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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 26, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hornets37%9397
7Trail Blazers63%9878
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.2
35.7
33.0
14
71%
7
2
1
1
0
3
0
7
1-2
50%
5-8
7-14
63%
50%
1-1
100%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.6
35.7
34.4
16
84%
6
13
2
2
0
5
0
6
8-8
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.2
32.0
28.7
6
32%
9
2
0
1
1
1
5
4
2-8
25%
2-6
4-7
33%
53%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
28.8
30.7
14
88%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
4-5
80%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
28.3
30.7
18
66%
7
1
0
1
0
2
2
5
5-6
83%
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
1-3
33%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.3
28.8
20.0
19
74%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
2-4
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.7
19.9
16.2
4
33%
8
2
1
0
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.1
12.3
17.0
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.5
10.2
8.6
2
26%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.9
8.4
8.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
7.0
0
1-1
46%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.0
6.5
0
1-2
49%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.0
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.4
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.4
42.9
38.7
14
43%
9
4
2
1
2
1
2
7
2-3
67%
6-15
8-16
40%
49%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.9
37.4
33.4
5
31%
0
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
57%
1-5
20%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.3
34.5
10.9
27
62%
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
7-14
2-3
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.7
30.2
34.3
9
44%
5
6
1
1
0
3
1
4
3-3
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 36.7
26.6
32.2
4
50%
5
0
2
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.1
20.5
32.4
4
29%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-4
4-7
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.6
15.1
19.2
2
50%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.8
14.8
11.5
4
41%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 35.3
10.1
2.5
6
75%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
49%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 25.6
6.7
23.1
3
50%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.4
1.3
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.3
1.2
0
0-0
46%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 22.8
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.4
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.