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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 17, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Wizards13%8983
4Celtics87%103114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.9
31.2
30.5
9
38%
3
1
3
1
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
4-9
25%
43%
2-7
29%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.9
29.7
35.9
10
43%
4
5
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.9
26.9
28.2
15
70%
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
6-6
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
1-2
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.8
26.6
23.5
8
44%
10
0
2
1
2
0
6
4
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
49%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
26.4
31.7
10
56%
3
0
0
1
2
4
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
6-14
29%
46%
2-2
100%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.5
29.3
21.7
20
63%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
8-11
2-6
73%
44%
1-4
25%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.0
21.6
13.5
3
31%
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-3
25%
43%
0-0
-
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.3
14.3
3.1
2
17%
1
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
0-3
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.0
12.8
13.9
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.0
12.5
5.4
4
41%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 20.9
8.6
2.0
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.8
3.2
0
0-1
44%
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.1
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.2
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.7
30.2
38.9
12
68%
2
13
1
2
1
2
0
2
2-4
50%
5-7
5-10
71%
53%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.1
27.3
36.1
23
72%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
7-12
5-10
58%
51%
3-4
75%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.3
26.5
37.0
11
69%
0
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
54%
1-3
33%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.5
23.4
33.7
18
82%
7
2
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
9-11
7-13
82%
53%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.7
22.5
16.6
13
71%
6
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
1-5
20%
6-7
3-6
86%
58%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.9
24.1
31.7
2
33%
8
2
2
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
50%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.3
21.5
5.5
12
86%
5
4
1
0
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
49%
2-2
100%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
21.2
8.5
9
61%
3
2
1
0
0
3
2
1
3-3
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.5
17.8
11.7
5
63%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.9
15.9
16.2
4
58%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.3
4.8
2.3
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.9
4.8
1.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.0
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.0
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.