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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 24, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Warriors35%102101
18Rockets65%107111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.0
45.2
33.5
24
55%
8
4
2
1
1
2
2
6
3-6
50%
9-16
3-7
56%
47%
1-3
33%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
41.4
35.4
18
38%
3
3
2
2
0
0
1
2
3-6
50%
6-16
7-14
38%
49%
1-5
20%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
35.5
33.6
21
50%
4
6
4
2
0
1
0
4
5-5
100%
8-17
6-12
47%
48%
0-2
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
29.9
28.2
6
75%
10
0
0
1
0
2
2
8
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
58%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
6.5
20.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
28.5
25.3
15
72%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
2-5
40%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
14.8
12.2
5
50%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.6
13.8
13.5
4
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
12.7
11.9
8
80%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
43%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 24.8
11.6
13.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
8.2
0
1-1
42%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
4.2
0
1-1
52%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.6
39.9
31.1
24
56%
12
3
0
1
0
0
1
11
8-15
53%
8-15
8-15
53%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.7
39.6
32.4
14
66%
7
10
2
1
0
3
0
7
5-6
83%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.2
36.1
30.3
13
55%
6
1
0
1
4
4
1
5
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
49%
2-6
33%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.8
33.4
31.4
25
67%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
14-15
93%
1-6
4-8
17%
49%
3-6
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.5
28.6
20.8
16
94%
7
5
0
1
1
2
4
3
8-8
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.5
24.5
15.3
9
57%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
2-4
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
21.8
16.9
9
101%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
2-2
100%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.4
8.4
14.6
1
27%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
4.6
17.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
53%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.6
3.0
22.8
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.0
5.9
0
1-2
48%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.0
2.4
0
0-1
48%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.9
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.7
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.