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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 24, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat47%9495
4Magic53%95104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
40.7
37.6
25
58%
6
4
1
2
0
3
1
5
6-8
75%
8-15
7-13
53%
53%
1-3
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.9
40.0
35.2
18
37%
7
5
0
2
1
1
2
5
5-7
71%
5-17
6-12
29%
50%
1-4
25%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.7
36.0
35.2
21
64%
6
2
0
1
0
2
3
3
7-8
88%
7-13
6-13
54%
50%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.5
24.7
21.3
7
44%
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.3
21.6
21.2
9
64%
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.5
26.4
23.2
7
51%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-4
50%
42%
1-4
25%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
16.8
22.7
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-5
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.8
12.3
9.9
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.3
11.2
5.8
4
100%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
10.2
8.6
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.4
14.3
0
1-2
57%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
5.8
0
0-1
47%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.7
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.8
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.4
42.9
19.8
20
66%
4
5
1
0
0
1
0
4
7-7
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
3-8
38%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.0
38.4
36.7
24
60%
18
1
0
1
1
3
3
15
8-16
50%
8-13
7-13
62%
58%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.8
33.4
29.3
17
51%
3
14
1
1
0
5
1
2
2-4
50%
6-12
4-7
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
28.6
34.9
14
57%
4
1
2
1
0
0
1
3
3-5
60%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
1-1
100%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.6
24.6
21.8
6
48%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-5
80%
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-3
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.6
25.7
16.6
18
75%
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
9-12
3-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
21.4
25.1
3
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-3
33%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.2
14.6
17.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.8
9.7
11.6
2
114%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.0
0.7
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
2.9
0
0-1
43%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.8
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.