FinalWin Prob.pScore
1816%93
93
184%106
77
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
98.99492.2
MIA logo MIA
84.69192.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0IND93
100%
77
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIABosh 3' Dunk (21 PTS) (James 6 AST)93
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0INDMISS Posey 11' Jump Shot93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)92
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16INDMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T22)91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)88
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 2:36INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)88
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53MIABosh Foul Turnover (P3.T21)85
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 3:01MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 3:03INDMISS Granger 12' Jump Shot85
99.4%
72
0.6%
Q4 - 3:18MIAJames Foul Turnover (P6.T20)85
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 3:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)85
99.4%
72
0.6%
Q4 - 3:33INDMISS Ford 16' Fadeaway Jumper85
98.3%
72
1.7%
Q4 - 3:48INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)85
98.8%
72
1.2%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q4 - 3:58INDWade STEAL (2 STL)85
98.3%
72
1.7%
Q4 - 4:19INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)85
98.9%
72
1.1%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
98.8%
72
1.2%
Q4 - 4:36MIAHEAT Rebound85
98.4%
72
1.6%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Bosh 9' Running Jump Shot85
98.8%
72
1.2%
Q4 - 4:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
98.4%
72
1.6%
Q4 - 4:56INDMISS Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
98.6%
72
1.4%
Q4 - 5:12INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
97.7%
72
2.3%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
97.5%
72
2.5%
Q4 - 5:32MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
96.8%
72
3.2%
Q4 - 5:34INDBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)85
97.2%
72
2.8%
Q4 - 5:47INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
97.8%
72
2.2%
Q4 - 5:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 285
97.7%
72
2.3%
Q4 - 5:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 285
97.1%
72
2.9%
Q4 - 5:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)85
96.9%
72
3.1%
Q4 - 5:54INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
97.2%
72
2.8%
Q4 - 6:09MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)85
96.1%
72
3.9%
Q4 - 6:27INDHibbert 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS)85
97.1%
70
2.9%
Q4 - 6:30INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)83
96.2%
70
3.8%
Q4 - 6:32INDMISS McRoberts 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup83
95.3%
70
4.7%
Q4 - 6:47INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
96.2%
70
3.8%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup83
95.8%
70
4.2%
Q4 - 7:10INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
92.4%
70
7.6%
Q4 - 7:10INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
92.1%
70
7.9%
Q4 - 7:21INDRush REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
90.5%
70
9.5%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 281
90.1%
70
9.9%
Q4 - 7:22MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)81
88.3%
70
11.7%
Q4 - 7:35INDRush 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)81
90.4%
69
9.6%
Q4 - 7:52INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
88.0%
69
12.0%
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot79
87.0%
69
13.0%
Q4 - 8:12INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
80.9%
69
19.1%
Q4 - 8:12INDMISS Rush Free Throw 1 of 278
79.7%
69
20.3%
Q4 - 8:32MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T19)78
80.9%
69
19.1%
Q4 - 8:48INDDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)78
76.8%
69
23.2%
Q4 - 8:59MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)76
71.9%
69
28.1%
Q4 - 8:59MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)76
73.0%
68
27.0%
Q4 - 9:20MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
73.4%
67
26.6%
Q4 - 9:22INDMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot76
74.8%
67
25.2%
Q4 - 9:33INDPacers Rebound76
77.8%
67
22.2%
Q4 - 9:34INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot76
74.9%
67
25.1%
Q4 - 9:50MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)76
77.9%
67
22.1%
Q4 - 10:13INDFord Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)76
82.4%
64
17.6%
Q4 - 10:31INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
85.6%
64
14.4%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
84.7%
64
15.3%
Q4 - 10:48MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
82.6%
64
17.4%
Q4 - 10:50INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
83.6%
64
16.4%
Q4 - 11:14INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
83.2%
64
16.8%
Q4 - 11:16MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot76
82.3%
64
17.7%
Q4 - 11:24INDDunleavy 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Granger 6 AST)76
80.1%
64
19.9%
Q4 - 11:37INDPacers Rebound74
76.5%
64
23.5%
Q4 - 11:39INDMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)74
73.7%
64
26.3%
Q4 - 12:00MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)74
76.6%
64
23.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND74
72.5%
64
27.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound74
76.6%
64
23.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Ford 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
73.8%
64
26.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
73.7%
64
26.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
74.5%
63
25.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
77.9%
62
22.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
78.9%
62
21.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0INDJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
81.0%
62
19.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot74
78.9%
62
21.1%
Q3 - 0:53.0INDJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
81.0%
62
19.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
79.0%
62
21.0%
Q3 - 1:11INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
78.8%
62
21.2%
Q3 - 1:12INDJones BLOCK (1 BLK)74
76.6%
62
23.4%
Q3 - 1:17INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
78.8%
62
21.2%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
77.9%
62
22.1%
Q3 - 1:41INDGranger 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T11)74
75.8%
62
24.2%
Q3 - 2:01MIABosh 2' Layup (16 PTS) (James 5 AST)74
75.9%
62
24.1%
Q3 - 2:25INDPosey 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)74
79.4%
60
20.6%
Q3 - 2:31INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
72.6%
60
27.4%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot71
71.5%
60
28.5%
Q3 - 2:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
68.8%
60
31.2%
Q3 - 2:38MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
71.5%
60
28.5%
Q3 - 2:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
68.9%
60
31.1%
Q3 - 2:51INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
70.1%
60
29.9%
Q3 - 3:02INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
69.7%
60
30.3%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
68.5%
60
31.5%
Q3 - 3:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
65.7%
60
34.3%
Q3 - 3:16INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot71
67.0%
60
33.0%
Q3 - 3:23INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
69.8%
60
30.2%
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot71
68.6%
60
31.4%
Q3 - 3:43INDPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)71
65.8%
60
34.2%
Q3 - 3:56MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)71
70.0%
60
30.0%
Q3 - 4:03MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)71
74.8%
57
25.2%
Q3 - 4:06INDMISS Collison 3' Driving Layup71
76.0%
57
24.0%
Q3 - 4:11INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
78.5%
57
21.5%
Q3 - 4:12MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot71
77.5%
57
22.5%
Q3 - 4:26INDJones 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)71
74.9%
57
25.1%
Q3 - 4:39INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
72.1%
57
27.9%
Q3 - 4:41MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
70.8%
57
29.2%
Q3 - 5:03INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
65.3%
57
34.7%
Q3 - 5:03INDMISS Rush Free Throw 1 of 268
64.2%
57
35.8%
Q3 - 5:11MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P2.T17)68
65.8%
57
34.2%
Q3 - 5:25INDRush 3' Dunk (16 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)68
61.6%
57
38.4%
Q3 - 5:41INDPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
58.1%
57
41.9%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 266
57.5%
57
42.5%
Q3 - 5:43MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
54.8%
57
45.2%
Q3 - 5:50INDRush 13' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)66
57.6%
56
42.4%
Q3 - 6:03MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)64
51.2%
56
48.8%
Q3 - 6:06INDGranger Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)64
46.8%
56
53.2%
Q3 - 6:06MIAHEAT Rebound63
42.8%
56
57.2%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup63
45.8%
56
54.2%
Q3 - 6:17INDGranger Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)63
42.9%
56
57.1%
Q3 - 6:24MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T15)63
47.3%
56
52.7%
Q3 - 6:34INDJones Foul Turnover (P2.T8)63
43.0%
56
57.0%
Q3 - 6:47MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
47.4%
56
52.6%
Q3 - 6:47MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
48.2%
55
51.8%
Q3 - 6:48MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)63
51.0%
54
49.0%
Q3 - 6:50MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot63
54.1%
54
45.9%
Q3 - 7:06INDRush 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Granger 5 AST)63
48.5%
54
51.5%
Q3 - 7:26MIAIlgauskas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T14)61
45.0%
54
55.0%
Q3 - 7:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
41.0%
54
59.0%
Q3 - 7:41INDMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot61
42.2%
54
57.8%
Q3 - 7:51MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
45.1%
54
54.9%
Q3 - 7:51MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
45.8%
53
54.2%
Q3 - 7:52MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
48.7%
52
51.3%
Q3 - 7:54MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
51.5%
52
48.5%
Q3 - 7:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
48.7%
52
51.3%
Q3 - 7:57INDBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)61
50.0%
52
50.0%
Q3 - 7:59INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
52.8%
52
47.2%
Q3 - 8:05INDMISS Hibbert 18' Jump Shot61
48.6%
52
51.4%
Q3 - 8:23MIABosh Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T13)61
51.4%
52
48.6%
Q3 - 8:34MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
47.4%
52
52.6%
Q3 - 8:36INDMISS Rush 19' Jump Shot61
48.7%
52
51.3%
Q3 - 8:50MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)61
51.5%
52
48.5%
Q3 - 9:04MIAHEAT Rebound61
53.3%
50
46.7%
Q3 - 9:07INDMISS Hibbert 7' Running Hook Shot61
54.5%
50
45.5%
Q3 - 9:19INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
57.1%
50
42.9%
Q3 - 9:22MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot61
56.0%
50
44.0%
Q3 - 9:38INDGranger 1' Driving Dunk (11 PTS)61
53.5%
50
46.5%
Q3 - 9:42MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)59
49.9%
50
50.1%
Q3 - 9:49MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
46.1%
50
53.9%
Q3 - 9:52INDMISS Collison 18' Fadeaway Jumper59
47.3%
50
52.7%
Q3 - 10:05MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)59
47.7%
50
52.3%
Q3 - 10:20INDRush Foul Turnover (P1.T7)59
54.8%
47
45.2%
Q3 - 10:34MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)59
58.5%
47
41.5%
Q3 - 10:34MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
59.0%
46
41.0%
Q3 - 10:53INDRush Dunk (10 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)59
61.8%
45
38.2%
Q3 - 11:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)57
56.4%
45
43.6%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 257
57.1%
44
42.9%
Q3 - 11:20INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)57
56.3%
44
43.7%
Q3 - 11:47MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)54
49.7%
44
50.3%
Q3 - 11:50INDWade STEAL (1 STL)54
56.4%
41
43.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND54
60.0%
41
40.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound54
60.0%
41
40.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Granger 17' Fadeaway Jumper54
57.5%
41
42.5%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)54
57.4%
41
42.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
54.9%
41
45.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDMISS Collison 20' Jump Shot54
55.7%
41
44.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
57.5%
41
42.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
58.1%
40
41.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0INDJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)54
61.4%
39
38.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
63.9%
39
36.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0INDMISS Rush 17' Jump Bank Shot54
62.2%
39
37.8%
Q2 - 1:08MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
62.3%
39
37.7%
Q2 - 1:08MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
62.9%
38
37.1%
Q2 - 1:21INDCollison 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
66.1%
37
33.9%
Q2 - 1:30INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
62.3%
37
37.7%
Q2 - 1:32INDWade BLOCK (2 BLK)52
60.8%
37
39.2%
Q2 - 1:44INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
62.3%
37
37.7%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup52
61.7%
37
38.3%
Q2 - 1:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
60.1%
37
39.9%
Q2 - 1:55INDMISS Rush 9' Jump Shot52
60.8%
37
39.2%
Q2 - 2:09MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS)52
61.1%
37
38.9%
Q2 - 2:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
64.0%
35
36.0%
Q2 - 2:17INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot52
64.9%
35
35.1%
Q2 - 2:45MIAJump Ball Arroyo vs. Collison: Tip to Hibbert52
67.1%
35
32.9%
Q2 - 2:59INDHansbrough 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Granger 4 AST)52
64.2%
35
35.8%
Q2 - 3:16MIAArroyo 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
59.6%
35
40.4%
Q2 - 3:35INDHansbrough 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Rush 4 AST)50
62.1%
33
37.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)48
59.7%
33
40.3%
Q2 - 4:05INDRush 3' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)48
54.2%
33
45.8%
Q2 - 4:11MIAIlgauskas 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)46
51.5%
33
48.5%
Q2 - 4:14MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
54.2%
31
45.8%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup46
56.5%
31
43.5%
Q2 - 4:30INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)46
54.3%
31
45.7%
Q2 - 4:35INDRush REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
45.6%
31
54.4%
Q2 - 4:38INDIlgauskas BLOCK (4 BLK)42
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q2 - 4:43INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
45.6%
31
54.4%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot42
44.6%
31
55.4%
Q2 - 5:05INDRush 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)42
41.3%
31
58.7%
Q2 - 5:17INDPacers Rebound40
38.5%
31
61.5%
Q2 - 5:19MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot40
37.7%
31
62.3%
Q2 - 5:40INDJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rush 3 AST)40
35.8%
31
64.2%
Q2 - 5:54MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 4 AST)38
33.1%
31
66.9%
Q2 - 6:09INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)38
34.6%
29
65.4%
Q2 - 6:09INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)37
34.2%
29
65.8%
Q2 - 6:13INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
32.5%
29
67.5%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 236
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q2 - 6:15MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
30.6%
29
69.4%
Q2 - 6:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
32.1%
28
67.9%
Q2 - 6:19INDIlgauskas BLOCK (3 BLK)36
33.0%
28
67.0%
Q2 - 6:39INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
35.1%
28
64.9%
Q2 - 6:40MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 236
34.7%
28
65.3%
Q2 - 6:40MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 236
33.0%
28
67.0%
Q2 - 7:14INDFord 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)36
31.2%
28
68.8%
Q2 - 7:37INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
29.1%
28
70.9%
Q2 - 7:38MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot34
28.3%
28
71.7%
Q2 - 7:57INDFord 2' Running Layup (9 PTS)34
26.7%
28
73.3%
Q2 - 8:01MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)32
24.0%
28
76.0%
Q2 - 8:11INDPosey 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)32
22.0%
28
78.0%
Q2 - 8:29MIABosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (House 1 AST)30
20.3%
28
79.7%
Q2 - 8:49INDDunleavy 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)30
22.1%
26
77.9%
Q2 - 8:55INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
20.3%
26
79.7%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot28
19.8%
26
80.2%
Q2 - 9:08MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q2 - 9:10INDMISS Ford 13' Jump Shot28
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q2 - 9:28INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
19.9%
26
80.1%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
19.4%
26
80.6%
Q2 - 9:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q2 - 9:38INDMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q2 - 9:46INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
19.9%
26
80.1%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
19.4%
26
80.6%
Q2 - 10:06INDPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)28
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMagloire 3' Tip Shot (4 PTS)25
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q2 - 10:40INDRush 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)25
16.7%
24
83.3%
Q2 - 11:08MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)23
15.5%
24
84.5%
Q2 - 11:27INDFord 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
16.7%
22
83.3%
Q2 - 11:34MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)21
15.5%
22
84.5%
Q2 - 11:47INDFord 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
14.1%
22
85.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND19
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames 21' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)19
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDFord 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)19
14.1%
20
85.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
11.5%
20
88.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
10.9%
20
89.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDMISS Granger 16' Jump Shot16
11.1%
20
88.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T6)16
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
10.9%
20
89.1%
Q1 - 0:58.0INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
11.1%
20
88.9%
Q1 - 1:11MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
11.6%
20
88.4%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 216
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 1:22INDDunleavy 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)16
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 1:41INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 213
9.7%
19
90.3%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)13
9.4%
19
90.6%
Q1 - 1:44MIAHEAT Rebound13
10.0%
18
90.0%
Q1 - 1:46INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
10.2%
18
89.8%
Q1 - 2:07INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
10.9%
18
89.1%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 213
10.8%
18
89.2%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
10.4%
18
89.6%
Q1 - 2:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
11.0%
17
89.0%
Q1 - 2:19INDWade BLOCK (1 BLK)13
11.2%
17
88.8%
Q1 - 2:23MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)13
11.8%
17
88.2%
Q1 - 2:51INDHibbert 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)13
11.0%
17
89.0%
Q1 - 3:04INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.0%
17
90.0%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 111
9.8%
17
90.2%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.8%
15
89.2%
Q1 - 3:14INDMISS Collison 14' Jump Shot11
11.1%
15
88.9%
Q1 - 3:36MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)11
11.7%
15
88.3%
Q1 - 3:51MIAHEAT Rebound11
10.8%
15
89.2%
Q1 - 3:53INDMISS Rush 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
11.1%
15
88.9%
Q1 - 3:55INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
11.7%
15
88.3%
Q1 - 3:57INDMISS Hibbert 18' Jump Shot11
11.1%
15
88.9%
Q1 - 4:14MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
11.5%
15
88.5%
Q1 - 4:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
12.3%
13
87.7%
Q1 - 4:24INDMISS Hibbert 17' Jump Shot11
12.7%
13
87.3%
Q1 - 4:28INDPacers Rebound11
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 4:28INDIlgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK)11
12.7%
13
87.3%
Q1 - 4:45MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)11
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 5:04INDCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)11
14.4%
11
85.6%
Q1 - 5:21MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)11
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 5:22MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
14.4%
11
85.6%
Q1 - 5:24MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup11
15.2%
11
84.8%
Q1 - 5:35INDHibbert 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)11
14.4%
11
85.6%
Q1 - 5:55MIAIlgauskas 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)11
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 6:07INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
16.3%
9
83.7%
Q1 - 6:25INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
14.2%
9
85.8%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 28
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 6:27MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
13.4%
9
86.6%
Q1 - 6:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
14.2%
8
85.8%
Q1 - 6:40INDMISS Collison 17' Jump Shot8
14.5%
8
85.5%
Q1 - 6:57INDPacers Rebound8
15.3%
8
84.7%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot8
15.0%
8
85.0%
Q1 - 7:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.9%
8
86.1%
Q1 - 7:17INDMISS Hibbert 17' Jump Shot8
14.2%
8
85.8%
Q1 - 7:39MIAIlgauskas 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
15.0%
8
85.0%
Q1 - 7:54INDBosh STEAL (1 STL)8
16.0%
6
84.0%
Q1 - 8:03INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 8:04MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot8
16.4%
6
83.6%
Q1 - 8:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.7%
6
84.3%
Q1 - 8:12INDMISS Hibbert 19' Jump Shot8
16.0%
6
84.0%
Q1 - 8:26MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)8
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 8:50INDRush 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
17.9%
4
82.1%
Q1 - 8:52INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
16.8%
4
83.2%
Q1 - 8:53INDMISS Rush 2' Layup6
16.0%
4
84.0%
Q1 - 9:05MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)6
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 9:14MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
15.5%
4
84.5%
Q1 - 9:15INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
15.8%
4
84.2%
Q1 - 9:25INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Arroyo 14' Jump Shot6
16.2%
4
83.8%
Q1 - 9:51INDCollison 4' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)6
15.5%
4
84.5%
Q1 - 10:17MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)4
14.4%
4
85.6%
Q1 - 10:31INDHibbert 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
15.2%
2
84.8%
Q1 - 10:33INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 10:34INDMISS Collison 11' Running Jump Shot2
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 10:38INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot2
14.1%
2
85.9%
Q1 - 10:50MIAHEAT Rebound2
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup2
14.1%
2
85.9%
Q1 - 11:07INDGranger 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)2
13.2%
2
86.8%
Q1 - 11:13MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 11:19INDJames STEAL (1 STL)0
11.8%
2
88.2%
Q1 - 11:22INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 11:22MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
12.2%
2
87.8%
Q1 - 11:27MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.8%
2
88.2%
Q1 - 11:28INDIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)0
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 11:40MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 11:40MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
12.6%
1
87.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. McRoberts: Tip to Wade0
13.2%
0
86.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.94 47.0%
MIA
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
15
26
58%
MIA
8
18
44%
Midrange
IND
14
41
34%
MIA
12
24
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
MIA
4
6.0
20
20%
30%
Free Throws
IND
11
13
85%
MIA
25
38
66%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2045%10.0 / 22
B. Rush2059%10.0 / 17
T. Ford1359%6.5 / 11
M. Dunleavy1161%5.5 / 9
R. Hibbert941%4.5 / 11
J. Posey850%4.0 / 8
D. Collison425%2.0 / 8
S. Jones450%2.0 / 4
T. Hansbrough4100%2.0 / 2
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2560%12.5 / 21
C. Bosh2158%10.5 / 18
C. Arroyo12100%6.0 / 6
Z. Ilgauskas1260%6.0 / 10
J. Magloire467%2.0 / 3
D. Wade310%1.5 / 15
E. House0-0.0 / 6
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
81
+17
-13
98
MIA
69
+9
-22
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.94 47.0%
MIA
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
111.4
IND 98.9 +14.3
MIA 84.6
Pace
94.5
91.3
IND 92.2
MIA 92.8 +0.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.2
IND 15.6
MIA 15.5 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
52.4%
IND 45.6% +3.7%
MIA 41.9%
TO %
15.5%
14.4%
IND 12.0% +9.8%
MIA 21.8%
ORB %
25.9%
25.2%
IND 26.7% +12.4%
MIA 14.3%
FTrt
30.0
36.3
IND 14.4
MIA 61.3 +46.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.6%
54.1%
IND 70.3% +3.6%
MIA 66.7%
STL %
7.5%
7.3%
IND 9.6% +5.2%
MIA 4.4%
BLK %
8.4%
8.5%
IND 4.8%
MIA 14.9% +10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
55.7%
IND 47.0%
MIA 48.1% +1.1%
Rim FG%
56.8%
64.7%
IND 57.7% +13.3%
MIA 44.4%
Mid FG%
39.2%
42.2%
IND 34.1%
MIA 50.0% +15.9%
3P %
35.4%
37.0%
IND 34.8% +14.8%
MIA 20.0%
FT %
78.2%
76.9%
IND 84.6% +18.8%
MIA 65.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
31.6%
IND 28.9%
MIA 29.0% +0.1%
Mid Att. %
41.9%
44.9%
IND 45.6%
MIA 38.7% +6.8%
3P Att. %
24.4%
23.5%
IND 25.6%
MIA 32.3% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9491
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points9377
Rebounds4839
Assists2616
Steals94
Blocks210
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)22 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)33 (3)
Field Goals37-9024-62
At-the-Rim FG15-268-18
Midrange FG14-4112-24
2-Point FG29-6720-42
3-Point FG8-234-20
Free Throws11-1325-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 28
39.0
20
45%
11
6
3
1
3
3
1
10
4-4
100%
2-12
17%
4-9
44%
G · 6'6" 220 · 25
38.0
20
59%
7
4
1
0
1
3
2
5
2-4
50%
9-13
69%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 240 · 24
26.1
0
0%
3
4
1
0
2
5
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
21.6
4
25%
2
3
1
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 270 · 24
21.5
9
41%
5
1
0
0
1
5
3
2
1-1
100%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 165 · 28
26.4
13
59%
6
5
1
0
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 217 · 34
22.6
8
50%
1
2
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
F · 6'10" 235 · 26
20.6
4
50%
10
0
1
1
2
3
3
7
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30
17.2
11
61%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
· 6'9" 250 · 25
6.8
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 21
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30
#10 · F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'2" 195 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'6" 230 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
47%
48
26
9
2
13
0
12
36
11-13
85%
29-67
43%
8-23
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.