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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 28, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Hawks42%10396
19Raptors58%10678
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.0
36.6
27.0
12
47%
13
10
3
1
2
2
1
12
4-6
67%
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.4
36.5
25.6
17
67%
12
1
1
1
1
0
3
9
3-4
75%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
27.1
34.5
16
58%
8
2
0
1
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
7-13
7-12
54%
55%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.5
27.0
28.7
9
56%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
3-4
75%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.4
26.7
33.5
16
58%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
5-7
5-11
71%
48%
1-5
20%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.7
24.9
27.3
10
56%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.1
23.4
21.9
4
50%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.8
15.5
10.7
9
51%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
4-8
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.8
10.4
13.5
1
57%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.5
8.2
7.0
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.1
3.8
8.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.0
6.0
0
0-1
42%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.6
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.1
34.6
35.4
14
39%
7
0
1
0
1
5
1
6
2-2
100%
6-14
6-13
43%
50%
0-3
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.3
33.5
22.9
13
75%
6
1
1
1
0
1
0
6
5-6
83%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.2
30.4
30.4
3
20%
5
5
2
1
0
3
2
3
1-1
100%
1-7
4-7
14%
52%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.4
26.5
25.8
8
40%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
53%
0-1
0%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.0
19.7
2.0
9
65%
6
2
0
0
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
4-6
0-0
67%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.0
29.4
26.0
8
40%
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
0-3
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.6
21.2
21.4
4
40%
6
1
1
1
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
4-6
40%
61%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 25.9
19.8
23.3
9
57%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
18.3
14.3
8
47%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
6-8
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
6.6
4.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.5
13.1
0
1-2
45%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.5
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.5
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.