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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 24, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Nets20%8783
8Celtics80%9989
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
39.2
34.0
18
73%
4
0
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
46%
1-3
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.6
37.3
36.7
16
46%
5
1
0
1
1
2
3
2
6-8
75%
5-14
7-15
36%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
32.0
27.8
2
20%
11
2
0
1
2
1
3
8
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.7
31.0
33.6
20
72%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
7-9
78%
5-7
4-10
71%
45%
1-3
33%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.2
24.6
37.5
5
36%
5
0
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
43%
1-2
50%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.0
31.2
22.5
10
42%
3
7
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
1-6
17%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
18.1
4.1
2
50%
5
0
0
0
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.4
15.6
18.0
4
50%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.8
10.7
8.8
6
100%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
0.3
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.7
2.2
0
0-0
39%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.3
1.6
0
0-0
42%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.6
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.3
40.1
31.7
15
63%
4
7
3
1
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
54%
3-5
60%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.1
39.3
31.4
18
46%
5
4
1
1
0
0
1
4
3-6
50%
6-12
5-9
50%
52%
1-5
20%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.5
32.5
28.5
8
33%
5
2
3
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-12
5-10
33%
54%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.7
31.6
20.7
25
80%
11
0
1
0
0
0
3
8
7-13
54%
9-10
4-7
90%
59%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.5
19.5
25.0
7
70%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
1-2
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.9
29.0
16.6
4
40%
3
4
2
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.9
28.0
26.6
8
40%
4
2
0
1
2
3
1
3
2-2
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.3
11.9
18.8
4
50%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.3
4.9
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
2.5
14.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.9
0.7
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.0
6.1
0
1-1
48%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.0
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.8
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.