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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 19, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Thunder26%8989
6Celtics74%9784
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.2
37.0
25.4
12
52%
6
4
1
1
0
3
0
6
7-8
88%
1-6
2-4
17%
43%
1-2
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.0
36.8
34.8
31
58%
4
6
2
1
0
7
1
3
11-13
85%
7-18
6-14
39%
44%
2-3
67%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
36.2
28.2
6
51%
7
0
0
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
36.2
28.9
13
67%
7
0
1
1
0
2
1
6
5-6
83%
4-7
4-8
57%
53%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.3
24.4
28.4
4
25%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.1
23.4
17.1
2
29%
3
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.9
16.1
4.7
6
100%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
2-2
100%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
13.0
18.9
9
75%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
1-1
100%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
11.8
10.8
6
60%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.2
5.2
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.6
4.5
0
0-1
36%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.8
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.1
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.1
36.6
30.9
14
52%
6
3
0
1
1
4
0
6
0-1
0%
7-13
5-9
54%
50%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.3
34.7
30.8
8
40%
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
0-2
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.7
33.4
33.7
14
70%
4
7
1
2
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
7-9
4-9
78%
52%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.5
30.1
27.7
16
77%
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
10-10
100%
3-6
6-11
50%
53%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.7
27.7
19.6
11
94%
6
1
1
0
1
2
0
6
1-2
50%
5-5
4-7
100%
58%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.9
24.3
27.3
6
24%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
2-6
33%
2-10
3-7
20%
49%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.3
16.9
21.1
7
60%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
13.6
15.4
2
26%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
1-3
2-3
33%
55%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.9
11.4
16.0
2
35%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.5
11.1
15.1
4
40%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.9
0.3
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.3
3.8
0
1-1
48%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.1
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.0
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.