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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat46%9395
6Mavericks54%95106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.9
41.1
36.4
22
53%
9
5
0
2
2
7
1
8
6-11
55%
8-15
6-13
53%
50%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.7
37.5
35.4
22
56%
8
2
2
1
0
1
1
7
4-4
100%
9-17
7-13
53%
50%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
36.1
38.5
23
45%
8
4
1
2
0
5
2
6
13-15
87%
5-15
7-13
33%
53%
0-4
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.3
20.7
25.5
6
43%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.5
10.9
19.8
0
0%
3
0
2
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.3
29.3
18.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
20.8
5.9
8
82%
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
2-3
67%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
17.1
18.2
9
83%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
38%
2-4
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.5
9.6
19.9
3
75%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.8
8.8
11.0
2
114%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.4
8.0
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
6.2
0
0-1
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.5
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.8
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.7
37.4
34.0
5
43%
8
13
2
2
0
2
0
8
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-3
33%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.7
37.3
28.3
23
72%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
6-12
4-10
50%
45%
3-3
100%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.2
36.3
29.7
14
60%
17
0
0
0
3
0
7
10
2-4
50%
6-10
3-4
60%
58%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.4
34.3
38.5
22
45%
6
4
3
1
0
2
0
6
3-3
100%
8-18
8-15
44%
50%
1-5
20%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.7
15.3
13.8
3
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
1-3
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.2
29.1
32.8
12
41%
2
4
1
1
0
3
1
1
5-6
83%
2-9
4-8
22%
49%
1-3
33%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.6
24.2
23.4
14
54%
5
0
1
1
0
1
4
1
2-2
100%
6-12
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.4
14.7
16.8
13
78%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.0
8.0
16.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.1
3.5
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.6
0.0
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.1
1.4
0
0-0
43%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.6
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.8
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.