FinalWin Prob.pScore
1720%88
87
180%99
95
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
94.692103.2
MIA logo MIA
104.49182.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 287
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHAMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot87
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)87
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0CHALivingston 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)87
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 0:45.0CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup85
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 1:04MIAJames Free Throw Technical (32 PTS)85
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 1:04CHAWallace Foul Turnover (P4.T15)85
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 1:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)85
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q4 - 1:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)85
4.1%
89
95.9%
Q4 - 1:07MIAHEAT Rebound85
6.4%
88
93.6%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot85
9.9%
88
90.1%
Q4 - 1:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)85
7.9%
88
92.1%
Q4 - 1:29CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
9.5%
88
90.5%
Q4 - 1:38MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)85
14.2%
88
85.8%
Q4 - 1:38MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
15.3%
87
84.7%
Q4 - 1:53CHAJackson 3' Driving Layup (30 PTS)85
21.1%
86
78.9%
Q4 - 2:12MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (31 PTS)83
16.3%
86
83.7%
Q4 - 2:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)83
20.9%
84
79.1%
Q4 - 2:31CHAMISS Livingston 15' Jump Shot83
24.8%
84
75.2%
Q4 - 2:54CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
33.3%
84
66.7%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot83
29.4%
84
70.6%
Q4 - 3:11CHAWade STEAL (2 STL)83
21.5%
84
78.5%
Q4 - 3:27MIAJames 9' Jump Shot (29 PTS)83
34.3%
84
65.7%
Q4 - 3:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)83
38.8%
82
61.2%
Q4 - 3:48CHAMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 283
40.2%
82
59.8%
Q4 - 3:48CHAThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)83
46.2%
82
53.8%
Q4 - 3:54CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
39.7%
82
60.3%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot82
36.7%
82
63.3%
Q4 - 4:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
30.2%
82
69.8%
Q4 - 4:10CHAMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot82
33.0%
82
67.0%
Q4 - 4:28MIABosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)82
39.8%
82
60.2%
Q4 - 4:56CHAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)82
48.9%
80
51.1%
Q4 - 5:17CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
30.2%
80
69.8%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
27.9%
80
72.1%
Q4 - 5:37CHALivingston Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)79
23.1%
80
76.9%
Q4 - 5:37CHALivingston Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
22.0%
80
78.0%
Q4 - 5:56CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)77
17.9%
80
82.1%
Q4 - 5:57MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup77
16.3%
80
83.7%
Q4 - 6:12CHAWallace Foul Turnover (P3.T13)77
13.8%
80
86.2%
Q4 - 6:24CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
18.1%
80
81.9%
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
16.7%
80
83.3%
Q4 - 6:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
13.7%
80
86.3%
Q4 - 6:45CHAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot77
15.0%
80
85.0%
Q4 - 7:01CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
18.1%
80
81.9%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Wade 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup77
16.7%
80
83.3%
Q4 - 7:20CHAJackson 9' Hook Shot (25 PTS)77
14.0%
80
86.0%
Q4 - 7:41CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
11.2%
80
88.8%
Q4 - 7:42MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot75
10.3%
80
89.7%
Q4 - 8:05CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
9.4%
80
90.6%
Q4 - 8:05CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
8.9%
80
91.1%
Q4 - 8:24MIABosh 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)73
7.3%
80
92.7%
Q4 - 8:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
9.3%
78
90.7%
Q4 - 8:46CHAMISS Livingston 5' Floating Jump Shot73
10.0%
78
90.0%
Q4 - 9:01MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)73
12.4%
78
87.6%
Q4 - 9:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
10.0%
78
90.0%
Q4 - 9:09CHAMISS Livingston 20' Jump Shot73
10.7%
78
89.3%
Q4 - 9:26CHABobcats Rebound73
12.3%
78
87.7%
Q4 - 9:26CHAMISS Wallace 3' Layup73
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q4 - 9:38CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
12.3%
78
87.7%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
11.5%
78
88.5%
Q4 - 9:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)73
10.0%
78
90.0%
Q4 - 9:54CHAMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q4 - 10:04CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
12.7%
78
87.3%
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot73
11.9%
78
88.1%
Q4 - 10:26CHABrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)73
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q4 - 10:28MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)70
6.8%
78
93.2%
Q4 - 10:42CHABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q4 - 10:42CHABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
5.2%
78
94.8%
Q4 - 10:42MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)68
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q4 - 10:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q4 - 10:49CHAMISS Livingston 14' Jump Shot68
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q4 - 10:56CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot68
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q4 - 11:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
3.9%
78
96.1%
Q4 - 11:11CHAMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot68
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q4 - 11:38MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)68
4.8%
78
95.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound68
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q3 - 0:21.0CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
9.1%
75
90.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS House 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup68
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0CHALivingston 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)68
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS)66
6.2%
75
93.8%
Q3 - 1:12CHAJackson 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)66
7.9%
73
92.1%
Q3 - 1:29CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q3 - 1:30MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.1%
73
93.9%
Q3 - 1:49CHABrown 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)64
5.5%
73
94.5%
Q3 - 2:02CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot62
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q3 - 2:15CHAThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q3 - 2:15CHAThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q3 - 2:37MIAHaslem 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)60
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 2:44MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)60
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 2:57CHAThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 2:57CHAThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
4.5%
70
95.5%
Q3 - 3:08CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 258
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 258
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 3:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 3:54CHAThomas 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)58
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 4:05MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)56
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 4:05MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)56
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q3 - 4:08MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 4:09CHAMISS Jackson 28' 3PT Jump Shot56
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 4:34MIABosh 2' Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)56
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 4:50CHAAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)56
5.0%
66
95.0%
Q3 - 4:50CHAMISS Augustin Free Throw 1 of 255
4.9%
66
95.1%
Q3 - 4:58CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
5.2%
66
94.8%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot55
4.9%
66
95.1%
Q3 - 5:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 5:19CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
4.7%
66
95.3%
Q3 - 5:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)55
5.4%
66
94.6%
Q3 - 5:37MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)55
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 5:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 5:45CHAMISS Mohammed 11' Jump Shot55
6.5%
64
93.5%
Q3 - 6:08MIAIlgauskas 2' Layup (8 PTS)55
7.5%
64
92.5%
Q3 - 6:09MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q3 - 6:10MIAMISS Bosh 6' Hook Shot55
9.6%
62
90.4%
Q3 - 6:33CHAJackson 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)55
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q3 - 6:44MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)53
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 6:50MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 6:51CHAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot53
6.7%
62
93.3%
Q3 - 7:04CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
7.7%
62
92.3%
Q3 - 7:08MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 253
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 7:08MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)53
6.8%
62
93.2%
Q3 - 7:22CHAMohammed 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
7.6%
61
92.4%
Q3 - 7:43MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 5 AST)51
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q3 - 8:13CHAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)51
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q3 - 8:25CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot48
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q3 - 8:39MIAHEAT Rebound48
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q3 - 8:40MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot48
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q3 - 8:57CHAJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Diaw 7 AST)48
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q3 - 9:08CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q3 - 9:09MIAMISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Jump Shot45
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 9:28CHAIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)45
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q3 - 9:48CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 9:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)45
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q3 - 9:54MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot45
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 10:12CHAMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q3 - 10:12CHAMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q3 - 10:26CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot43
3.4%
58
96.6%
Q3 - 10:42CHAMohammed 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Diaw 6 AST)43
3.0%
58
97.0%
Q3 - 11:01MIAJames 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS)41
2.8%
58
97.2%
Q3 - 11:18MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
3.2%
56
96.8%
Q3 - 11:19CHAMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 141
3.2%
56
96.8%
Q3 - 11:26CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
2.8%
56
97.2%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS James 11' Floating Jump Shot39
2.7%
56
97.3%
Q3 - 11:51CHAWallace 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
2.4%
56
97.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA37
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHABobcats Rebound37
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Livingston 60' 3PT Jump Shot37
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
2.3%
56
97.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
2.2%
56
97.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)37
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0CHAMISS Diaw 20' Jump Shot37
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
2.3%
56
97.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot37
2.2%
56
97.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0CHALivingston 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 1:05MIAJames 5' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)35
1.8%
56
98.2%
Q2 - 1:15CHALivingston Foul Turnover (P1.T11)35
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q2 - 1:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)35
2.4%
54
97.6%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 235
2.4%
53
97.6%
Q2 - 1:28MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
2.4%
53
97.6%
Q2 - 1:29CHAMISS Mohammed 3' Reverse Layup35
2.5%
53
97.5%
Q2 - 1:46MIAArroyo 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)35
2.7%
53
97.3%
Q2 - 1:51CHAWade STEAL (1 STL)35
3.2%
51
96.8%
Q2 - 2:01MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)35
3.6%
51
96.4%
Q2 - 2:08MIAHEAT Rebound35
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 2:09MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup35
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 2:27CHAWallace 3' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)35
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 2:31CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
4.1%
48
95.9%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 2:55CHAWallace Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)33
3.6%
48
96.4%
Q2 - 2:56CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
4.1%
48
95.9%
Q2 - 2:57CHAMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
3.7%
48
96.3%
Q2 - 3:10MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)33
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 3:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
3.7%
48
96.3%
Q2 - 3:17CHAMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
3.8%
48
96.2%
Q2 - 3:29CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot33
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 3:44MIAJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)33
3.7%
48
96.3%
Q2 - 3:44CHAWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T8)33
4.1%
47
95.9%
Q2 - 3:51MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)33
4.7%
47
95.3%
Q2 - 4:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)33
4.2%
47
95.8%
Q2 - 4:05CHAMISS Mohammed 4' Jump Shot33
4.4%
47
95.6%
Q2 - 4:22MIAIlgauskas 3' Putback Layup (6 PTS)33
4.8%
47
95.2%
Q2 - 4:23MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
5.3%
45
94.7%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup33
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q2 - 4:40CHADiaw 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)33
5.3%
45
94.7%
Q2 - 4:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)31
4.8%
45
95.2%
Q2 - 4:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)31
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 5:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
5.3%
43
94.7%
Q2 - 5:01CHAMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 5:17MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)31
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 5:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
5.5%
43
94.5%
Q2 - 5:29CHAMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot31
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 5:50MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T5)31
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 5:54CHAChalmers STEAL (1 STL)31
5.5%
43
94.5%
Q2 - 6:20MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)31
6.4%
43
93.6%
Q2 - 6:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
7.0%
41
93.0%
Q2 - 6:26CHAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)31
7.3%
41
92.7%
Q2 - 6:43CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
7.9%
41
92.1%
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS Bosh 21' Turnaround Jump Shot31
7.6%
41
92.4%
Q2 - 7:12CHAJackson 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)31
7.1%
41
92.9%
Q2 - 7:33CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
6.4%
41
93.6%
Q2 - 7:34MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
6.2%
41
93.8%
Q2 - 7:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 7:43CHAMISS Collins 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
6.0%
41
94.0%
Q2 - 8:01CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot29
6.4%
41
93.6%
Q2 - 8:17CHABrown 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)29
6.0%
41
94.0%
Q2 - 8:27CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
5.4%
41
94.6%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
5.2%
41
94.8%
Q2 - 8:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
4.9%
41
95.1%
Q2 - 8:32MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot27
5.2%
41
94.8%
Q2 - 8:52CHADiaw Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)27
4.8%
41
95.2%
Q2 - 9:09MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)27
5.5%
41
94.5%
Q2 - 9:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
6.7%
38
93.3%
Q2 - 9:28CHAMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 227
6.8%
38
93.2%
Q2 - 9:28CHAMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 227
7.1%
38
92.9%
Q2 - 9:34CHABobcats Rebound27
7.4%
38
92.6%
Q2 - 9:35CHAMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot27
6.9%
38
93.1%
Q2 - 9:51MIABosh 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
7.4%
38
92.6%
Q2 - 10:20CHALivingston 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
8.3%
36
91.7%
Q2 - 10:26CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot25
7.3%
36
92.7%
Q2 - 10:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
6.8%
36
93.2%
Q2 - 10:34CHAMISS Jackson 3' Jump Shot25
7.0%
36
93.0%
Q2 - 10:35CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 10:36CHAMISS Jackson 3' Layup25
7.0%
36
93.0%
Q2 - 10:53MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)25
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 11:11CHAThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T5)25
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 11:25MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q2 - 11:25MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
10.3%
32
89.7%
Q2 - 11:44CHAThomas 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)25
11.0%
31
89.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA23
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHABobcats Rebound23
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Augustin 60' 3PT Jump Shot23
9.5%
31
90.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)23
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
11.2%
29
88.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0CHAMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot23
11.4%
29
88.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem 2' Layup (4 PTS)23
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS James 7' Hook Shot23
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q1 - 1:03CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)23
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q1 - 1:26MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)23
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q1 - 1:29CHAJames STEAL (2 STL)23
15.7%
25
84.3%
Q1 - 1:34MIAAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
16.6%
25
83.4%
Q1 - 1:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
15.7%
25
84.3%
Q1 - 1:44MIAMISS Anthony 1' Layup23
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q1 - 1:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
15.7%
25
84.3%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot23
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q1 - 2:05CHAJackson 2' Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)23
15.7%
25
84.3%
Q1 - 2:09MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)21
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q1 - 2:23CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q1 - 2:23CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)20
13.2%
25
86.8%
Q1 - 2:26MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
12.2%
25
87.8%
Q1 - 2:44CHADiaw Foul Turnover (P1.T2)19
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q1 - 3:01MIAHaslem 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)19
12.2%
25
87.8%
Q1 - 3:21CHADiaw 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)19
13.2%
23
86.8%
Q1 - 3:34CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
12.2%
23
87.8%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot17
11.9%
23
88.1%
Q1 - 4:03CHAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)17
11.0%
23
89.0%
Q1 - 4:26MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)14
9.5%
23
90.5%
Q1 - 4:30MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
10.2%
21
89.8%
Q1 - 4:31CHAIlgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK)14
10.5%
21
89.5%
Q1 - 4:53MIAWade 2' Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)14
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 4:57CHAJames STEAL (1 STL)14
12.0%
19
88.0%
Q1 - 5:08CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
13.2%
19
86.8%
Q1 - 5:09MIAMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot14
12.9%
19
87.1%
Q1 - 5:22CHAAugustin 12' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
12.1%
19
87.9%
Q1 - 5:45MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)12
11.3%
19
88.7%
Q1 - 6:11CHADiaw 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)12
12.1%
17
87.9%
Q1 - 6:27MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)10
11.3%
17
88.7%
Q1 - 6:44CHAMohammed 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)10
13.0%
14
87.0%
Q1 - 7:03MIAIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)8
12.1%
14
87.9%
Q1 - 7:15MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
12.9%
12
87.1%
Q1 - 7:16CHAMISS Mohammed 10' Jump Shot8
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 7:32MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)8
13.9%
12
86.1%
Q1 - 7:41MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
14.8%
10
85.2%
Q1 - 7:42CHAIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)8
15.2%
10
84.8%
Q1 - 8:05MIAIlgauskas 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)8
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 8:06MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
16.8%
8
83.2%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Bosh 4' Driving Layup8
17.5%
8
82.5%
Q1 - 8:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
16.8%
8
83.2%
Q1 - 8:19CHAMISS Wallace 8' Running Jump Shot8
17.1%
8
82.9%
Q1 - 8:28CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
17.9%
8
82.1%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot8
17.6%
8
82.4%
Q1 - 8:51CHAMohammed 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)8
16.8%
8
83.2%
Q1 - 9:00MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
15.7%
8
84.3%
Q1 - 9:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
14.7%
8
85.3%
Q1 - 9:03CHAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
15.0%
8
85.0%
Q1 - 9:17MIAWade 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
15.7%
8
84.3%
Q1 - 9:39CHAJackson 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)6
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 9:45CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.6%
6
84.4%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot4
15.3%
6
84.7%
Q1 - 9:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.7%
6
85.3%
Q1 - 9:53CHAMISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
15.0%
6
85.0%
Q1 - 10:10MIAWade 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
15.7%
6
84.3%
Q1 - 10:16MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 10:17CHAMISS Jackson 4' Driving Layup4
16.9%
4
83.1%
Q1 - 10:32MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 10:32MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
17.9%
3
82.1%
Q1 - 10:54CHADiaw 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)4
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 11:02CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot2
16.9%
2
83.1%
Q1 - 11:31CHAJackson 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)2
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 11:44MIAJames 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Mohammed: Tip to Arroyo0
16.3%
0
83.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.04 51.8%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
17
26
65%
MIA
18
26
69%
Midrange
CHA
12
28
43%
MIA
11
37
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
MIA
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
CHA
17
22
77%
MIA
22
27
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson3060%15.0 / 25
N. Mohammed1260%6.0 / 10
S. Livingston1050%5.0 / 10
T. Thomas956%4.5 / 8
B. Diaw857%4.0 / 7
D. Brown7117%3.5 / 3
G. Wallace630%3.0 / 10
D. Augustin330%1.5 / 5
K. Brown250%1.0 / 2
S. Collins0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3257%16.0 / 28
C. Bosh2261%11.0 / 18
D. Wade1134%5.5 / 16
Z. Ilgauskas880%4.0 / 5
C. Arroyo857%4.0 / 7
J. Jones758%3.5 / 6
U. Haslem650%3.0 / 6
E. House117%0.5 / 3
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
78
+6
-14
84
MIA
79
+13
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.04 51.8%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
111.4
CHA 94.6 +9.8
MIA 104.4
Pace
89.5
91.3
CHA 103.2 +21.1
MIA 82.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
CHA 14.0 +3.6
MIA 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
52.4%
CHA 49.3% +3.7%
MIA 45.6%
TO %
15.2%
14.4%
CHA 15.7%
MIA 11.6% +4.1%
ORB %
25.7%
25.2%
CHA 5.6%
MIA 21.7% +16.1%
FTrt
31.4
36.3
CHA 31.0
MIA 33.8 +2.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
54.1%
CHA 63.6% +22.4%
MIA 41.2%
STL %
7.1%
7.3%
CHA 8.7% +2.1%
MIA 6.6%
BLK %
8.9%
8.5%
CHA 1.6%
MIA 5.6% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.3%
55.7%
CHA 51.8% +0.7%
MIA 51.1%
Rim FG%
55.8%
64.7%
CHA 65.4%
MIA 69.2% +3.8%
Mid FG%
40.3%
42.2%
CHA 42.9% +13.2%
MIA 29.7%
3P %
32.7%
37.0%
CHA 23.5%
MIA 29.4% +5.9%
FT %
75.6%
76.9%
CHA 77.3%
MIA 81.5% +4.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.6%
31.6%
CHA 36.6% +4.1%
MIA 32.5%
Mid Att. %
40.5%
44.9%
CHA 39.4% +6.8%
MIA 46.3%
3P Att. %
18.9%
23.5%
CHA 23.9% +2.7%
MIA 21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes21.426.6
Points8795
Rebounds3844
Assists2114
Steals86
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)2 (4)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (0)34 (1)
Field Goals33-7134-80
At-the-Rim FG17-2618-26
Midrange FG12-2811-37
2-Point FG29-5429-63
3-Point FG4-175-17
Free Throws17-2222-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 220 · 33
41.3
30
60%
3
2
1
1
2
3
1
2
2-2
100%
8-15
53%
4-9
44%
F · 6'8" 250 · 29
41.2
8
57%
3
7
3
0
5
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 220 · 28
32.2
6
30%
9
2
1
0
4
6
1
8
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 183 · 23
24.6
3
30%
2
5
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 250 · 33
18.6
12
60%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
2-3
67%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 192 · 25
24.1
10
50%
6
2
0
0
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 233 · 23
21.3
7
117%
3
1
2
0
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 24
18.9
9
56%
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 290 · 29
10.3
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 212 · 30
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 205 · 24
3.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 280 · 29
#15 · G · 6'5" 215 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F · 6'9" 235 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F · 6'8" 235 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
52%
38
21
8
1
14
0
2
36
17-22
77%
29-54
54%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.