1.5 / 2
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
82
+15
-13
97
MIA
80
+14
-15
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.98 49.0%
MIA
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.2
111.4
WAS 98.9 +11.6
MIA 110.5
Pace
94.0
91.3
WAS 91.1
MIA 99.2 +8.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.2
WAS 15.8
MIA 14.5 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
52.4%
WAS 43.5%
MIA 48.6% +5.1%
TO %
15.5%
14.4%
WAS 11.8% +3.7%
MIA 15.5%
ORB %
28.0%
25.2%
WAS 23.4%
MIA 24.3% +0.9%
FTrt
29.0
36.3
WAS 34.5
MIA 56.8 +22.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
54.1%
WAS 40.0%
MIA 44.1% +4.1%
STL %
8.5%
7.3%
WAS 6.3%
MIA 6.3%
BLK %
9.6%
8.5%
WAS 8.1%
MIA 9.0% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
55.7%
WAS 49.0%
MIA 54.7% +5.7%
Rim FG%
57.5%
64.7%
WAS 53.6%
MIA 68.4% +14.8%
Mid FG%
38.3%
42.2%
WAS 43.6% +4.1%
MIA 39.5%
3P %
33.2%
37.0%
WAS 17.6%
MIA 33.3% +15.7%
FT %
74.5%
76.9%
WAS 72.4%
MIA 78.6% +6.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.7%
31.6%
WAS 33.3% +7.7%
MIA 25.7%
Mid Att. %
47.1%
44.9%
WAS 46.4% +11.7%
MIA 58.1%
3P Att. %
17.2%
23.5%
WAS 20.2% +4.0%
MIA 16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points94105
Rebounds3945
Assists1415
Steals66
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (4)36 (2)
Field Goals35-8434-74
At-the-Rim FG15-2813-19
Midrange FG17-3917-43
2-Point FG32-6730-62
3-Point FG3-174-12
Free Throws21-2933-42
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
41.1
23
52%
5
7
2
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
6-11
55%
3-10
30%
F · 6'11" 260 · 24
37.6
26
52%
9
1
1
1
2
5
3
6
10-14
71%
8-19
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 30
35.8
5
36%
3
3
1
0
3
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 225 · 24
24.1
7
58%
1
0
1
0
1
5
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 235 · 26
16.6
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25
33.2
13
36%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
5-6
83%
4-11
36%
0-4
0%
C · 7'0" 270 · 23
26.4
10
71%
10
1
0
2
2
6
5
5
0-1
0%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
9.7
4
50%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 228 · 23
7.8
6
75%
1
1
0
2
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21
7.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 20
C · 7'0" 235 · 24
#31 · F · 7'0" 250 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · F · 6'8" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
49%
39
14
6
5
13
0
11
28
21-29
72%
32-67
48%
3-17
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.