FinalWin Prob.pScore
2414%92
90
186%106
99
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
102.388102.9
MIA logo MIA
111.28977.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA90
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0PHIMISS Young Free Throw 2 of 290
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0PHIMISS Young Free Throw 1 of 290
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0PHI76ers Rebound90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0PHIMISS Meeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:13PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 190
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:16PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17PHIMISS Iguodala 4' Driving Layup88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)88
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot88
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:06PHIYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)88
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:06PHIYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (23 PTS)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30PHIWade STEAL (2 STL)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup86
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 2:52PHIMISS Holiday 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)86
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 3:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 3:30PHIMISS Brand 9' Jump Shot86
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 3:46PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 4:10PHIIguodala 2' Dunk (18 PTS) (Meeks 2 AST)86
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 4:14MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)84
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 4:32PHIYoung 4' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Iguodala 5 AST)84
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 4:50MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)82
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 4:50MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)82
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 5:02PHIIguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)82
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 5:23MIAAnthony 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)79
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 5:37MIAHEAT Rebound79
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 5:38PHIMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 5:43MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)79
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 5:56PHIIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 5:56PHIIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 6:06PHI76ers Rebound77
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 177
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 6:18MIAHEAT Rebound77
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 6:19PHIMISS Holiday 3' Driving Layup77
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 6:26PHISpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot77
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 6:45PHIIguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)77
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 7:10MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 6 AST)77
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 7:38PHIHoliday 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)77
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 7:53MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)75
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 7:53MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)75
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot75
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 8:19PHISpeights 5' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)75
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 8:33MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)73
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 8:33MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)73
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 8:37MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 8:38PHIJames BLOCK (1 BLK)73
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 9:02MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)73
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q4 - 9:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q4 - 9:14PHIMISS Brand 3' Layup73
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q4 - 9:26MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)73
5.2%
81
94.8%
Q4 - 9:26MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)73
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q4 - 9:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
6.5%
79
93.5%
Q4 - 9:39PHIMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot73
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q4 - 10:01MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS)73
8.5%
79
91.5%
Q4 - 10:18MIAHEAT Rebound73
10.4%
77
89.6%
Q4 - 10:19PHIMISS Young 2' Layup73
11.1%
77
88.9%
Q4 - 10:40MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 5 AST)73
12.7%
77
87.3%
Q4 - 10:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
15.5%
75
84.5%
Q4 - 10:50PHIMISS Speights 17' Jump Shot73
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q4 - 11:11PHISpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
18.5%
75
81.5%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot73
17.6%
75
82.4%
Q4 - 11:25PHISpeights 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Young 3 AST)73
15.5%
75
84.5%
Q4 - 11:41MIABosh 10' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)71
12.9%
75
87.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHI71
15.5%
73
84.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
18.5%
73
81.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot71
17.4%
73
82.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
15.6%
73
84.4%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
17.4%
73
82.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
15.6%
73
84.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot71
17.4%
73
82.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0PHIIguodala 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)71
15.6%
73
84.4%
Q3 - 1:11MIAHoward 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)68
10.8%
73
89.2%
Q3 - 1:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q3 - 1:24PHIMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 1:41MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)68
15.2%
71
84.8%
Q3 - 1:41MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 268
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q3 - 1:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
15.5%
70
84.5%
Q3 - 1:45PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 268
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q3 - 1:45PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 268
17.5%
70
82.5%
Q3 - 1:47PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
17.9%
70
82.1%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot68
17.2%
70
82.8%
Q3 - 2:19PHIYoung 6' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Holiday 6 AST)68
15.0%
70
85.0%
Q3 - 2:37MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)66
12.7%
70
87.3%
Q3 - 2:53PHIYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)66
17.6%
67
82.4%
Q3 - 2:53PHIMISS Young Free Throw 1 of 265
16.9%
67
83.1%
Q3 - 2:53PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
17.5%
67
82.5%
Q3 - 2:54PHIMISS Meeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
15.8%
67
84.2%
Q3 - 2:56PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
17.5%
67
82.5%
Q3 - 2:57MIAMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot65
16.7%
67
83.3%
Q3 - 3:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
15.0%
67
85.0%
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot65
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 3:23PHIMeeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)65
14.5%
67
85.5%
Q3 - 3:31PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS James 5' Running Jump Shot62
10.1%
67
89.9%
Q3 - 3:47PHIYoung 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)62
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)60
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q3 - 4:16MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 4:17PHIMISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
9.5%
65
90.5%
Q3 - 4:36MIAAnthony 3' Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)60
10.8%
65
89.2%
Q3 - 4:42PHIIguodala 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 4:53PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
10.8%
63
89.2%
Q3 - 4:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 258
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 4:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
9.5%
63
90.5%
Q3 - 5:19PHIBrand 2' Layup (12 PTS)58
10.6%
62
89.4%
Q3 - 5:20PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
9.2%
62
90.8%
Q3 - 5:21PHIMISS Holiday 2' Finger Roll Layup56
8.2%
62
91.8%
Q3 - 5:24MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)56
9.3%
62
90.7%
Q3 - 5:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q3 - 5:26PHIMISS Holiday 8' Jump Shot56
8.2%
62
91.8%
Q3 - 5:35PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
9.3%
62
90.7%
Q3 - 5:36MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot56
8.8%
62
91.2%
Q3 - 5:50PHIBrand 3 Second Violation Turnover (P5.T12)56
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q3 - 6:05MIAJames 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
9.2%
62
90.8%
Q3 - 6:20PHIHawes Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)56
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 6:30PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q3 - 6:31MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
11.7%
60
88.3%
Q3 - 6:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 6:51PHIMISS Brand 17' Jump Shot56
11.0%
60
89.0%
Q3 - 7:13PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
12.1%
60
87.9%
Q3 - 7:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 256
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 7:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
10.8%
60
89.2%
Q3 - 7:25PHIBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
12.0%
59
88.0%
Q3 - 7:25PHIBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
11.6%
59
88.4%
Q3 - 7:27PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot54
10.1%
59
89.9%
Q3 - 7:55PHIBrand Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)54
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q3 - 8:09PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Bosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper54
10.1%
59
89.9%
Q3 - 8:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q3 - 8:25PHIMISS Hawes 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
9.5%
59
90.5%
Q3 - 8:40MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)54
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q3 - 8:50PHIBrand 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)54
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q3 - 9:09MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)52
7.9%
59
92.1%
Q3 - 9:37PHIHoliday 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turner 2 AST)52
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q3 - 9:52MIAIlgauskas 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)49
6.9%
57
93.1%
Q3 - 10:02MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
7.9%
55
92.1%
Q3 - 10:03PHIMISS Hawes 7' Jump Hook Shot49
8.2%
55
91.8%
Q3 - 10:17MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)49
9.0%
55
91.0%
Q3 - 10:35MIAJump Ball James vs. Brand: Tip to Ilgauskas49
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q3 - 10:44PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
11.6%
53
88.4%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot49
11.2%
53
88.8%
Q3 - 11:09PHIHoliday 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q3 - 11:13PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
9.0%
53
91.0%
Q3 - 11:15PHIBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)47
8.2%
53
91.8%
Q3 - 11:27MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)47
9.0%
53
91.0%
Q3 - 11:43MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q3 - 11:44PHIMISS Brand 14' Jump Shot47
10.5%
51
89.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHI47
11.5%
51
88.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHI76ers Rebound47
11.5%
51
88.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0PHIMISS Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
10.7%
51
89.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
11.4%
51
88.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Wade 6' Floating Jump Shot47
11.1%
51
88.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0PHIHoliday Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0PHIHoliday Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)45
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0PHIMeeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Holiday 5 AST)45
10.4%
49
89.6%
Q2 - 1:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
7.9%
49
92.1%
Q2 - 1:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
8.1%
48
91.9%
Q2 - 1:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
9.2%
47
90.8%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
9.8%
47
90.2%
Q2 - 1:26PHIMeeks 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hawes 1 AST)42
9.2%
47
90.8%
Q2 - 1:50MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)39
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q2 - 2:18PHIMeeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Holiday 4 AST)39
9.0%
44
91.0%
Q2 - 2:35MIAHoward 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)36
7.2%
44
92.8%
Q2 - 2:54PHIHawes 1' Tip Shot (5 PTS)36
8.0%
42
92.0%
Q2 - 2:55PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)34
7.2%
42
92.8%
Q2 - 2:56PHIMISS Meeks 3' Layup34
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 3:10PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
7.2%
42
92.8%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 234
7.1%
42
92.9%
Q2 - 3:11MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)34
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 3:16MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
7.0%
41
93.0%
Q2 - 3:17PHIMISS Hawes 3' Alley Oop Layup34
7.3%
41
92.7%
Q2 - 3:25MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
8.1%
41
91.9%
Q2 - 3:25MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)34
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 3:43PHIMeeks 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Young 2 AST)34
8.9%
39
91.1%
Q2 - 3:48PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
8.1%
39
91.9%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot32
7.7%
39
92.3%
Q2 - 4:06PHIJames STEAL (1 STL)32
7.0%
39
93.0%
Q2 - 4:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
7.9%
39
92.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 4:45PHIMeeks 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
8.8%
37
91.2%
Q2 - 5:03PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
7.9%
37
92.1%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot30
7.7%
37
92.3%
Q2 - 5:19MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
7.1%
37
92.9%
Q2 - 5:20PHIMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 230
7.2%
37
92.8%
Q2 - 5:20PHIMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 230
7.8%
37
92.2%
Q2 - 5:25MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)30
7.9%
37
92.1%
Q2 - 5:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
7.1%
37
92.9%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot30
7.7%
37
92.3%
Q2 - 6:04PHIWilliams 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
7.2%
37
92.8%
Q2 - 6:37MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)28
6.6%
37
93.4%
Q2 - 6:58PHIYoung 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Meeks 1 AST)28
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 7:17MIABosh 5' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)26
6.5%
35
93.5%
Q2 - 7:35PHIMeeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)26
7.2%
33
92.8%
Q2 - 7:42PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
5.9%
33
94.1%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot23
5.7%
33
94.3%
Q2 - 8:08PHIMeeks 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)23
5.4%
33
94.6%
Q2 - 8:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
4.9%
33
95.1%
Q2 - 8:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
5.0%
32
95.0%
Q2 - 8:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q2 - 8:24MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot21
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q2 - 8:38PHINocioni Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)21
5.4%
31
94.6%
Q2 - 8:54MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)21
6.0%
31
94.0%
Q2 - 9:08MIAHEAT Rebound21
6.6%
29
93.4%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
7.1%
29
92.9%
Q2 - 9:28PHISpeights 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Young 1 AST)21
6.6%
29
93.4%
Q2 - 9:34PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
6.0%
29
94.0%
Q2 - 9:35PHIMISS Nocioni 13' Jump Shot19
5.6%
29
94.4%
Q2 - 9:58MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)19
6.0%
29
94.0%
Q2 - 10:16PHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)19
7.4%
26
92.6%
Q2 - 10:26PHISpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
8.0%
26
92.0%
Q2 - 10:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
7.4%
26
92.6%
Q2 - 10:44PHIMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q2 - 11:00MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 219
8.4%
25
91.6%
Q2 - 11:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
8.3%
25
91.7%
Q2 - 11:17PHIMISS Speights 16' Jump Shot19
8.5%
25
91.5%
Q2 - 11:25PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
9.1%
25
90.9%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
8.8%
25
91.2%
Q2 - 11:49PHIWilliams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)19
8.3%
25
91.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
7.6%
25
92.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
7.0%
25
93.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0PHIMISS Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
7.1%
25
92.9%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)17
7.5%
25
92.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0PHIWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)17
9.1%
22
90.9%
Q1 - 0:57.0PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
9.8%
22
90.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
9.6%
22
90.4%
Q1 - 1:16PHISpeights 3' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)17
9.2%
22
90.8%
Q1 - 1:27MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
8.2%
22
91.8%
Q1 - 1:27MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
8.4%
21
91.6%
Q1 - 1:49MIAHEAT Rebound15
9.2%
20
90.8%
Q1 - 1:50PHIMISS Brand 3' Layup15
9.4%
20
90.6%
Q1 - 1:51PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 1:52PHIAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)15
9.4%
20
90.6%
Q1 - 1:57PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot15
9.6%
20
90.4%
Q1 - 2:06PHIWade STEAL (1 STL)15
9.2%
20
90.8%
Q1 - 2:08PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
10.0%
20
90.0%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot15
9.7%
20
90.3%
Q1 - 2:17MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
9.2%
20
90.8%
Q1 - 2:18PHIMISS Iguodala 21' Jump Shot15
9.4%
20
90.6%
Q1 - 2:34MIAWade 9' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS)15
9.9%
20
90.1%
Q1 - 2:50PHIIguodala 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Holiday 3 AST)15
10.9%
18
89.1%
Q1 - 3:04MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T5)13
9.9%
18
90.1%
Q1 - 3:18PHIBrand 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)13
9.1%
18
90.9%
Q1 - 3:34MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)13
9.9%
18
90.1%
Q1 - 3:40PHIArroyo STEAL (1 STL)13
10.7%
16
89.3%
Q1 - 4:03MIAIlgauskas 3' Putback Layup (2 PTS)13
11.3%
16
88.7%
Q1 - 4:05MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
12.2%
14
87.8%
Q1 - 4:06MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup13
12.9%
14
87.1%
Q1 - 4:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
12.2%
14
87.8%
Q1 - 4:14PHIMISS Brand 14' Jump Shot13
12.5%
14
87.5%
Q1 - 4:37MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)13
13.3%
14
86.7%
Q1 - 4:50MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 4:51PHIMISS Turner 12' Jump Shot13
15.7%
11
84.3%
Q1 - 5:02PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
16.5%
11
83.5%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot13
16.1%
11
83.9%
Q1 - 5:18PHIBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
15.3%
11
84.7%
Q1 - 5:18PHIBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
15.0%
11
85.0%
Q1 - 5:23MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)11
14.3%
11
85.7%
Q1 - 5:46PHIBrand 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Holiday 2 AST)11
13.2%
11
86.8%
Q1 - 5:55MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)9
12.3%
11
87.7%
Q1 - 5:55MIAHEAT Rebound9
11.3%
11
88.7%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Bosh 14' Running Jump Shot9
12.0%
11
88.0%
Q1 - 6:24PHIIguodala 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)9
11.2%
11
88.8%
Q1 - 6:30MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
10.4%
11
89.6%
Q1 - 6:36PHIIguodala 2' Dunk (2 PTS)7
9.6%
11
90.4%
Q1 - 6:40MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
9.0%
11
91.0%
Q1 - 7:06PHIHawes 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST)5
8.2%
11
91.8%
Q1 - 7:21MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)3
7.7%
11
92.3%
Q1 - 7:42MIAHEAT Rebound3
8.8%
8
91.2%
Q1 - 7:43PHIMISS Turner 19' Jump Shot3
9.0%
8
91.0%
Q1 - 7:48PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)3
9.6%
8
90.4%
Q1 - 7:49PHIMISS Iguodala 3PT Jump Shot3
9.0%
8
91.0%
Q1 - 7:59PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
9.6%
8
90.4%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup3
9.3%
8
90.7%
Q1 - 8:12PHIHawes Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
8.7%
8
91.3%
Q1 - 8:12PHIMISS Hawes Free Throw 1 of 22
8.5%
8
91.5%
Q1 - 8:15PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
8.7%
8
91.3%
Q1 - 8:16PHIMISS Holiday 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
8.3%
8
91.7%
Q1 - 8:35MIABosh 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
8.7%
8
91.3%
Q1 - 8:41PHIBosh STEAL (1 STL)2
9.4%
6
90.6%
Q1 - 8:57MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
10.1%
6
89.9%
Q1 - 9:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.8%
4
89.2%
Q1 - 9:01PHIMISS Brand 9' Jump Shot2
11.0%
4
89.0%
Q1 - 9:22MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
11.6%
4
88.4%
Q1 - 9:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 9:47PHIMISS Holiday 23' Jump Shot2
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 10:02MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)2
13.1%
2
86.9%
Q1 - 10:13MIAHEAT Rebound2
13.9%
0
86.1%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot2
14.6%
0
85.4%
Q1 - 10:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
13.9%
0
86.1%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot2
14.6%
0
85.4%
Q1 - 10:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
13.9%
0
86.1%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot2
14.6%
0
85.4%
Q1 - 11:05PHIBrand 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)2
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:18PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup0
12.5%
0
87.5%
Q1 - 11:26MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.0%
0
88.0%
Q1 - 11:27PHIMISS Brand 17' Jump Shot0
12.2%
0
87.8%
Q1 - 11:43PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot0
12.5%
0
87.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Hawes: Tip to Arroyo0
12.0%
0
88.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
14
25
56%
MIA
9
16
56%
Midrange
PHI
13
29
45%
MIA
20
46
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
PHI
12
21
57%
MIA
23
29
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Meeks2181%10.5 / 13
A. Iguodala2071%10.0 / 14
E. Brand1240%6.0 / 15
T. Young1169%5.5 / 8
J. Holiday945%4.5 / 10
M. Speights867%4.0 / 6
S. Hawes536%2.5 / 7
L. Williams433%2.0 / 6
E. Turner0-0.0 / 2
A. Nocioni0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2355%11.5 / 21
L. James2050%10.0 / 20
C. Bosh1845%9.0 / 20
C. Arroyo1785%8.5 / 10
J. Anthony758%3.5 / 6
Z. Ilgauskas467%2.0 / 3
J. Howard467%2.0 / 3
J. Jones375%1.5 / 2
E. House330%1.5 / 5
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
74
+11
-14
85
MIA
80
+15
-9
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
111.4
PHI 102.3
MIA 111.2 +9.0
Pace
92.2
91.3
PHI 102.9 +25.2
MIA 77.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.2
PHI 14.0 +4.5
MIA 18.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
52.4%
PHI 52.7% +4.0%
MIA 48.7%
TO %
13.1%
14.4%
PHI 14.4%
MIA 10.8% +3.6%
ORB %
24.6%
25.2%
PHI 25.0%
MIA 27.9% +2.9%
FTrt
27.3
36.3
PHI 28.4
MIA 37.2 +8.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
54.1%
PHI 65.7% +11.4%
MIA 54.3%
STL %
8.2%
7.3%
PHI 8.0% +0.1%
MIA 7.9%
BLK %
6.7%
8.5%
PHI 1.6%
MIA 5.6% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
55.7%
PHI 52.3% +0.2%
MIA 52.1%
Rim FG%
59.6%
64.7%
PHI 56.0%
MIA 56.3% +0.3%
Mid FG%
40.9%
42.2%
PHI 44.8% +1.3%
MIA 43.5%
3P %
35.5%
37.0%
PHI 40.0% +2.5%
MIA 37.5%
FT %
77.0%
76.9%
PHI 57.1%
MIA 79.3% +22.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.1%
31.6%
PHI 33.8% +13.3%
MIA 20.5%
Mid Att. %
48.5%
44.9%
PHI 39.2% +19.8%
MIA 59.0%
3P Att. %
18.4%
23.5%
PHI 27.0% +6.5%
MIA 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsPHIMIA
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes20.527.5
Points9099
Rebounds4039
Assists2319
Steals77
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)27 (5)
Field Goals35-7435-78
At-the-Rim FG14-259-16
Midrange FG13-2920-46
2-Point FG27-5429-62
3-Point FG8-206-16
Free Throws12-2123-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 215 · 27
38.8
20
71%
9
5
3
1
2
4
1
8
2-5
40%
6-8
75%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 254 · 32
36.2
12
40%
8
1
0
0
5
1
2
6
4-4
100%
4-13
31%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 20
33.8
9
45%
5
6
2
0
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
C · 7'1" 245 · 23
22.7
5
36%
8
1
0
0
1
4
3
5
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 220 · 22
22.7
0
0%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
24.8
11
69%
6
3
1
0
0
4
2
4
3-6
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 23
24.6
21
81%
0
2
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
5-8
63%
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23
14.9
8
67%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
14.2
4
33%
0
3
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
· 6'7" 225 · 31
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 23
C · 6'11" 240 · 35
#25 · F · 6'9" 248 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#72 · F · 6'8" 215 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
52%
40
23
7
1
14
0
9
31
12-21
57%
27-54
50%
8-20
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.