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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 17, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Rockets34%9899
12Thunder66%104116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.5
30.4
34.7
26
63%
8
0
0
1
0
3
2
6
2-4
50%
12-19
8-15
63%
51%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.2
27.1
34.8
3
19%
4
3
1
1
1
0
1
3
1-4
25%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.8
25.8
37.4
19
73%
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
9-9
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.6
22.5
35.7
2
26%
4
4
1
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
3-7
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.6
19.4
26.3
8
71%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
5-6
83%
0-2
3-7
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
27.3
11.2
10
50%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-10
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.4
25.5
12.2
12
87%
2
5
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-6
1-3
83%
42%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
22.2
16.3
3
25%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.9
21.4
2.7
8
50%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
0-1
57%
45%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.4
12.8
18.0
3
39%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.0
5.6
3.0
5
51%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.5
10.0
0
1-2
51%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.7
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.8
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.0
35.3
35.2
21
55%
6
12
2
2
0
3
2
4
9-9
100%
6-15
7-14
40%
46%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.1
29.8
38.7
24
56%
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
10-16
7-15
63%
50%
1-5
20%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
28.8
28.3
9
50%
5
1
2
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-3
38%
50%
1-1
100%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.3
28.6
28.7
11
48%
7
0
1
1
3
0
2
5
7-8
88%
2-8
4-8
25%
50%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
24.2
32.3
11
62%
8
0
1
1
4
0
4
4
1-2
50%
5-8
5-9
63%
56%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.2
29.0
23.5
10
64%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
22.1
17.2
9
65%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
2-3
67%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
19.1
5.3
12
76%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.1
17.6
16.4
9
70%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
55%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.9
2.8
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.8
2.8
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.2
1.1
0
0-0
43%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.0
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.6
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.