FinalWin Prob.pScore
451%99
109
1049%98
95
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
122.58985.9
NOH
105.69093.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS109
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)109
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0NOHPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0NOHMISS Thornton 2' Layup109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14NOHJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)106
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18SASQuinn 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)106
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42NOHSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56SASDuncan 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22NOHPaul 2' Layup (15 PTS)101
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)101
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27SASOkafor BLOCK (5 BLK)101
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)101
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51NOHMISS Okafor 5' Hook Shot101
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)101
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 3:10SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)98
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 3:11NOHMISS Paul 4' Jump Shot98
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 3:27SASDuncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)98
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 3:44NOHWest Foul Turnover (P2.T12)96
98.4%
86
1.6%
Q4 - 3:56NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
97.7%
86
2.3%
Q4 - 3:57SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot96
98.0%
86
2.0%
Q4 - 4:07SASSpurs Rebound96
98.5%
86
1.5%
Q4 - 4:07SASMISS Hill 3' Layup96
98.0%
86
2.0%
Q4 - 4:30SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 4:30NOHMISS Paul 10' Running Jump Shot96
98.4%
86
1.6%
Q4 - 4:38NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
97.8%
86
2.2%
Q4 - 4:40SASMISS Neal 10' Jump Shot96
98.1%
86
1.9%
Q4 - 5:03NOHPaul 12' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)96
97.5%
86
2.5%
Q4 - 5:38SASNeal 11' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)96
98.2%
84
1.8%
Q4 - 6:03SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
96.5%
84
3.5%
Q4 - 6:04NOHMISS Green 20' Jump Shot94
96.1%
84
3.9%
Q4 - 6:28NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)94
95.3%
84
4.7%
Q4 - 6:29SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
95.7%
84
4.3%
Q4 - 6:49SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
96.6%
84
3.4%
Q4 - 6:50NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
96.2%
84
3.8%
Q4 - 6:58SASHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)94
95.3%
84
4.7%
Q4 - 7:29NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)91
90.3%
84
9.7%
Q4 - 7:29NOHWest 2' Tip Shot (23 PTS)91
90.3%
84
9.7%
Q4 - 7:30NOHMISS Okafor 4' Jump Shot91
93.7%
82
6.3%
Q4 - 7:53SASMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)91
92.4%
82
7.6%
Q4 - 8:05SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
88.6%
82
11.4%
Q4 - 8:06NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 289
88.3%
82
11.7%
Q4 - 8:06NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)89
86.2%
82
13.8%
Q4 - 8:07NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
88.7%
81
11.3%
Q4 - 8:08NOHMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot89
90.3%
81
9.7%
Q4 - 8:33SASHill 6' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)89
88.8%
81
11.2%
Q4 - 8:39NOHAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)87
85.9%
81
14.1%
Q4 - 8:57SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)87
82.6%
81
17.4%
Q4 - 9:12NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)85
77.0%
81
23.0%
Q4 - 9:12NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)85
77.6%
80
22.4%
Q4 - 9:27SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)85
81.0%
79
19.0%
Q4 - 9:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
72.5%
79
27.5%
Q4 - 9:35NOHMISS Jack 2' Layup82
71.0%
79
29.0%
Q4 - 9:49SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 8 AST)82
67.5%
79
32.5%
Q4 - 10:10NOHWest 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)79
55.8%
79
44.2%
Q4 - 10:31SASMcDyess 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)79
61.3%
77
38.7%
Q4 - 10:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
55.8%
77
44.2%
Q4 - 10:46NOHMISS Belinelli 22' Jump Shot77
54.1%
77
45.9%
Q4 - 11:09SASNeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)77
50.1%
77
49.9%
Q4 - 11:21NOHWest Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)74
39.4%
77
60.6%
Q4 - 11:45SASJefferson 10' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)74
34.4%
77
65.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS72
29.7%
77
70.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
29.7%
77
70.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Green 9' Jump Shot72
29.3%
77
70.7%
Q3 - 0:13.0NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
26.7%
77
73.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
27.8%
77
72.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
30.5%
77
69.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0NOHMISS Jack 15' Jump Shot72
29.2%
77
70.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)72
26.6%
77
73.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)71
26.1%
77
73.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)70
22.5%
77
77.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0NOHHORNETS Rebound70
19.4%
77
80.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0NOHMISS Jack 11' Jump Shot70
21.5%
77
78.5%
Q3 - 1:17NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
20.3%
77
79.7%
Q3 - 1:18SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot70
21.2%
77
78.8%
Q3 - 1:44NOHThornton 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)70
23.3%
77
76.7%
Q3 - 1:48SASAriza STEAL (2 STL)70
27.4%
75
72.6%
Q3 - 1:51NOHJack Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)70
31.1%
75
68.9%
Q3 - 2:05SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)70
28.1%
75
71.9%
Q3 - 2:05SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 269
27.0%
75
73.0%
Q3 - 2:17SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
28.0%
75
72.0%
Q3 - 2:18NOHMISS Jack 19' Jump Shot69
26.8%
75
73.2%
Q3 - 2:38SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (16 PTS)69
24.4%
75
75.6%
Q3 - 2:51SASHill Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)67
21.0%
75
79.0%
Q3 - 3:00SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
18.0%
75
82.0%
Q3 - 3:01NOHMISS Green 15' Jump Shot66
18.5%
75
81.5%
Q3 - 3:20NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
16.6%
75
83.4%
Q3 - 3:21SASMISS Neal 6' Running Jump Shot66
17.4%
75
82.6%
Q3 - 3:41SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
19.3%
75
80.7%
Q3 - 3:42NOHMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot66
18.4%
75
81.6%
Q3 - 4:03NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
17.0%
75
83.0%
Q3 - 4:06SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot66
17.9%
75
82.1%
Q3 - 4:12NOHPaul Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)66
20.1%
75
79.9%
Q3 - 4:18SASPaul STEAL (1 STL)66
17.0%
75
83.0%
Q3 - 4:30SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
20.1%
75
79.9%
Q3 - 4:31NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 266
19.7%
75
80.3%
Q3 - 4:31NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 266
18.3%
75
81.7%
Q3 - 4:37SASAriza STEAL (1 STL)66
17.0%
75
83.0%
Q3 - 4:56NOHOkafor 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)66
20.1%
75
79.9%
Q3 - 5:03NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
23.3%
73
76.7%
Q3 - 5:04SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
24.3%
73
75.7%
Q3 - 5:19NOHBelinelli 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)66
26.7%
73
73.3%
Q3 - 5:45SASHill 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)66
29.7%
71
70.3%
Q3 - 6:00SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q3 - 6:01NOHMISS Belinelli Free Throw 2 of 264
27.3%
71
72.7%
Q3 - 6:01NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)64
25.1%
71
74.9%
Q3 - 6:04NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
27.4%
70
72.6%
Q3 - 6:05SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot64
28.5%
70
71.5%
Q3 - 6:14SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
31.0%
70
69.0%
Q3 - 6:16NOHMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot64
29.9%
70
70.1%
Q3 - 6:36SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)64
27.3%
70
72.7%
Q3 - 6:52NOHAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
21.6%
70
78.4%
Q3 - 6:52NOHAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
22.4%
69
77.6%
Q3 - 7:09SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)61
25.1%
68
74.9%
Q3 - 7:13SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
19.9%
68
80.1%
Q3 - 7:14SASOkafor BLOCK (4 BLK)58
18.1%
68
81.9%
Q3 - 7:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)58
19.8%
68
80.2%
Q3 - 7:34SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
18.1%
68
81.9%
Q3 - 7:44SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
19.8%
68
80.2%
Q3 - 7:46NOHMISS Paul 14' Jump Shot58
19.0%
68
81.0%
Q3 - 8:04SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
17.9%
68
82.1%
Q3 - 8:04SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
17.5%
68
82.5%
Q3 - 8:14NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P2.T6)56
15.9%
68
84.1%
Q3 - 8:29SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
13.9%
68
86.1%
Q3 - 8:29SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 255
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q3 - 8:32NOHAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)55
14.0%
68
86.0%
Q3 - 8:53SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS)55
12.2%
68
87.8%
Q3 - 8:57NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)53
10.7%
68
89.3%
Q3 - 9:11SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
9.8%
68
90.2%
Q3 - 9:11SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
9.4%
68
90.6%
Q3 - 9:27NOHBelinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (West 1 AST)51
8.6%
68
91.4%
Q3 - 9:51SASHill 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)51
11.1%
65
88.9%
Q3 - 10:10NOHPaul 19' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 10:17NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
11.9%
63
88.1%
Q3 - 10:18SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot49
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q3 - 10:32NOHOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
13.5%
63
86.5%
Q3 - 10:32NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
14.1%
62
85.9%
Q3 - 10:52SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)49
15.2%
61
84.8%
Q3 - 11:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
14.4%
61
85.6%
Q3 - 11:03NOHMISS Paul 22' Jump Shot47
13.8%
61
86.2%
Q3 - 11:30SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)47
12.6%
61
87.4%
Q3 - 11:39SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
9.9%
61
90.1%
Q3 - 11:40NOHMISS West 9' Jump Shot44
9.5%
61
90.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH44
8.7%
61
91.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
9.7%
61
90.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0NOHPaul 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
10.6%
61
89.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASJefferson 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)44
13.7%
58
86.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
11.9%
58
88.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0NOHMISS Paul 3' Jump Shot42
11.6%
58
88.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)42
11.9%
58
88.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASMISS Ginobili 2' Tip Shot42
11.1%
58
88.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot42
11.1%
58
88.9%
Q2 - 1:03NOHAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)42
12.4%
58
87.6%
Q2 - 1:24NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
16.0%
55
84.0%
Q2 - 1:25SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
16.4%
55
83.6%
Q2 - 1:29SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
17.3%
55
82.7%
Q2 - 1:30NOHMISS Belinelli 2' Layup42
16.9%
55
83.1%
Q2 - 1:52NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
16.0%
55
84.0%
Q2 - 1:53SASMISS Jefferson 5' Layup42
16.4%
55
83.6%
Q2 - 2:09NOHAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)42
18.1%
55
81.9%
Q2 - 2:22SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
22.1%
52
77.9%
Q2 - 2:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
21.5%
52
78.5%
Q2 - 2:42SASSpurs Rebound40
20.0%
52
80.0%
Q2 - 2:43NOHMISS Belinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
19.4%
52
80.6%
Q2 - 3:08SASDuncan 4' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)40
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q2 - 3:27NOHOkafor 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)38
17.1%
52
82.9%
Q2 - 3:49SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)38
18.5%
50
81.5%
Q2 - 4:09NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
15.8%
50
84.2%
Q2 - 4:09NOHBelinelli 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)35
15.8%
50
84.2%
Q2 - 4:10NOHMISS Belinelli 1' Layup35
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q2 - 4:35SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
17.3%
48
82.7%
Q2 - 4:35SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
16.9%
48
83.1%
Q2 - 4:50SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
15.8%
48
84.2%
Q2 - 4:51NOHMISS Thornton 3' Driving Layup33
15.3%
48
84.7%
Q2 - 5:05NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q2 - 5:07SASMISS Ginobili 1' Driving Layup33
15.4%
48
84.6%
Q2 - 5:24NOHJack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)33
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q2 - 5:31NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q2 - 5:38SASOkafor BLOCK (3 BLK)33
15.3%
48
84.7%
Q2 - 5:41SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q2 - 5:43SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
15.3%
48
84.7%
Q2 - 6:02NOHWest 13' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)33
17.3%
48
82.7%
Q2 - 6:19NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
18.7%
46
81.3%
Q2 - 6:20SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 233
19.0%
46
81.0%
Q2 - 6:20SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
20.0%
46
80.0%
Q2 - 6:26SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
19.0%
46
81.0%
Q2 - 6:27NOHMISS Thornton 23' Jump Shot32
18.3%
46
81.7%
Q2 - 6:40SASHill Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)32
17.0%
46
83.0%
Q2 - 6:57NOHThornton 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)32
18.9%
46
81.1%
Q2 - 7:01NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
21.3%
44
78.7%
Q2 - 7:02SASMISS Splitter 1' Layup32
21.9%
44
78.1%
Q2 - 7:21NOHThornton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)32
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 7:35SASSplitter 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)32
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 7:56NOHAriza 17' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
19.5%
44
80.5%
Q2 - 8:13SASGinobili 6' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)30
22.1%
42
77.9%
Q2 - 8:30NOHGreen 7' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)28
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 8:47NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
22.0%
40
78.0%
Q2 - 8:48SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 228
22.3%
40
77.7%
Q2 - 8:48SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 228
23.4%
40
76.6%
Q2 - 8:54SASSpurs Rebound28
24.0%
40
76.0%
Q2 - 8:56SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot28
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 9:19NOHGreen 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
24.6%
40
75.4%
Q2 - 9:35SASBonner 1' Layup (2 PTS)28
26.5%
38
73.5%
Q2 - 9:36SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
24.5%
38
75.5%
Q2 - 9:37SASMISS Splitter 9' Jump Shot26
23.2%
38
76.8%
Q2 - 9:55NOHThornton 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)26
24.5%
38
75.5%
Q2 - 10:01NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26.6%
36
73.4%
Q2 - 10:03SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot26
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 10:28NOHThornton 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
28.9%
36
71.1%
Q2 - 10:46SASHill Foul Turnover (P1.T6)26
30.8%
34
69.2%
Q2 - 11:04SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
33.5%
34
66.5%
Q2 - 11:06NOHMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
32.7%
34
67.3%
Q2 - 11:24NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q2 - 11:25SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
31.8%
34
68.2%
Q2 - 11:40SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
33.5%
34
66.5%
Q2 - 11:41NOHMISS Green 19' Jump Shot26
32.7%
34
67.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH26
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound26
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Green 56' 3PT Jump Shot26
32.7%
34
67.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASHill 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
31.8%
34
68.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0NOHGreen 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)24
29.3%
34
70.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASSplitter Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)24
31.8%
32
68.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0NOHGreen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mbenga 1 AST)24
33.5%
32
66.5%
Q1 - 1:07SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
36.8%
30
63.2%
Q1 - 1:07SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
36.3%
30
63.7%
Q1 - 1:16SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
34.0%
30
66.0%
Q1 - 1:17SASMISS Neal 15' Jump Shot22
32.9%
30
67.1%
Q1 - 1:21SASSpurs Rebound22
34.0%
30
66.0%
Q1 - 1:21SASWest BLOCK (1 BLK)22
32.9%
30
67.1%
Q1 - 1:35NOHWest 2' Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)22
34.0%
30
66.0%
Q1 - 1:47SASSplitter 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)22
36.7%
28
63.3%
Q1 - 2:04NOHSmith Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)20
34.6%
28
65.4%
Q1 - 2:12SASWest STEAL (2 STL)20
32.7%
28
67.3%
Q1 - 2:25NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)20
34.6%
28
65.4%
Q1 - 2:25NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 220
34.9%
27
65.1%
Q1 - 2:25NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
34.8%
27
65.2%
Q1 - 2:25SASMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot20
35.4%
27
64.6%
Q1 - 2:41NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)20
36.7%
27
63.3%
Q1 - 2:41NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 220
37.0%
26
63.0%
Q1 - 2:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)20
36.9%
26
63.1%
Q1 - 2:59SASDuncan 2' Putback Slam Dunk (6 PTS)20
36.9%
26
63.1%
Q1 - 3:00SASOkafor BLOCK (2 BLK)18
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q1 - 3:13SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
35.1%
26
64.9%
Q1 - 3:14NOHMISS West 3' Layup18
34.4%
26
65.6%
Q1 - 3:39SASJefferson Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)18
32.9%
26
67.1%
Q1 - 4:02NOHWest 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)16
31.4%
26
68.6%
Q1 - 4:09NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
33.2%
24
66.8%
Q1 - 4:10SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
33.9%
24
66.1%
Q1 - 4:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)16
35.4%
24
64.6%
Q1 - 4:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
35.4%
24
64.6%
Q1 - 4:16SASMISS Duncan 3' Tip Shot16
33.9%
24
66.1%
Q1 - 4:17SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup16
33.9%
24
66.1%
Q1 - 4:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
35.4%
24
64.6%
Q1 - 4:19SASMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot16
33.9%
24
66.1%
Q1 - 4:30NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)16
35.4%
24
64.6%
Q1 - 4:35NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
39.4%
21
60.6%
Q1 - 4:36SASOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)16
40.1%
21
59.9%
Q1 - 4:51NOHPaul 5' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
41.7%
21
58.3%
Q1 - 5:02SASParker 10' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
43.7%
19
56.3%
Q1 - 5:22NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
41.9%
19
58.1%
Q1 - 5:22NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
42.1%
18
57.9%
Q1 - 5:26NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
43.7%
17
56.3%
Q1 - 5:27SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot14
44.5%
17
55.5%
Q1 - 5:46NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
46.1%
17
53.9%
Q1 - 5:46NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 5:56NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
48.0%
15
52.0%
Q1 - 5:57SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot14
48.7%
15
51.3%
Q1 - 6:08SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
50.3%
15
49.7%
Q1 - 6:09SASMISS Jefferson 22' Jump Shot14
48.8%
15
51.2%
Q1 - 6:22NOHWest 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)14
50.3%
15
49.7%
Q1 - 6:45SASDuncan 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)14
52.3%
13
47.7%
Q1 - 7:03NOHWest 8' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)12
50.4%
13
49.6%
Q1 - 7:19SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)12
52.2%
11
47.8%
Q1 - 7:28NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
48.3%
11
51.7%
Q1 - 7:40SASBlair 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)9
52.2%
8
47.8%
Q1 - 7:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
50.4%
8
49.6%
Q1 - 7:46NOHMISS Ariza 3' Jump Shot7
49.7%
8
50.3%
Q1 - 8:04SASDuncan 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)7
48.5%
8
51.5%
Q1 - 8:17SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
46.4%
8
53.6%
Q1 - 8:18NOHMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
45.8%
8
54.2%
Q1 - 8:23NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 8:25NOHMISS Belinelli 14' Jump Shot5
45.8%
8
54.2%
Q1 - 8:47SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 8:58NOHPaul 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
40.5%
8
59.5%
Q1 - 9:07NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.2%
6
56.8%
Q1 - 9:08SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot2
43.7%
6
56.3%
Q1 - 9:21NOHWest 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)2
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 9:41SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)2
46.9%
4
53.1%
Q1 - 10:02NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
49.1%
4
50.9%
Q1 - 10:02NOHWest 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)2
49.1%
4
50.9%
Q1 - 10:03NOHMISS West 2' Layup2
52.0%
2
48.0%
Q1 - 10:15SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)2
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 10:31NOHWest 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
52.7%
2
47.3%
Q1 - 10:52SASBlair Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)2
54.2%
0
45.8%
Q1 - 11:11SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.3%
0
47.7%
Q1 - 11:12NOHMISS West 12' Jump Shot0
51.8%
0
48.2%
Q1 - 11:23NOHHORNETS Rebound0
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 11:23SASMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot0
51.2%
0
48.8%
Q1 - 11:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.3%
0
47.7%
Q1 - 11:31NOHMISS Belinelli 5' Running Bank Shot0
51.8%
0
48.2%
Q1 - 11:49SASWest STEAL (1 STL)0
50.7%
0
49.3%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Duncan: Tip to Ginobili0
52.3%
0
47.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.16 58.0%
NOH
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
21
31
68%
NOH
13
26
50%
Midrange
SAS
10
26
38%
NOH
18
35
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
NOH
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
Free Throws
SAS
20
25
80%
NOH
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2364%11.5 / 18
T. Duncan2158%10.5 / 18
R. Jefferson1979%9.5 / 12
G. Hill1464%7.0 / 11
G. Neal850%4.0 / 8
T. Parker638%3.0 / 8
T. Splitter542%2.5 / 6
D. Blair4100%2.0 / 2
A. McDyess450%2.0 / 4
C. Quinn3150%1.5 / 1
M. Bonner233%1.0 / 3
I. Udoka0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West2368%11.5 / 17
C. Paul1554%7.5 / 14
E. Okafor1275%6.0 / 8
M. Belinelli1250%6.0 / 12
M. Thornton1161%5.5 / 9
T. Ariza1063%5.0 / 8
W. Green844%4.0 / 9
J. Jack220%1.0 / 5
J. Smith2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+14
-10
93
NOH
79
+7
-11
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.16 58.0%
NOH
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
106.0
SAS 122.5 +16.9
NOH 105.6
Pace
92.7
88.9
SAS 85.9
NOH 93.4 +7.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.2
SAS 16.8
NOH 15.4 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
49.3%
SAS 54.3% +0.8%
NOH 53.5%
TO %
13.8%
13.6%
SAS 9.7% +3.0%
NOH 12.7%
ORB %
25.0%
25.1%
SAS 27.5% +13.6%
NOH 13.9%
FTrt
29.9
29.6
SAS 30.5
NOH 33.3 +2.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
57.4%
SAS 62.5% +15.3%
NOH 47.2%
STL %
7.9%
8.5%
SAS 7.9% +2.3%
NOH 5.6%
BLK %
6.7%
7.6%
SAS 8.2%
NOH 10.5% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
52.0%
SAS 58.0% +2.8%
NOH 55.2%
Rim FG%
60.3%
57.5%
SAS 67.7% +17.7%
NOH 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.6%
42.1%
SAS 38.5%
NOH 51.4% +12.9%
3P %
39.7%
36.0%
SAS 36.0%
NOH 45.5% +9.5%
FT %
76.7%
76.5%
SAS 80.0% +5.0%
NOH 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
32.2%
SAS 37.8% +1.7%
NOH 36.1%
Mid Att. %
39.7%
48.6%
SAS 31.7% +16.9%
NOH 48.6%
3P Att. %
26.1%
19.2%
SAS 30.5% +15.2%
NOH 15.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsSASNOH
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points10995
Rebounds4234
Assists2517
Steals75
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)29 (1)
Field Goals40-8236-72
At-the-Rim FG21-3113-26
Midrange FG10-2618-35
2-Point FG31-5731-61
3-Point FG9-255-11
Free Throws20-2518-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 205 · 33
34.4
23
64%
7
8
2
1
0
1
2
5
4-4
100%
5-9
56%
3-8
38%
F · 6'7" 233 · 30
33.5
19
79%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
3-4
75%
G · 6'2" 185 · 29
32.4
6
38%
6
9
2
0
2
3
2
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 35
28.3
21
58%
7
1
0
2
3
2
5
2
7-8
88%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'7" 270 · 22
7.5
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
31.1
14
64%
3
4
1
1
2
4
0
3
4-4
100%
5-7
71%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
21.3
8
50%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36
18.4
4
50%
7
0
0
0
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26
11.2
5
42%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
9.8
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31
8.0
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33
4.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#25 · G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
58%
42
25
7
5
10
0
11
31
20-25
80%
31-57
54%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.