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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Cavaliers20%9592
3Spurs80%106116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 27.9
30.0
23.3
21
64%
3
6
3
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
9-15
3-6
60%
46%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.1
29.5
31.7
8
44%
9
1
0
1
1
4
4
5
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
52%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.2
22.8
21.2
6
30%
5
0
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-10
4-8
30%
51%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 30.4
22.1
20.4
8
80%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.4
21.4
25.4
2
20%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.7
29.0
28.9
17
78%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-6
50%
42%
3-4
75%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.4
22.8
27.1
12
47%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
6-11
3-7
55%
47%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.4
20.1
17.8
6
51%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
18.0
26.5
2
26%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
4-10
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
12.6
16.4
3
40%
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
1-4
25%
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
5.8
8.2
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
5.8
4.8
5
75%
1
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
1-3
33%
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.2
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 21.9
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
28.3
34.1
19
70%
5
9
1
1
0
3
0
5
5-6
83%
7-11
7-14
64%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.3
26.6
33.1
13
74%
4
6
3
2
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
2-2
4-7
100%
52%
2-5
40%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.4
25.4
32.9
14
89%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
52%
2-3
67%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.6
24.7
21.4
8
50%
9
1
2
1
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.6
17.2
30.8
8
40%
3
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-9
6-12
33%
52%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.5
28.5
28.1
8
68%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 25.9
26.5
5.0
18
71%
5
2
2
0
2
1
3
2
4-6
67%
7-10
1-1
70%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
25.6
19.3
12
67%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
4-7
57%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.1
22.6
15.2
10
56%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
2-4
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.4
8.8
2.2
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
2-4
50%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
5.8
2.1
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.2
17.1
0
2-4
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.