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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 17, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Nets22%9188
10Jazz78%10198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.2
37.8
34.7
3
12%
7
1
0
1
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
1-7
3-7
14%
45%
0-5
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
35.9
28.7
24
64%
7
0
2
1
1
0
0
7
6-6
100%
6-8
2-5
75%
48%
2-8
25%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.6
35.6
33.8
17
48%
8
0
0
1
3
5
5
3
1-2
50%
8-17
7-14
47%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.7
34.2
24.7
19
60%
4
8
1
1
0
1
0
4
8-9
89%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
1-3
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
29.8
26.5
8
58%
15
0
0
1
2
2
5
10
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.3
23.6
17.3
6
52%
9
0
0
0
1
1
2
7
2-4
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.0
19.1
26.5
7
39%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
12.2
11.6
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
6.2
24.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-8
-
43%
0-2
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.8
5.7
8.0
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.5
8.7
0
1-1
40%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.3
5.3
0
1-2
43%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.5
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.8
42.0
36.5
19
48%
15
4
2
1
1
1
2
13
9-11
82%
5-15
7-13
33%
56%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
38.2
35.5
15
62%
4
2
2
2
3
1
0
4
5-7
71%
5-7
4-7
71%
52%
0-2
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
36.2
37.9
23
61%
3
8
2
1
0
1
0
3
12-13
92%
4-8
6-11
50%
52%
1-5
20%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.2
35.3
17.5
15
48%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
6-11
1-3
55%
47%
0-3
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 25.9
34.7
33.4
16
50%
9
1
0
1
3
0
1
8
2-2
100%
7-15
6-13
47%
52%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.7
13.3
7.0
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.4
12.7
10.7
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.4
11.8
8.1
2
25%
3
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-2
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
8.3
26.0
2
14%
3
0
2
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
50%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.7
7.5
11.0
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.9
10.3
0
1-2
54%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.1
4.7
0
1-1
52%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.