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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls62%9896
30Kings38%9485
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.8
43.9
37.2
17
59%
8
5
4
1
2
2
2
6
7-8
88%
5-11
5-10
45%
53%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
43.1
39.2
22
57%
9
4
1
1
2
3
5
4
10-14
71%
3-9
6-12
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.1
42.0
39.1
30
56%
7
7
1
1
0
1
2
5
9-9
100%
9-19
9-18
47%
51%
1-4
25%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
19.3
17.9
9
46%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.5
14.0
15.8
2
50%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.7
34.0
21.7
8
44%
10
3
1
1
0
2
1
9
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.7
28.5
27.4
8
50%
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.4
9.1
14.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.6
6.1
25.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
50%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
13.2
0
1-3
49%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.7
3.2
0
0-0
43%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.1
0.5
0
0-0
50%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 28.0
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.2
37.3
35.4
17
44%
6
9
1
1
2
5
1
5
5-5
100%
6-16
7-14
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.4
33.1
14.5
18
60%
9
4
0
0
1
3
1
8
6-7
86%
6-12
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.8
32.1
23.8
13
57%
7
3
2
1
2
1
1
6
1-1
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.5
30.5
16.8
12
86%
6
1
1
0
5
2
2
4
0-0
-
6-7
2-4
86%
51%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.0
28.3
27.5
3
34%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.4
26.7
22.8
5
34%
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.4
20.5
15.2
8
57%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
2-5
40%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.3
15.9
25.5
6
38%
4
0
0
1
0
2
4
0
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
47%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.2
8.9
31.8
3
22%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-6
6-12
17%
53%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
5.4
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.0
1.4
8.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.1
6.4
0
1-1
47%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.9
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.