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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 17, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls28%9894
5Spurs72%105103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
41.8
40.5
18
47%
7
3
1
1
1
1
3
4
5-5
100%
5-11
6-13
45%
46%
1-6
17%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.1
37.8
36.4
33
60%
3
4
0
1
0
4
0
3
1-1
100%
13-23
8-16
57%
49%
2-4
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.7
34.1
33.2
10
43%
14
1
0
1
1
1
7
7
0-4
0%
5-10
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
15.9
27.7
0
0%
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-7
4-9
0%
49%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.5
15.6
22.3
3
38%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.7
27.9
21.9
10
56%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
2-4
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.7
24.9
24.6
10
71%
5
2
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
51%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.6
19.0
12.3
6
44%
1
3
3
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.4
13.9
14.9
4
41%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.7
9.1
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.7
3.0
0
0-1
46%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.1
0.7
0
0-0
46%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
36.1
31.5
21
63%
3
7
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-6
50%
9-14
7-13
64%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.3
34.6
29.9
20
68%
4
5
2
1
0
3
0
4
4-6
67%
5-9
3-7
56%
51%
2-3
67%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.4
34.5
32.3
12
49%
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
3
5-5
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
1-4
25%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.6
34.3
25.0
16
42%
18
5
1
1
2
1
3
15
0-0
-
8-19
5-9
42%
52%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.6
10.7
20.8
2
33%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.5
34.7
25.5
14
69%
4
1
2
1
0
2
1
3
3-5
60%
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
21.6
19.8
8
80%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
2-2
100%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.2
17.3
17.0
6
43%
9
2
0
0
0
3
4
5
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.1
15.5
16.7
4
29%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.4
0.4
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
0.4
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 25.9
11.0
0
1-3
51%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.