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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Heat63%10095
21Grizzlies37%9697
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
42.1
34.1
29
57%
3
11
1
1
0
4
0
3
5-6
83%
9-19
7-13
47%
54%
2-4
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.7
38.9
32.5
20
63%
10
0
2
1
0
1
2
8
3-4
75%
7-13
6-12
54%
52%
1-1
100%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.5
30.5
16.6
6
38%
10
0
0
0
0
0
2
8
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.3
21.2
18.1
7
70%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 36.0
19.4
2.7
2
29%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.5
30.3
20.7
20
77%
1
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
44%
6-9
67%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
19.6
27.2
3
20%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-6
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
15.6
30.6
4
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
11.4
6.8
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.8
7.9
5.6
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
3.2
2.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.3
11.1
0
1-1
50%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.7
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.8
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
36.0
31.2
16
58%
5
6
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
5-10
4-8
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.3
35.3
39.4
15
48%
8
2
0
1
1
4
2
6
5-6
83%
5-10
6-12
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.8
34.2
32.2
11
62%
11
1
0
1
1
2
4
7
1-2
50%
5-8
4-7
63%
55%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
28.8
16.3
14
78%
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
7-9
2-5
78%
46%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 19.7
26.3
10.8
6
28%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
1-7
1-3
14%
44%
0-2
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.3
27.2
37.4
21
61%
13
1
0
1
1
2
6
7
5-7
71%
8-14
7-14
57%
47%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
21.7
29.9
2
14%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.5
12.7
7.9
10
73%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
45%
0-1
0%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 23.8
12.0
11.8
2
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.8
5.8
7.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.9
11.7
1
2-4
48%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.8
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.5
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.