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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 22, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pacers16%9393
1Heat84%10677
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.6
39.0
35.4
20
44%
11
6
3
1
1
3
1
10
4-4
100%
2-12
5-10
17%
46%
4-9
44%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.4
38.0
26.6
20
60%
7
4
1
1
0
1
2
5
2-4
50%
9-13
2-4
69%
43%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 23.7
26.1
20.3
0
0%
3
4
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.2
21.6
27.6
4
25%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
46%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.9
21.5
29.0
9
39%
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
2
1-1
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
47%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.7
26.4
29.9
13
60%
6
5
1
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
45%
1-2
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.9
22.6
20.2
8
50%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
20.6
5.2
4
50%
10
0
1
0
1
2
3
7
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30.2
17.2
30.9
11
62%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
1-4
25%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 25.1
6.8
13.9
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
42%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.6
7.5
0
0-1
44%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.9
5.2
0
1-1
44%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.8
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.1
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 20.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
41.6
36.3
25
61%
5
6
1
2
0
6
0
5
11-15
73%
4-6
8-14
67%
55%
2-8
25%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.7
38.8
34.1
21
60%
11
0
1
1
2
4
1
10
7-10
70%
7-13
7-13
54%
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.8
37.5
34.2
3
10%
4
5
2
2
2
5
0
4
1-5
20%
1-9
6-12
11%
53%
0-4
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.3
25.0
19.1
12
100%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
2-2
100%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.5
22.3
21.4
12
61%
8
1
0
0
4
2
4
4
4-4
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.5
23.0
23.9
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-5
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
20.9
24.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.8
15.5
6.4
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
15.4
3.1
4
72%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-4
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 36.0
9.0
0
1-2
45%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
8.6
0
0-1
49%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.3
7.7
0
0-1
51%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.8
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.7
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.