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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 25, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Wizards36%9796
17Hawks64%102116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.9
38.3
35.8
21
54%
6
8
3
1
0
1
0
6
3-3
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
46%
4-9
44%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.9
34.5
35.4
7
38%
10
0
1
1
1
1
3
7
3-3
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
53%
0-1
0%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.2
33.1
27.0
10
36%
1
7
1
1
1
3
0
1
4-4
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.9
24.5
33.1
8
57%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
46%
0-2
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
23.0
36.1
12
51%
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
4-10
7-16
40%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.5
26.0
25.9
20
60%
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
2
4-6
67%
8-12
3-7
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.0
16.6
2.1
6
38%
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
1
2-2
100%
2-7
0-1
29%
48%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
13.1
1.8
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
44%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.0
11.6
11.0
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.0
9.0
7.8
6
51%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
44%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.0
7.4
8.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.9
3.0
1.4
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.0
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.1
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.0
28.7
29.9
20
63%
14
5
2
1
2
2
5
9
4-4
100%
8-14
5-10
57%
52%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
27.5
31.9
15
61%
13
0
1
1
2
2
7
6
3-3
100%
6-11
6-11
55%
57%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.4
26.6
31.8
21
62%
5
5
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
3-5
60%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.4
23.8
22.1
6
43%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.5
21.0
26.0
2
20%
1
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.0
27.6
14.3
7
39%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
1-4
25%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.7
23.1
31.0
15
62%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
6-7
86%
3-4
3-7
75%
48%
1-5
20%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.8
20.5
11.4
4
38%
4
1
0
0
2
3
0
4
2-3
67%
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.8
15.4
15.6
8
82%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.1
14.9
10.2
9
56%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
49%
1-1
100%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.5
7.1
11.7
2
100%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.0
3.9
6.2
7
127%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-1
100%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.6
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.