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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 26, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Bulls39%9597
10Nuggets61%9998
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.6
43.8
13.2
33
60%
3
3
2
1
0
3
1
2
9-12
75%
9-18
2-3
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
40.7
38.5
24
60%
11
1
0
1
1
2
3
8
6-7
86%
9-13
6-12
69%
47%
0-4
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.7
39.3
36.5
17
60%
16
4
1
1
0
1
4
12
7-7
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
52%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.5
18.9
13.5
5
42%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
11.7
21.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.7
24.9
29.6
8
30%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
1-6
17%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.7
20.4
22.7
2
50%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.4
18.1
11.0
2
21%
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1
2-4
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
17.8
9.5
4
40%
1
0
2
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 28.0
4.4
2.8
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.7
4.2
0
0-0
39%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.1
0.3
0
0-0
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.1
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.5
39.3
35.7
22
49%
6
8
0
1
1
2
0
6
8-10
80%
7-17
8-17
41%
48%
0-1
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
34.5
34.9
13
55%
5
4
0
1
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
2-4
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23.1
33.5
26.2
17
61%
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
3-6
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.2
26.3
31.2
18
91%
7
2
0
1
2
2
2
5
2-2
100%
8-9
4-7
89%
57%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
14.3
16.6
4
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
27.9
14.7
9
42%
9
2
0
1
0
0
1
8
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.8
22.4
29.5
5
42%
3
1
0
1
1
6
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.4
20.5
18.7
6
56%
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
2
2-3
67%
2-4
1-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.4
14.7
8.4
2
35%
3
2
2
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
6.7
10.7
2
35%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32.6
6.9
0
1-2
45%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.4
2.3
0
0-0
52%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 32.9
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.