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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 19, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bobcats20%8887
1Heat80%9995
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.6
41.3
37.1
30
60%
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
8-15
4-9
53%
43%
4-9
44%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.6
41.2
30.9
8
57%
3
7
3
1
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
51%
0-2
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
32.2
38.6
6
30%
9
2
1
1
0
4
1
8
2-2
100%
2-8
5-10
25%
48%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.0
24.6
34.9
3
31%
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-6
100%
39%
0-3
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
18.6
21.1
12
58%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-3
67%
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.2
24.1
14.9
10
51%
6
2
0
0
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
4-8
2-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.2
21.3
10.8
7
105%
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.3
18.9
21.9
9
59%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
2-5
4-8
40%
45%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.7
10.3
10.7
2
53%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.2
3.8
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.7
3.6
3.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.8
10.3
0
1-2
43%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
39.5
29.6
32
57%
2
5
2
1
0
4
0
2
6-7
86%
10-20
6-11
50%
55%
2-5
40%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.7
37.7
28.8
22
59%
14
1
0
1
0
3
2
12
8-8
100%
7-15
6-11
47%
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.8
36.1
32.8
11
35%
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
3-6
50%
4-9
6-12
44%
53%
0-4
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.5
19.4
13.9
8
80%
9
0
1
0
2
0
3
6
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.3
15.7
20.1
8
59%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
32.1
28.9
6
50%
9
1
0
1
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
27.6
27.2
7
54%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
2-6
33%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.5
19.0
22.6
1
15%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.3
6.8
14.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
6.2
6.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.8
9.1
0
1-2
49%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 36.0
4.0
0
0-1
44%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.7
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.