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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Magic66%99100
26Wizards34%9499
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.0
41.4
36.2
32
64%
11
1
0
1
2
3
4
7
8-14
57%
12-19
7-12
63%
60%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.6
32.4
26.1
20
73%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
4-7
57%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.8
31.1
29.7
11
42%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
51%
1-3
33%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
30.8
33.0
9
38%
2
3
0
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
1-5
20%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.4
25.4
31.8
8
93%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
29.3
25.1
3
38%
7
1
2
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-4
25%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.2
18.2
17.8
4
50%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.6
17.2
17.7
7
52%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.0
7.6
2.7
4
67%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.8
6.6
12.3
2
25%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
56%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
2.7
0
0-1
48%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
1.7
0
0-0
44%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.8
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
37.5
30.5
10
42%
13
4
2
1
2
2
3
10
2-2
100%
4-11
6-13
36%
47%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.9
36.5
36.2
31
53%
5
5
0
1
1
2
0
5
12-14
86%
8-17
4-9
47%
45%
1-6
17%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.9
34.0
29.3
9
36%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-8
2-5
13%
46%
2-4
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
30.0
8.4
8
59%
7
2
4
0
0
2
5
2
2-4
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
43%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.9
26.2
34.3
9
58%
7
1
1
1
2
1
3
4
1-4
25%
4-6
5-9
67%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.5
32.3
25.6
21
66%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
47%
3-4
75%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.0
12.0
8.0
2
50%
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.0
11.2
8.1
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-2
50%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.0
10.5
11.1
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.0
9.8
8.5
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.2
29.5
1
4-9
44%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.9
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.6
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.0
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.