| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 DET | 96.6 | 87 | 87.2 |
 DAL | 97.8 | 90 | 89.8 |
Scoring Opportunities
DET
72
+12
-15
84
DAL
82
+13
-8
95
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DET
0.99 49.4%
DAL
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | DET | DAL |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 84 0% | 88 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:02.0 | DAL | Terry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 84 0.1% | 88 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | DET | MISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 0.2% | 88 99.8% |
| Q4 - 0:09.0 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (42 PTS) | 84 1.8% | 88 98.2% |
| Q4 - 0:09.0 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (41 PTS) | 84 2.0% | 87 98.0% |
| Q4 - 0:10.0 | DET | Stuckey 10' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 84 4.1% | 86 95.9% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS) | 82 2.3% | 86 97.7% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS) | 82 2.5% | 85 97.5% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7) | 82 4.9% | 84 95.1% |
| Q4 - 0:19.0 | DAL | MISS Terry 15' Jump Shot | 82 11.3% | 84 88.7% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | DAL | Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 82 8.9% | 84 91.1% |
| Q4 - 0:45.0 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot | 82 14.6% | 84 85.4% |
| Q4 - 1:01 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 82 10.8% | 84 89.2% |
| Q4 - 1:01 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 81 10.0% | 84 90.0% |
| Q4 - 1:15 | DAL | Chandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 80 7.6% | 84 92.4% |
| Q4 - 1:15 | DAL | MISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 2 | 80 8.9% | 83 91.1% |
| Q4 - 1:32 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 80 8.4% | 83 91.6% |
| Q4 - 1:32 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 79 7.8% | 83 92.2% |
| Q4 - 1:49 | DAL | Terry 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST) | 78 6.0% | 83 94.0% |
| Q4 - 2:16 | DET | Prince 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 78 9.0% | 81 91.0% |
| Q4 - 2:35 | DAL | Terry 13' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 76 6.9% | 81 93.1% |
| Q4 - 2:55 | DAL | Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 76 10.1% | 79 89.9% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | DET | MISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 1 | 76 10.8% | 79 89.2% |
| Q4 - 3:18 | DAL | Nowitzki Foul Turnover (P1.T8) | 74 7.5% | 79 92.5% |
| Q4 - 3:23 | DAL | Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 74 4.2% | 79 95.8% |
| Q4 - 3:25 | DET | Butler BLOCK (1 BLK) | 74 5.0% | 79 95.0% |
| Q4 - 3:45 | DAL | Nowitzki 3' Turnaround Bank Shot (38 PTS) | 74 9.0% | 79 91.0% |
| Q4 - 4:12 | DET | Prince 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS) | 74 12.1% | 77 87.9% |
| Q4 - 4:29 | DET | Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 72 8.7% | 77 91.3% |
| Q4 - 4:30 | DAL | MISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 7.7% | 77 92.3% |
| Q4 - 4:35 | DAL | Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 72 5.9% | 77 94.1% |
| Q4 - 4:37 | DET | MISS Prince 23' Jump Shot | 72 6.6% | 77 93.4% |
| Q4 - 4:55 | DAL | Terry 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST) | 72 8.6% | 77 91.4% |
| Q4 - 5:13 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 72 13.6% | 75 86.4% |
| Q4 - 5:13 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 71 13.0% | 75 87.0% |
| Q4 - 5:29 | DAL | Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST) | 70 10.2% | 75 89.8% |
| Q4 - 5:46 | DAL | Jump Ball Haywood vs. Monroe: Tip to Nowitzki | 70 13.5% | 73 86.5% |
| Q4 - 5:46 | DET | Haywood BLOCK (2 BLK) | 70 14.8% | 73 85.2% |
| Q4 - 5:46 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 70 18.3% | 73 81.7% |
| Q4 - 5:47 | DET | MISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot | 70 14.8% | 73 85.2% |
| Q4 - 6:09 | DAL | Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST) | 70 18.6% | 73 81.4% |
| Q4 - 6:18 | DAL | Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 70 29.1% | 70 70.9% |
| Q4 - 6:19 | DET | MISS Stuckey 1' Driving Layup | 70 31.2% | 70 68.8% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS) | 70 36.3% | 70 63.7% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS) | 70 37.0% | 69 63.0% |
| Q4 - 6:32 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 70 43.1% | 68 56.9% |
| Q4 - 6:33 | DAL | MISS Terry 14' Jump Shot | 70 48.8% | 68 51.2% |
| Q4 - 6:53 | DET | Gordon 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST) | 70 43.2% | 68 56.8% |
| Q4 - 7:07 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS) | 67 28.5% | 68 71.5% |
| Q4 - 7:07 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS) | 67 29.0% | 67 71.0% |
| Q4 - 7:16 | DAL | Haywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 67 34.0% | 66 66.0% |
| Q4 - 7:17 | DET | MISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot | 67 36.1% | 66 63.9% |
| Q4 - 7:40 | DAL | Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST) | 67 41.2% | 66 58.8% |
| Q4 - 7:55 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 67 54.6% | 63 45.4% |
| Q4 - 7:56 | DET | MISS Villanueva 12' Driving Jump Shot | 67 56.8% | 63 43.2% |
| Q4 - 8:11 | DAL | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 67 58.2% | 63 41.8% |
| Q4 - 8:11 | DAL | Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 67 59.0% | 62 41.0% |
| Q4 - 8:15 | DAL | Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 67 64.5% | 61 35.5% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | DET | MISS Bynum 20' Jump Shot | 67 66.2% | 61 33.8% |
| Q4 - 8:28 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 67 70.1% | 61 29.9% |
| Q4 - 8:29 | DET | MISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot | 67 66.3% | 61 33.7% |
| Q4 - 8:42 | DET | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 67 70.2% | 61 29.8% |
| Q4 - 8:42 | DAL | MISS Marion 8' Jump Shot | 67 68.5% | 61 31.5% |
| Q4 - 9:00 | DET | Monroe Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15) | 67 64.7% | 61 35.3% |
| Q4 - 9:11 | DAL | Barea Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 67 67.1% | 61 32.9% |
| Q4 - 9:27 | DET | Bynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 67 61.8% | 61 38.2% |
| Q4 - 9:27 | DET | Bynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 66 60.8% | 61 39.2% |
| Q4 - 9:43 | DAL | Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 65 55.9% | 61 44.1% |
| Q4 - 9:43 | DAL | Butler 1' Layup (9 PTS) | 65 55.9% | 61 44.1% |
| Q4 - 9:45 | DAL | MISS Marion 2' Running Layup | 65 65.7% | 59 34.3% |
| Q4 - 9:50 | DET | Butler STEAL (2 STL) | 65 61.9% | 59 38.1% |
| Q4 - 10:04 | DET | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 65 64.5% | 59 35.5% |
| Q4 - 10:05 | DAL | MISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 | 65 63.8% | 59 36.2% |
| Q4 - 10:05 | DAL | Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 65 60.0% | 59 40.0% |
| Q4 - 10:22 | DET | McGrady Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13) | 65 64.6% | 58 35.4% |
| Q4 - 10:38 | DAL | Haywood Traveling Turnover (P1.T6) | 65 69.7% | 58 30.3% |
| Q4 - 10:59 | DET | Monroe 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS) | 65 64.7% | 58 35.3% |
| Q4 - 11:00 | DET | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 63 59.5% | 58 40.5% |
| Q4 - 11:01 | DET | MISS Bynum 17' Jump Shot | 63 53.4% | 58 46.6% |
| Q4 - 11:27 | DAL | Butler 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST) | 63 57.2% | 58 42.8% |
| Q4 - 11:45 | DET | Gordon 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST) | 63 62.5% | 56 37.5% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 61 57.3% | 56 42.7% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DAL | MAVERICKS Rebound | 61 52.0% | 56 48.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DAL | MISS Barea 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 61 55.7% | 56 44.3% |
| Q3 - 0:03.0 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 61 50.3% | 56 49.7% |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | DET | MISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 51.7% | 56 48.3% |
| Q3 - 0:30.0 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS) | 61 55.1% | 56 44.9% |
| Q3 - 0:30.0 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS) | 61 55.6% | 55 44.4% |
| Q3 - 0:30.0 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 61 60.5% | 54 39.5% |
| Q3 - 0:30.0 | DAL | MISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 63.6% | 54 36.4% |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | DAL | Marion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 61 60.5% | 54 39.5% |
| Q3 - 0:36.0 | DET | Barea BLOCK (1 BLK) | 61 61.9% | 54 38.1% |
| Q3 - 0:56.0 | DET | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 61 65.0% | 54 35.0% |
| Q3 - 0:57.0 | DAL | MISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot | 61 63.7% | 54 36.3% |
| Q3 - 1:07 | DAL | Marion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 61 58.5% | 54 41.5% |
| Q3 - 1:08 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot | 61 61.5% | 54 38.5% |
| Q3 - 1:24 | DAL | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 61 58.6% | 54 41.4% |
| Q3 - 1:25 | DET | MISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot | 61 59.9% | 54 40.1% |
| Q3 - 1:45 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS) | 61 62.9% | 54 37.1% |
| Q3 - 1:45 | DAL | Terry Free Throw Technical (7 PTS) | 61 63.4% | 53 36.6% |
| Q3 - 1:45 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 | 61 67.8% | 52 32.2% |
| Q3 - 2:06 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 61 64.8% | 52 35.2% |
| Q3 - 2:07 | DET | MISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 | 61 65.3% | 52 34.7% |
| Q3 - 2:07 | DET | MISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 | 61 68.0% | 52 32.0% |
| Q3 - 2:07 | DET | McGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 61 68.9% | 52 31.1% |
| Q3 - 2:08 | DET | Chandler BLOCK (1 BLK) | 61 66.1% | 52 33.9% |
| Q3 - 2:22 | DAL | Terry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 61 69.0% | 52 31.0% |
| Q3 - 2:34 | DET | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 61 65.0% | 52 35.0% |
| Q3 - 2:34 | DET | MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 | 60 62.7% | 52 37.3% |
| Q3 - 2:47 | DAL | Nowitzki 1' Putback Layup (24 PTS) | 60 64.9% | 52 35.1% |
| Q3 - 2:48 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 60 69.2% | 50 30.8% |
| Q3 - 2:51 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 2' Layup | 60 71.9% | 50 28.1% |
| Q3 - 3:03 | DAL | Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 60 66.3% | 50 33.7% |
| Q3 - 3:04 | DET | MISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot | 60 67.6% | 50 32.4% |
| Q3 - 3:29 | DAL | Terry 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 60 70.6% | 50 29.4% |
| Q3 - 3:43 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 60 74.1% | 48 25.9% |
| Q3 - 3:43 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 59 73.5% | 48 26.5% |
| Q3 - 3:46 | DET | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 58 70.6% | 48 29.4% |
| Q3 - 3:47 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot | 58 69.4% | 48 30.6% |
| Q3 - 3:59 | DET | Wallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12) | 58 66.6% | 48 33.4% |
| Q3 - 4:20 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 58 69.3% | 48 30.7% |
| Q3 - 4:21 | DAL | MISS Butler 16' Jump Shot | 58 67.9% | 48 32.1% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 58 64.8% | 48 35.2% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | DET | MISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 | 57 64.2% | 48 35.8% |
| Q3 - 4:45 | DAL | Chandler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4) | 57 65.5% | 48 34.5% |
| Q3 - 4:57 | DET | Prince 11' Driving Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 57 60.7% | 48 39.3% |
| Q3 - 5:17 | DAL | Terry 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST) | 55 55.0% | 48 45.0% |
| Q3 - 5:38 | DET | Hamilton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 55 58.8% | 46 41.2% |
| Q3 - 6:03 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 53 52.8% | 46 47.2% |
| Q3 - 6:04 | DAL | MISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 51.4% | 46 48.6% |
| Q3 - 6:12 | DAL | Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 53 48.4% | 46 51.6% |
| Q3 - 6:15 | DET | MISS Wallace 1' Driving Reverse Layup | 53 49.8% | 46 50.2% |
| Q3 - 6:20 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 53 52.9% | 46 47.1% |
| Q3 - 6:21 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 7' Turnaround Jump Shot | 53 51.5% | 46 48.5% |
| Q3 - 6:46 | DET | Stuckey 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) | 53 48.6% | 46 51.4% |
| Q3 - 6:52 | DET | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 51 44.9% | 46 55.1% |
| Q3 - 6:52 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 6' Fadeaway Jumper | 51 43.6% | 46 56.4% |
| Q3 - 7:04 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 51 39.0% | 46 61.0% |
| Q3 - 7:06 | DET | Nowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK) | 51 40.2% | 46 59.8% |
| Q3 - 7:08 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 51 42.9% | 46 57.1% |
| Q3 - 7:09 | DET | MISS Prince 16' Jump Shot | 51 40.2% | 46 59.8% |
| Q3 - 7:37 | DAL | Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Terry 4 AST) | 51 43.0% | 46 57.0% |
| Q3 - 7:57 | DET | Stuckey 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 51 50.6% | 43 49.4% |
| Q3 - 8:26 | DAL | Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST) | 48 42.2% | 43 57.8% |
| Q3 - 8:42 | DET | Prince 1' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST) | 48 49.4% | 40 50.6% |
| Q3 - 8:47 | DET | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 46 45.9% | 40 54.1% |
| Q3 - 8:48 | DAL | MISS Butler 17' Jump Shot | 46 44.7% | 40 55.3% |
| Q3 - 9:04 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 46 40.9% | 40 59.1% |
| Q3 - 9:04 | DET | Maxiell 1' Putback Dunk (10 PTS) | 46 40.9% | 40 59.1% |
| Q3 - 9:06 | DET | MISS Wallace 2' Reverse Layup | 44 35.1% | 40 64.9% |
| Q3 - 9:14 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 44 37.5% | 40 62.5% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | DAL | MISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 44 36.4% | 40 63.6% |
| Q3 - 9:35 | DET | Hamilton Foul Turnover (P2.T11) | 44 34.1% | 40 65.9% |
| Q3 - 10:07 | DAL | Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST) | 44 36.3% | 40 63.7% |
| Q3 - 10:18 | DAL | Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 44 39.6% | 38 60.4% |
| Q3 - 10:21 | DET | MISS Stuckey 1' Driving Layup | 44 40.7% | 38 59.3% |
| Q3 - 10:26 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 44 43.2% | 38 56.8% |
| Q3 - 10:27 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 23' Jump Shot | 44 42.1% | 38 57.9% |
| Q3 - 10:54 | DET | Prince 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST) | 44 39.7% | 38 60.3% |
| Q3 - 11:00 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 42 36.4% | 38 63.6% |
| Q3 - 11:02 | DAL | MISS Butler 2' Driving Layup | 42 34.4% | 38 65.6% |
| Q3 - 11:12 | DAL | Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 32.2% | 38 67.8% |
| Q3 - 11:13 | DET | MISS Prince 17' Jump Shot | 42 33.2% | 38 66.8% |
| Q3 - 11:35 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 42 35.5% | 38 64.5% |
| Q3 - 11:36 | DAL | MISS Stevenson 19' Step Back Jump Shot | 42 34.5% | 38 65.5% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 42 32.2% | 38 67.8% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DAL | MAVERICKS Rebound | 42 32.2% | 38 67.8% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DAL | MISS Terry 29' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 34.5% | 38 65.5% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 42 32.0% | 38 68.0% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 41 31.6% | 38 68.4% |
| Q2 - 0:06.0 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 40 28.6% | 38 71.4% |
| Q2 - 0:06.0 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 40 28.8% | 37 71.2% |
| Q2 - 0:24.0 | DET | Prince 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST) | 40 32.0% | 36 68.0% |
| Q2 - 0:31.0 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 38 28.6% | 36 71.4% |
| Q2 - 0:32.0 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper | 38 28.0% | 36 72.0% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | DET | Maxiell 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST) | 38 26.5% | 36 73.5% |
| Q2 - 1:19 | DAL | Kidd 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 4 AST) | 36 23.1% | 36 76.9% |
| Q2 - 1:24 | DET | Butler STEAL (1 STL) | 36 26.2% | 34 73.8% |
| Q2 - 1:30 | DET | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 36 28.1% | 34 71.9% |
| Q2 - 1:32 | DAL | MISS Kidd 22' Jump Shot | 36 27.5% | 34 72.5% |
| Q2 - 1:53 | DET | Prince 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 36 26.3% | 34 73.7% |
| Q2 - 2:16 | DAL | Kidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 34 23.2% | 34 76.8% |
| Q2 - 2:16 | DAL | Kidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 34 23.5% | 33 76.5% |
| Q2 - 2:28 | DET | Gordon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 34 25.5% | 32 74.5% |
| Q2 - 2:51 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 34 28.0% | 32 72.0% |
| Q2 - 2:52 | DAL | MISS Terry 12' Pullup Jump Shot | 34 27.2% | 32 72.8% |
| Q2 - 3:08 | DET | Maxiell 2' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST) | 34 24.7% | 32 75.3% |
| Q2 - 3:31 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 32 22.9% | 32 77.1% |
| Q2 - 3:32 | DAL | MISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 22.1% | 32 77.9% |
| Q2 - 3:44 | DAL | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 32 20.5% | 32 79.5% |
| Q2 - 3:45 | DET | MISS Monroe 15' Jump Shot | 32 21.2% | 32 78.8% |
| Q2 - 4:03 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 32 22.3% | 32 77.7% |
| Q2 - 4:03 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 2' Layup | 32 21.6% | 32 78.4% |
| Q2 - 4:06 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 32 20.1% | 32 79.9% |
| Q2 - 4:07 | DAL | MISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot | 32 21.6% | 32 78.4% |
| Q2 - 4:12 | DAL | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 32 20.1% | 32 79.9% |
| Q2 - 4:14 | DET | MISS Monroe 1' Layup | 32 20.8% | 32 79.2% |
| Q2 - 4:15 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 32 22.3% | 32 77.7% |
| Q2 - 4:16 | DET | MISS Villanueva 10' Jump Shot | 32 20.8% | 32 79.2% |
| Q2 - 4:29 | DAL | Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Terry 3 AST) | 32 22.3% | 32 77.7% |
| Q2 - 4:49 | DET | Bynum 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 32 24.3% | 30 75.7% |
| Q2 - 4:58 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 30 22.4% | 30 77.6% |
| Q2 - 4:59 | DAL | MISS Mahinmi 4' Turnaround Hook Shot | 30 21.7% | 30 78.3% |
| Q2 - 5:15 | DET | Terry STEAL (3 STL) | 30 20.1% | 30 79.9% |
| Q2 - 5:32 | DET | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 30 22.0% | 30 78.0% |
| Q2 - 5:33 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 | 30 21.8% | 30 78.2% |
| Q2 - 5:33 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 | 30 20.2% | 30 79.8% |
| Q2 - 5:50 | DET | McGrady 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 30 20.1% | 30 79.9% |
| Q2 - 6:06 | DAL | Nowitzki 11' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST) | 28 18.4% | 30 81.6% |
| Q2 - 6:32 | DET | Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST) | 28 19.9% | 28 80.1% |
| Q2 - 6:37 | DET | McGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 25 16.8% | 28 83.2% |
| Q2 - 6:40 | DAL | MISS Barea 1' Driving Reverse Layup | 25 16.2% | 28 83.8% |
| Q2 - 6:45 | DET | Terry STEAL (2 STL) | 25 15.0% | 28 85.0% |
| Q2 - 7:03 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 25 16.4% | 28 83.6% |
| Q2 - 7:03 | DAL | MISS Terry 6' Driving Jump Shot | 25 16.0% | 28 84.0% |
| Q2 - 7:26 | DET | Bynum 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 25 14.9% | 28 85.1% |
| Q2 - 7:36 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 23 13.6% | 28 86.4% |
| Q2 - 7:37 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot | 23 13.2% | 28 86.8% |
| Q2 - 8:02 | DET | Monroe Putback Layup (2 PTS) | 23 12.4% | 28 87.6% |
| Q2 - 8:04 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 21 11.3% | 28 88.7% |
| Q2 - 8:05 | DET | MISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot | 21 10.6% | 28 89.4% |
| Q2 - 8:20 | DAL | Terry 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST) | 21 11.3% | 28 88.7% |
| Q2 - 8:24 | DAL | Barea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 12.4% | 26 87.6% |
| Q2 - 8:25 | DET | MISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 12.8% | 26 87.2% |
| Q2 - 8:33 | DET | McGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 13.6% | 26 86.4% |
| Q2 - 8:34 | DAL | MISS Barea 2' Layup | 21 13.2% | 26 86.8% |
| Q2 - 8:51 | DET | Villanueva Traveling Turnover (P1.T6) | 21 12.4% | 26 87.6% |
| Q2 - 8:54 | DET | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 21 13.6% | 26 86.4% |
| Q2 - 8:55 | DET | MISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 12.7% | 26 87.3% |
| Q2 - 9:11 | DAL | Marion Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3) | 21 13.6% | 26 86.4% |
| Q2 - 9:26 | DET | McGrady 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) | 21 12.4% | 26 87.6% |
| Q2 - 9:42 | DET | Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 11.3% | 26 88.7% |
| Q2 - 9:43 | DAL | MISS Terry 16' Jump Shot | 19 11.0% | 26 89.0% |
| Q2 - 9:48 | DAL | Haywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 10.3% | 26 89.7% |
| Q2 - 9:50 | DET | MISS Bynum 3' Driving Reverse Layup | 19 10.6% | 26 89.4% |
| Q2 - 9:55 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 11.3% | 26 88.7% |
| Q2 - 9:56 | DAL | MISS Marion 5' Driving Jump Shot | 19 11.0% | 26 89.0% |
| Q2 - 10:07 | DET | Barea STEAL (1 STL) | 19 10.4% | 26 89.6% |
| Q2 - 10:10 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 19 11.5% | 26 88.5% |
| Q2 - 10:12 | DET | Haywood BLOCK (1 BLK) | 19 10.7% | 26 89.3% |
| Q2 - 10:30 | DET | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 11.5% | 26 88.5% |
| Q2 - 10:31 | DAL | MISS Barea 3PT Jump Shot | 19 11.2% | 26 88.8% |
| Q2 - 10:47 | DAL | MAVERICKS Rebound | 19 10.4% | 26 89.6% |
| Q2 - 10:48 | DET | MISS Gordon 13' Running Jump Shot | 19 10.7% | 26 89.3% |
| Q2 - 11:02 | DAL | Marion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 19 11.6% | 26 88.4% |
| Q2 - 11:18 | DET | Villanueva 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 19 10.6% | 26 89.4% |
| Q2 - 11:40 | DAL | Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 17 9.7% | 26 90.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 17 10.6% | 24 89.4% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DAL | MAVERICKS Rebound | 17 10.6% | 24 89.4% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DAL | MISS Barea 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 11.3% | 24 88.7% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | DAL | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 17 10.7% | 24 89.3% |
| Q1 - 0:05.0 | DAL | MISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot | 17 11.3% | 24 88.7% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | DET | Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 17 10.7% | 24 89.3% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | DET | Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 16 10.6% | 24 89.4% |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | DET | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 9.7% | 24 90.3% |
| Q1 - 0:39.0 | DAL | MISS Butler 19' Jump Shot | 15 9.5% | 24 90.5% |
| Q1 - 0:54.0 | DAL | Terry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 9.0% | 24 91.0% |
| Q1 - 0:54.0 | DET | MISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot | 15 9.2% | 24 90.8% |
| Q1 - 1:20 | DAL | Marion 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Terry 2 AST) | 15 9.8% | 24 90.2% |
| Q1 - 1:24 | DAL | Barea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 10.9% | 22 89.1% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | DET | MISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot | 15 11.1% | 22 88.9% |
| Q1 - 1:43 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 15 11.6% | 22 88.4% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | DET | MISS Villanueva 20' Jump Shot | 15 11.1% | 22 88.9% |
| Q1 - 2:01 | DAL | Marion Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 15 11.8% | 22 88.2% |
| Q1 - 2:01 | DAL | Marion Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 15 12.0% | 21 88.0% |
| Q1 - 2:21 | DET | Wallace 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST) | 15 12.9% | 20 87.1% |
| Q1 - 2:39 | DET | McGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 11.8% | 20 88.2% |
| Q1 - 2:39 | DAL | MISS Marion 13' Jump Shot | 13 11.5% | 20 88.5% |
| Q1 - 2:50 | DET | Stuckey 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 13 11.0% | 20 89.0% |
| Q1 - 3:00 | DAL | Butler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST) | 11 10.0% | 20 90.0% |
| Q1 - 3:18 | DAL | Haywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 10.9% | 18 89.1% |
| Q1 - 3:18 | DET | MISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 1 | 11 11.0% | 18 89.0% |
| Q1 - 3:37 | DAL | Haywood Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 3 AST) | 9 10.0% | 18 90.0% |
| Q1 - 3:43 | DET | Terry STEAL (1 STL) | 9 10.9% | 16 89.1% |
| Q1 - 3:49 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 9 11.8% | 16 88.2% |
| Q1 - 3:50 | DAL | MISS Kidd 10' Jump Bank Shot | 9 11.5% | 16 88.5% |
| Q1 - 4:11 | DET | McGrady 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) | 9 10.7% | 16 89.3% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 7 10.0% | 16 90.0% |
| Q1 - 4:25 | DAL | MISS Butler 21' Jump Shot | 7 9.7% | 16 90.3% |
| Q1 - 4:46 | DET | Prince 1' Running Layup (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST) | 7 9.1% | 16 90.9% |
| Q1 - 4:49 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 8.5% | 16 91.5% |
| Q1 - 4:51 | DAL | MISS Butler 14' Jump Shot | 5 8.2% | 16 91.8% |
| Q1 - 5:10 | DET | Prince Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 5 8.0% | 16 92.0% |
| Q1 - 5:10 | DET | MISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 2 | 4 7.9% | 16 92.1% |
| Q1 - 5:17 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 4 8.1% | 16 91.9% |
| Q1 - 5:17 | DAL | MISS Chandler 5' Turnaround Hook Shot | 4 7.9% | 16 92.1% |
| Q1 - 5:32 | DET | Kidd STEAL (1 STL) | 4 7.4% | 16 92.6% |
| Q1 - 5:38 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 8.1% | 16 91.9% |
| Q1 - 5:39 | DAL | MISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 7.9% | 16 92.1% |
| Q1 - 5:52 | DAL | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 4 7.4% | 16 92.6% |
| Q1 - 5:53 | DET | MISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot | 4 7.6% | 16 92.4% |
| Q1 - 5:59 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 8.1% | 16 91.9% |
| Q1 - 6:01 | DAL | MISS Butler 3' Layup | 4 7.9% | 16 92.1% |
| Q1 - 6:08 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 4 7.5% | 16 92.5% |
| Q1 - 6:08 | DET | Maxiell 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS) | 4 7.5% | 16 92.5% |
| Q1 - 6:09 | DET | MISS Hamilton 7' Jump Shot | 2 6.6% | 16 93.4% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | DAL | Stevenson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 2 AST) | 2 6.9% | 16 93.1% |
| Q1 - 6:44 | DAL | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 2 8.1% | 13 91.9% |
| Q1 - 6:45 | DET | MISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot | 2 8.3% | 13 91.7% |
| Q1 - 7:05 | DAL | Nowitzki 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS) | 2 8.8% | 13 91.2% |
| Q1 - 7:22 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 2 9.4% | 11 90.6% |
| Q1 - 7:22 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 1 9.3% | 11 90.7% |
| Q1 - 7:35 | DAL | Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST) | 0 8.8% | 11 91.2% |
| Q1 - 7:43 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 0 10.1% | 8 89.9% |
| Q1 - 7:43 | DET | MISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot | 0 10.4% | 8 89.6% |
| Q1 - 8:04 | DAL | Butler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 0 10.8% | 8 89.2% |
| Q1 - 8:23 | DET | Hamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 0 11.7% | 6 88.3% |
| Q1 - 8:40 | DAL | Chandler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST) | 0 12.5% | 6 87.5% |
| Q1 - 8:48 | DAL | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 13.4% | 4 86.6% |
| Q1 - 8:49 | DAL | MISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 14.1% | 4 85.9% |
| Q1 - 8:55 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 0 13.4% | 4 86.6% |
| Q1 - 8:57 | DET | Nowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK) | 0 13.7% | 4 86.3% |
| Q1 - 9:19 | DAL | Nowitzki 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) | 0 14.4% | 4 85.6% |
| Q1 - 9:43 | DAL | Stevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 15.4% | 2 84.6% |
| Q1 - 9:44 | DET | MISS Prince 15' Jump Shot | 0 15.7% | 2 84.3% |
| Q1 - 10:10 | DAL | Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST) | 0 16.5% | 2 83.5% |
| Q1 - 10:29 | DET | Maxiell Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 17.3% | 0 82.7% |
| Q1 - 10:45 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 18.6% | 0 81.4% |
| Q1 - 10:46 | DAL | MISS Kidd 21' Jump Shot | 0 18.2% | 0 81.8% |
| Q1 - 11:04 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 17.1% | 0 82.9% |
| Q1 - 11:05 | DET | MISS Wallace 1' Layup | 0 17.4% | 0 82.6% |
| Q1 - 11:24 | DAL | Chandler Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 18.0% | 0 82.0% |
| Q1 - 11:37 | DAL | Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 17.1% | 0 82.9% |
| Q1 - 11:38 | DET | MISS Hamilton 14' Floating Jump Shot | 0 17.4% | 0 82.6% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | DAL | Jump Ball Chandler vs. Wallace: Tip to Maxiell | 0 18.1% | 0 81.9% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
DET
0.99 49.4%
DAL
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
15
27
56%
DAL
7
17
41%
Midrange
DET
13
38
34%
DAL
17
41
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
DAL
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
Free Throws
DET
19
26
73%
DAL
22
27
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Pistons| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Stuckey | 19 | 73% | 9.5 / 13 | |
| T. Prince | 19 | 68% | 9.5 / 14 | |
| J. Maxiell | 10 | 71% | 5.0 / 7 | |
| B. Gordon | 10 | 45% | 5.0 / 11 | |
| T. McGrady | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 | |
| W. Bynum | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 | |
| R. Hamilton | 5 | 28% | 2.5 / 9 | |
| G. Monroe | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 | |
| B. Wallace | 3 | 30% | 1.5 / 5 | |
| C. Villanueva | 2 | 17% | 1.0 / 6 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Mavericks| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nowitzki | 42 | 68% | 21.0 / 31 | |
| J. Terry | 16 | 47% | 8.0 / 17 | |
| C. Butler | 11 | 42% | 5.5 / 13 | |
| J. Kidd | 7 | 35% | 3.5 / 10 | |
| S. Marion | 4 | 29% | 2.0 / 7 | |
| T. Chandler | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| D. Stevenson | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| B. Haywood | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| J. Barea | 0 | - | 0.0 / 5 | |
| I. Mahinmi | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
DET
72
+12
-15
84
DAL
82
+13
-8
95
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DET
0.99 49.4%
DAL
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.5 109.5 | DET 96.6 DAL 97.8 +1.2 |
| Pace | 89.3 91.5 | DET 87.2 DAL 89.8 +2.5 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.6 15.9 | DET 16.5 DAL 16.0 +0.5 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.5% 52.5% | DET 44.5% +2.2% DAL 42.3% |
| TO % | 13.5% 14.7% | DET 15.1% DAL 8.2% +6.9% |
| ORB % | 27.4% 24.1% | DET 25.6% +3.4% DAL 22.2% |
| FTrt | 27.9 28.6 | DET 35.6 +1.0 DAL 34.6 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 56.6% 63.7% | DET 35.5% DAL 70.0% +34.5% |
| STL % | 8.0% 7.4% | DET 1.1% DAL 7.8% +6.7% |
| BLK % | 6.6% 6.8% | DET 5.2% DAL 10.8% +5.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 51.9% 54.9% | DET 49.4% +3.1% DAL 46.3% |
| Rim FG% | 59.2% 62.5% | DET 55.6% +14.4% DAL 41.2% |
| Mid FG% | 38.8% 44.0% | DET 34.2% DAL 41.5% +7.3% |
| 3P % | 37.6% 36.5% | DET 37.5% +7.5% DAL 30.0% |
| FT % | 73.7% 77.7% | DET 73.1% DAL 81.5% +8.4% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 36.3% 29.9% | DET 37.0% +15.2% DAL 21.8% |
| Mid Att. % | 44.8% 42.8% | DET 52.1% +0.5% DAL 52.6% |
| 3P Att. % | 18.9% 27.4% | DET 11.0% DAL 25.6% +14.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.42 and 2.42.
| Game Totals | DET | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 87 | 90 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.9 | 24.1 |
| Points | 84 | 88 |
| Rebounds | 46 | 42 |
| Assists | 11 | 21 |
| Steals | 1 | 7 |
| Blocks | 3 | 7 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 15 (0) | 8 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 11 (1) | 10 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 35 (2) | 32 (1) |
| Field Goals | 31-73 | 30-78 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 15-27 | 7-17 |
| Midrange FG | 13-38 | 17-41 |
| 2-Point FG | 28-65 | 24-58 |
| 3-Point FG | 3-8 | 6-20 |
| Free Throws | 19-26 | 22-27 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.