FinalWin Prob.pScore
1542%103
96
1958%106
78
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
105.59179.3
TOR logo TOR
84.892107.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR96
100%
78
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0TORMISS Dorsey Free Throw 2 of 296
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0TORDorsey Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLDeRozan STEAL (1 STL)96
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0TORDeRozan 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Dorsey 2 AST)96
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)96
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12TORWright 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)96
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25ATLEvans 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)96
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38TORMISS Wright 6' Turnaround Hook Shot94
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)94
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot94
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05TORDorsey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)94
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)94
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17ATLMISS Teague 13' Running Jump Shot94
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30TORDeRozan 2' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)94
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39ATLTeague 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Dorsey 1 AST)92
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:28ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:47ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:56TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:57ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:12TORMISS DeRozan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:30ATLJohnson 2' Running Layup (16 PTS) (Smith 10 AST)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47TORMISS Calderon 19' Pullup Jump Shot90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:55TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:56ATLMISS Bibby 23' Jump Shot90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07TORJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:28TORBargnani Traveling Turnover (P5.T13)88
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 5:41ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)88
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:03TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)85
99.2%
69
0.8%
Q4 - 6:14TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 6:15ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 6:23ATLHawks Rebound85
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 6:23ATLMISS Evans 2' Driving Layup85
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 6:36ATLHawks Rebound85
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 6:37TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot85
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 6:54ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)85
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 7:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
99.3%
67
0.7%
Q4 - 7:05ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.2%
67
0.8%
Q4 - 7:21TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)85
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 7:21TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)85
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 7:32TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 7:33ATLMISS Horford 8' Hook Shot85
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 7:56TORKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 7:56TORKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 8:01TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 8:02ATLMISS Powell 15' Jump Shot85
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 8:19ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 8:21TORMISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot85
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 8:29TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 8:32ATLBarbosa BLOCK (1 BLK)85
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 8:47ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 8:48TORMISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 9:05ATLPowell 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)85
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q4 - 9:22ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q4 - 9:23TORMISS Barbosa 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q4 - 9:35TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q4 - 9:36ATLMISS Powell Free Throw 2 of 283
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q4 - 9:36ATLPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q4 - 9:39ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)82
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q4 - 9:41TORMISS Bargnani 3' Driving Layup82
98.9%
63
1.1%
Q4 - 9:59ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 9 AST)82
98.7%
63
1.3%
Q4 - 10:19TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)79
97.3%
63
2.7%
Q4 - 10:19TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
97.4%
62
2.6%
Q4 - 10:28TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
97.9%
61
2.1%
Q4 - 10:29ATLMISS Powell 21' Jump Shot79
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 10:48TORBayless 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)79
98.3%
61
1.7%
Q4 - 10:54TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
98.6%
59
1.4%
Q4 - 10:55ATLBargnani BLOCK (1 BLK)79
98.7%
59
1.3%
Q4 - 11:20TORBargnani 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)79
98.6%
59
1.4%
Q4 - 11:40ATLEvans 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)79
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR77
98.6%
57
1.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
98.3%
57
1.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Evans 16' Jump Shot77
98.0%
57
2.0%
Q3 - 0:18.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
98.2%
57
1.8%
Q3 - 0:20.0TORMISS Kleiza 4' Driving Hook Shot77
98.1%
57
1.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0ATLPowell 3' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)77
97.9%
57
2.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
97.4%
57
2.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0TORMISS Bayless 9' Jump Shot75
97.2%
57
2.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
96.9%
57
3.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0ATLMISS Crawford 12' Pullup Jump Shot75
97.0%
57
3.0%
Q3 - 1:12TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)75
96.9%
57
3.1%
Q3 - 1:12TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
97.0%
56
3.0%
Q3 - 1:23TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
97.5%
55
2.5%
Q3 - 1:24ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot75
97.7%
55
2.3%
Q3 - 1:44TORWeems Foul Turnover (P1.T12)75
97.9%
55
2.1%
Q3 - 1:50ATLSmith 15' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)75
97.5%
55
2.5%
Q3 - 2:14TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)73
96.3%
55
3.7%
Q3 - 2:14TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)73
96.4%
54
3.6%
Q3 - 2:26ATLHorford 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS)73
97.0%
53
3.0%
Q3 - 2:38ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
96.4%
53
3.6%
Q3 - 2:39TORMISS Weems 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
96.2%
53
3.8%
Q3 - 2:59ATLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)71
95.7%
53
4.3%
Q3 - 3:23ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
93.0%
53
7.0%
Q3 - 3:25TORMISS Barbosa 2' Driving Layup68
92.6%
53
7.4%
Q3 - 3:37TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
91.7%
53
8.3%
Q3 - 3:38ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 268
91.9%
53
8.1%
Q3 - 3:38ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)68
92.6%
53
7.4%
Q3 - 3:57TORJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)67
91.8%
53
8.2%
Q3 - 4:13ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
89.4%
53
10.6%
Q3 - 4:13ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
88.9%
53
11.1%
Q3 - 4:26ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
88.0%
53
12.0%
Q3 - 4:28TORMISS Johnson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot65
87.3%
53
12.7%
Q3 - 4:44TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
85.6%
53
14.4%
Q3 - 4:44ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot65
86.4%
53
13.6%
Q3 - 4:59TORWeems 21' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
88.0%
53
12.0%
Q3 - 5:06TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
88.3%
51
11.7%
Q3 - 5:07ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
88.9%
51
11.1%
Q3 - 5:29TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)65
90.1%
51
9.9%
Q3 - 5:42TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
88.4%
51
11.6%
Q3 - 5:43ATLMISS Horford 14' Jump Shot65
89.0%
51
11.0%
Q3 - 6:00TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)65
90.2%
51
9.8%
Q3 - 6:07TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
87.3%
51
12.7%
Q3 - 6:08ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot65
87.9%
51
12.1%
Q3 - 6:12ATLHawks Rebound65
89.1%
51
10.9%
Q3 - 6:12ATLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)65
87.9%
51
12.1%
Q3 - 6:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
89.1%
51
10.9%
Q3 - 6:29TORMISS Bargnani 23' Jump Shot65
88.6%
51
11.4%
Q3 - 6:51ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)65
87.4%
51
12.6%
Q3 - 6:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
89.2%
51
10.8%
Q3 - 6:58TORMISS Weems 12' Jump Shot65
88.6%
51
11.4%
Q3 - 7:02TORRAPTORS Rebound65
85.9%
51
14.1%
Q3 - 7:03TORMISS Bargnani 2' Driving Layup65
87.2%
51
12.8%
Q3 - 7:15ATLHorford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
86.0%
51
14.0%
Q3 - 7:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
84.2%
51
15.8%
Q3 - 7:27TORMISS Weems 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup63
83.5%
51
16.5%
Q3 - 7:32ATLCalderon STEAL (2 STL)63
81.9%
51
18.1%
Q3 - 7:39TORJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)63
84.2%
51
15.8%
Q3 - 7:52ATLJohnson 7' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)63
82.0%
51
18.0%
Q3 - 8:08TORCalderon Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)61
79.0%
51
21.0%
Q3 - 8:21ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)61
76.2%
51
23.8%
Q3 - 8:31ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
70.5%
51
29.5%
Q3 - 8:32TORMISS Dorsey 3' Layup58
69.4%
51
30.6%
Q3 - 8:48TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
67.0%
51
33.0%
Q3 - 8:49ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot58
68.1%
51
31.9%
Q3 - 9:12ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
69.6%
51
30.4%
Q3 - 9:13TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 258
69.2%
51
30.8%
Q3 - 9:13TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
67.1%
51
32.9%
Q3 - 9:19ATLBargnani STEAL (1 STL)58
69.6%
50
30.4%
Q3 - 9:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
72.7%
50
27.3%
Q3 - 9:32TORMISS Bargnani 17' Jump Shot58
71.8%
50
28.2%
Q3 - 9:47ATLHorford 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)58
69.6%
50
30.4%
Q3 - 9:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
66.5%
50
33.5%
Q3 - 9:59TORMISS Calderon 20' Pullup Jump Shot56
65.5%
50
34.5%
Q3 - 10:09ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)56
62.2%
50
37.8%
Q3 - 10:27TORCalderon 2' Layup (3 PTS)54
58.9%
50
41.1%
Q3 - 10:28TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
62.2%
48
37.8%
Q3 - 10:29TORMISS Calderon 17' Jump Shot54
64.6%
48
35.4%
Q3 - 10:47ATLSmith 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)54
62.3%
48
37.7%
Q3 - 10:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
59.0%
48
41.0%
Q3 - 10:53TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
57.9%
48
42.1%
Q3 - 11:03TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
54.8%
48
45.2%
Q3 - 11:05ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
55.9%
48
44.1%
Q3 - 11:08ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
58.4%
48
41.6%
Q3 - 11:09ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Hook Shot52
55.9%
48
44.1%
Q3 - 11:36TORDorsey 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Weems 4 AST)52
58.5%
48
41.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL52
61.6%
46
38.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound52
65.0%
46
35.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 65' 3PT Running Jump Shot52
62.6%
46
37.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
63.7%
46
36.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot52
63.0%
46
37.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0ATLPowell Inbound Turnover (P1.T4)52
61.4%
46
38.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0TORWeems 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
63.7%
46
36.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
67.5%
44
32.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 251
67.0%
44
33.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0TORBargnani Foul Turnover (P3.T6)51
66.9%
44
33.1%
Q2 - 1:08ATLWilliams 9' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)51
64.0%
44
36.0%
Q2 - 1:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
60.2%
44
39.8%
Q2 - 1:31TORMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot49
59.5%
44
40.5%
Q2 - 1:42ATLCalderon STEAL (1 STL)49
57.9%
44
42.1%
Q2 - 2:07TORBarbosa 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)49
60.1%
44
39.9%
Q2 - 2:13TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
62.9%
42
37.1%
Q2 - 2:15ATLMISS Bibby 19' Pullup Jump Shot49
63.9%
42
36.1%
Q2 - 2:36ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
66.0%
42
34.0%
Q2 - 2:37TORMISS Barbosa 21' Pullup Jump Shot49
65.1%
42
34.9%
Q2 - 2:49ATLWilliams 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)49
63.0%
42
37.0%
Q2 - 3:01ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
59.8%
42
40.2%
Q2 - 3:02TORMISS Bargnani 16' Jump Shot47
58.8%
42
41.2%
Q2 - 3:10TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
56.3%
42
43.7%
Q2 - 3:12ATLMISS Powell 9' Turnaround Jump Shot47
57.4%
42
42.6%
Q2 - 3:33TORJohnson 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)47
59.9%
42
40.1%
Q2 - 3:35TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
62.3%
40
37.7%
Q2 - 3:37TORMISS Weems 3' Driving Jump Shot47
64.7%
40
35.3%
Q2 - 3:47ATLPowell 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)47
62.3%
40
37.7%
Q2 - 4:02ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
59.0%
40
41.0%
Q2 - 4:02TORMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
58.0%
40
42.0%
Q2 - 4:20ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
55.8%
40
44.2%
Q2 - 4:41TORBarbosa 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
53.1%
40
46.9%
Q2 - 4:59ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)43
55.8%
38
44.2%
Q2 - 5:22ATLHawks Rebound40
49.8%
38
50.2%
Q2 - 5:23TORMISS Kleiza 11' Jump Shot40
48.9%
38
51.1%
Q2 - 5:40ATLPowell 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)40
46.8%
38
53.2%
Q2 - 5:58TORBargnani Foul Turnover (P2.T5)38
43.9%
38
56.1%
Q2 - 6:15ATLWilliams 2' Putback Dunk (10 PTS)38
40.7%
38
59.3%
Q2 - 6:17ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
38.4%
38
61.6%
Q2 - 6:18ATLMISS Crawford 3' Driving Layup36
36.3%
38
63.7%
Q2 - 6:40TORBarbosa 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)36
38.4%
38
61.6%
Q2 - 6:47ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)36
40.8%
36
59.2%
Q2 - 6:47ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 235
40.3%
36
59.7%
Q2 - 6:52TORBargnani Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)35
41.2%
36
58.8%
Q2 - 7:05ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
38.2%
36
61.8%
Q2 - 7:05ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 234
37.4%
36
62.6%
Q2 - 7:08TORCalderon Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)34
38.3%
36
61.7%
Q2 - 7:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
40.9%
35
59.1%
Q2 - 7:10ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot34
39.0%
35
61.0%
Q2 - 7:28TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)34
41.0%
35
59.0%
Q2 - 7:42TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
46.2%
32
53.8%
Q2 - 7:44ATLMISS Horford 5' Turnaround Bank Shot34
47.1%
32
52.9%
Q2 - 7:59TORKleiza 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)34
49.2%
32
50.8%
Q2 - 8:11ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
51.4%
30
48.6%
Q2 - 8:11ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
51.0%
30
49.0%
Q2 - 8:14TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)32
48.8%
30
51.2%
Q2 - 8:29TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
46.1%
30
53.9%
Q2 - 8:31ATLMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot32
46.9%
30
53.1%
Q2 - 8:51TORBarbosa 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
48.9%
30
51.1%
Q2 - 8:56ATLBarbosa STEAL (1 STL)32
51.5%
28
48.5%
Q2 - 9:15TORKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)32
53.7%
28
46.3%
Q2 - 9:35ATLCrawford 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)32
58.7%
25
41.3%
Q2 - 9:47TORDorsey 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)30
56.3%
25
43.7%
Q2 - 9:49TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)30
58.7%
23
41.3%
Q2 - 9:51TORMISS Barbosa 2' Driving Layup30
60.6%
23
39.4%
Q2 - 10:04TORRAPTORS Rebound30
58.2%
23
41.8%
Q2 - 10:05ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot30
59.0%
23
41.0%
Q2 - 10:15ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
60.9%
23
39.1%
Q2 - 10:16TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot30
60.1%
23
39.9%
Q2 - 10:33ATLCrawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)30
58.2%
23
41.8%
Q2 - 10:57ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
53.4%
23
46.6%
Q2 - 10:58TORMISS Dorsey 1' Layup27
52.5%
23
47.5%
Q2 - 11:12TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
50.4%
23
49.6%
Q2 - 11:13ATLMISS Williams 12' Pullup Jump Shot27
51.2%
23
48.8%
Q2 - 11:29ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
53.1%
23
46.9%
Q2 - 11:30TORMISS Barbosa 3PT Jump Shot27
52.2%
23
47.8%
Q2 - 11:42TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
50.4%
23
49.6%
Q2 - 11:43TORMISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot27
52.2%
23
47.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL27
50.4%
23
49.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
53.1%
23
46.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Bayless Free Throw 2 of 227
52.7%
23
47.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 227
50.9%
23
49.1%
Q1 - 0:09.0ATLCrawford 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
50.2%
23
49.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0TORKleiza 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)25
47.3%
23
52.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
45.3%
23
54.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 224
44.7%
23
55.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0TORJohnson 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Weems 3 AST)24
44.9%
23
55.1%
Q1 - 1:09ATLHorford 2' Layup (8 PTS)24
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 1:11ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
44.7%
21
55.3%
Q1 - 1:14ATLMISS Horford 10' Hook Shot22
43.5%
21
56.5%
Q1 - 1:27ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
44.7%
21
55.3%
Q1 - 1:29TORMISS Bayless 23' Pullup Jump Shot22
44.1%
21
55.9%
Q1 - 1:38TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
43.0%
21
57.0%
Q1 - 1:39ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot22
43.5%
21
56.5%
Q1 - 1:59TORKleiza 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
44.7%
21
55.3%
Q1 - 2:28ATLHorford 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)22
47.4%
19
52.6%
Q1 - 2:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
44.9%
19
55.1%
Q1 - 2:47TORMISS Weems 11' Jump Bank Shot20
44.2%
19
55.8%
Q1 - 2:58TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
42.8%
19
57.2%
Q1 - 2:59ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot20
43.5%
19
56.5%
Q1 - 3:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
44.9%
19
55.1%
Q1 - 3:09TORMISS Barbosa 3PT Jump Shot20
44.2%
19
55.8%
Q1 - 3:25ATLSmith 6' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)20
42.6%
19
57.4%
Q1 - 3:45ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
40.5%
19
59.5%
Q1 - 3:46TORMISS Johnson 7' Driving Hook Shot18
39.8%
19
60.2%
Q1 - 4:09ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
37.9%
19
62.1%
Q1 - 4:09ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
37.6%
19
62.4%
Q1 - 4:29TORBargnani 20' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Weems 2 AST)16
36.1%
19
63.9%
Q1 - 4:51ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
38.0%
17
62.0%
Q1 - 4:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 4:55TORMISS Calderon 1' Layup16
39.6%
17
60.4%
Q1 - 4:56TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
38.0%
17
62.0%
Q1 - 4:57TORMISS Calderon 6' Floating Jump Shot16
39.6%
17
60.4%
Q1 - 5:15ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)16
37.9%
17
62.1%
Q1 - 5:34TORDorsey 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)14
36.1%
17
63.9%
Q1 - 5:41TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
37.9%
15
62.1%
Q1 - 5:41ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot14
38.6%
15
61.4%
Q1 - 5:56TORDeRozan Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)14
40.2%
15
59.8%
Q1 - 6:11TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
37.9%
15
62.1%
Q1 - 6:13ATLMISS Horford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot14
38.5%
15
61.5%
Q1 - 6:36TORBargnani 1' Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Weems 1 AST)14
40.0%
15
60.0%
Q1 - 6:43TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
41.9%
13
58.1%
Q1 - 6:45TORMISS Calderon 21' Pullup Jump Shot14
43.4%
13
56.6%
Q1 - 7:03ATLJohnson 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)14
41.7%
13
58.3%
Q1 - 7:15TORWeems 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
39.9%
13
60.1%
Q1 - 7:24ATLJohnson 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)12
41.7%
11
58.3%
Q1 - 7:39TORBargnani 8' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)10
39.9%
11
60.1%
Q1 - 7:50TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
41.7%
9
58.3%
Q1 - 7:51TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
43.2%
9
56.8%
Q1 - 8:11ATLHorford 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)10
41.7%
9
58.3%
Q1 - 8:18ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
39.8%
9
60.2%
Q1 - 8:20ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Hook Shot8
38.5%
9
61.5%
Q1 - 8:40TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
39.8%
9
60.2%
Q1 - 8:40TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
40.2%
8
59.8%
Q1 - 8:47ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)8
41.7%
7
58.3%
Q1 - 9:00TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
37.9%
7
62.1%
Q1 - 9:13ATLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)5
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 9:45TORDorsey 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)2
38.1%
4
61.9%
Q1 - 9:54TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 9:55ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot2
40.5%
2
59.5%
Q1 - 10:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 10:19ATLMISS Williams 7' Turnaround Jump Shot2
40.4%
2
59.6%
Q1 - 10:40TORWeems 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 10:42TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
43.3%
0
56.7%
Q1 - 10:43TORMISS Weems 8' Running Jump Shot2
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 11:01ATLWilliams 7' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
43.1%
0
56.9%
Q1 - 11:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.3%
0
58.7%
Q1 - 11:23TORMISS Bargnani 7' Driving Hook Shot0
40.9%
0
59.1%
Q1 - 11:43TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 11:45ATLMISS Johnson 19' Pullup Jump Shot0
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bargnani vs. Smith: Tip to Bibby0
41.4%
0
58.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.04 52.2%
TOR
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
15
19
79%
TOR
19
29
66%
Midrange
ATL
14
42
33%
TOR
10
34
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
TOR
1
1.5
12
8%
13%
Free Throws
ATL
14
20
70%
TOR
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams1765%8.5 / 13
A. Horford1657%8.0 / 14
J. Johnson1657%8.0 / 14
J. Smith1246%6.0 / 13
J. Crawford1056%5.0 / 9
M. Bibby956%4.5 / 8
J. Powell950%4.5 / 9
M. Evans450%2.0 / 4
J. Teague250%1.0 / 2
Z. Pachulia150%0.5 / 1
J. Crawford0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bargnani1441%7.0 / 17
D. DeRozan1372%6.5 / 9
J. Dorsey964%4.5 / 7
L. Kleiza956%4.5 / 8
S. Weems840%4.0 / 10
L. Barbosa840%4.0 / 10
J. Bayless844%4.0 / 9
A. Johnson440%2.0 / 5
J. Calderon321%1.5 / 7
J. Wright250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
81
+10
-10
91
TOR
77
+9
-15
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.04 52.2%
TOR
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
105.9
ATL 105.5
TOR 84.8 +20.7
Pace
89.5
93.1
ATL 79.3
TOR 107.9 +28.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.1
ATL 18.2
TOR 13.3 +4.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
49.1%
ATL 51.9% +11.2%
TOR 40.7%
TO %
14.2%
15.0%
ATL 11.1% +4.0%
TOR 15.1%
ORB %
23.5%
28.3%
ATL 17.5%
TOR 17.8% +0.3%
FTrt
26.9
29.3
ATL 25.3
TOR 28.0 +2.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
57.1%
ATL 64.9% +14.9%
TOR 50.0%
STL %
6.8%
7.6%
ATL 6.6% +0.1%
TOR 6.5%
BLK %
6.6%
6.7%
ATL 7.9% +3.0%
TOR 4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.1%
ATL 52.2% +6.9%
TOR 45.3%
Rim FG%
60.0%
58.9%
ATL 78.9% +13.4%
TOR 65.5%
Mid FG%
42.5%
41.2%
ATL 33.3% +3.9%
TOR 29.4%
3P %
35.2%
31.6%
ATL 44.4% +36.1%
TOR 8.3%
FT %
78.0%
75.5%
ATL 70.0%
TOR 81.0% +11.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
39.1%
ATL 24.1%
TOR 38.7% +14.6%
Mid Att. %
47.4%
44.7%
ATL 53.2%
TOR 45.3% +7.8%
3P Att. %
22.2%
16.2%
ATL 22.8% +6.8%
TOR 16.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.
Game TotalsATLTOR
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes27.520.5
Points9678
Rebounds4441
Assists2415
Steals66
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)33 (1)
Field Goals37-7930-75
At-the-Rim FG15-1919-29
Midrange FG14-4210-34
2-Point FG29-6129-63
3-Point FG8-181-12
Free Throws14-2017-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
36.6
12
46%
13
10
3
2
2
2
1
12
4-6
67%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 24
36.5
17
65%
12
1
1
1
0
2
3
9
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
2-3
67%
C · 6'10" 245 · 24
27.1
16
57%
8
2
0
1
1
4
3
5
2-2
100%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
27.0
9
56%
2
3
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
3-4
75%
G · 6'7" 240 · 29
26.7
16
57%
1
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
5-7
71%
1-5
20%
G · 6'5" 185 · 31
24.9
10
56%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32
23.4
4
50%
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
15.5
9
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 27
10.4
1
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 22
8.2
2
50%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
· 6'4" 195 · 22
3.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
#19 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#36 · C · 6'10" 260 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
52%
44
24
6
5
10
0
7
37
14-20
70%
29-61
48%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.