FinalWin Prob.pScore
824%98
96
176%107
123
ORTG#PossPace
PHX logo PHX
97.099109.7
MIA logo MIA
125.59889.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHXMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0PHXDragic Traveling Turnover (P5.T17)96
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHouse Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)96
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)96
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0PHXMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot96
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0PHXBarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0PHXAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)96
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 1:09MIAAnthony 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)96
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 1:17MIAStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:22PHXMISS Siler 4' Turnaround Hook Shot96
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:33MIAStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)96
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54PHXMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 196
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57PHXDragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Stackhouse 16' Jump Shot94
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15PHXDudley Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)94
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23PHXDragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50PHXClark 2' Dunk (3 PTS) (Siler 1 AST)94
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53PHXSiler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)92
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54PHXMISS Dudley 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12MIAStackhouse 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)92
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16PHXHaslem STEAL (2 STL)92
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)92
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44PHXSiler 3' Layup (2 PTS)92
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45PHXSiler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46PHXMISS Dudley 10' Jump Bank Shot90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06PHXClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33PHXChildress Foul Turnover (P1.T14)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49MIAHaslem 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (House 2 AST)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13PHXChildress 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Dudley 2 AST)90
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)88
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45PHXMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15PHXDragic 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20PHXClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Haslem 2' Tip Shot86
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48PHXDragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)86
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)83
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)83
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:24PHXDragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34PHXChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 7:35MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 280
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 7:35MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)80
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46PHXClark Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)80
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46PHXMISS Clark Free Throw 1 of 279
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 8:09MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)79
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 8:25PHXArroyo STEAL (1 STL)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 8:38MIAAnthony Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P1.T9)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 8:58PHXWarrick 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Clark 1 AST)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:19PHXChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:20MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:37PHXWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:37PHXWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:52PHXClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 10:23PHXDudley 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 10:39MIAHouse 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 10:50MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 10:51PHXMISS Clark 19' Jump Shot73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 10:54PHXClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 10:56PHXMISS Dudley 15' Jump Shot73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 11:10MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T8)73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 11:16PHXJames STEAL (3 STL)73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 11:28PHXWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 173
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 11:34PHXJames STEAL (2 STL)73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 11:46MIAJames 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0PHXMISS Dragic 18' Jump Shot73
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)73
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0PHXMISS Dudley 19' Jump Shot73
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)73
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0PHXRichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)73
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)70
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q3 - 1:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q3 - 1:15PHXMISS Nash 13' Fadeaway Jumper70
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q3 - 1:22PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q3 - 1:23PHXMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q3 - 1:35MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)70
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q3 - 1:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q3 - 1:50PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 2:13MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (35 PTS) (House 1 AST)70
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 2:23PHXJones STEAL (1 STL)70
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q3 - 2:31MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)70
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q3 - 2:44PHXWarrick 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)70
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q3 - 3:00MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)70
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 3:14PHXNash 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)70
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q3 - 3:22PHXWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot68
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q3 - 3:32MIAHEAT Rebound68
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS Bosh 3' Layup68
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q3 - 3:44PHXHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q3 - 3:44PHXHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)67
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q3 - 3:49MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)66
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q3 - 4:09PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)66
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q3 - 4:17MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)63
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q3 - 4:37PHXFrye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)63
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q3 - 4:46PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 4:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 4:56PHXWade BLOCK (2 BLK)60
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 5:10MIAArroyo Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)60
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 5:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 5:21PHXMISS Hill 4' Driving Layup60
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 5:33PHXSuns Rebound60
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot60
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q3 - 5:54PHXHill 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)60
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 6:14MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)58
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 6:26PHXFrye 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)58
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 6:41PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 7:00PHXTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)56
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 7:09PHXNash Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)53
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 7:23MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)52
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q3 - 7:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 7:44PHXMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 7:52PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 7:53MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot52
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 8:15PHXHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)52
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 8:19MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)49
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 8:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 8:30PHXMISS Frye 3' Tip Shot49
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 8:31PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 8:33PHXMISS Nash 4' Jump Shot49
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 8:46MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)49
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 9:04PHXFrye 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)49
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 9:16MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)47
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 9:16MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)47
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 9:18MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 9:26MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 9:28PHXMISS Richardson 1' Driving Layup47
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 9:49MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (James 9 AST)47
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 10:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 10:03PHXMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 247
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 10:03PHXTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 10:21MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 8 AST)46
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 10:39MIAHEAT Rebound46
2.3%
64
97.7%
Q3 - 10:40PHXWade BLOCK (1 BLK)46
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 10:44PHXTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 10:46MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot46
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q3 - 11:12PHXNash 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)46
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 11:23PHXSuns Rebound44
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 11:24PHXMISS Richardson 2' Jump Shot44
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q3 - 11:30PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 11:31MIAMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot44
2.1%
64
97.9%
Q3 - 11:47PHXTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
1.9%
64
98.1%
Q3 - 11:47PHXMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 243
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHX43
1.9%
64
98.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXSuns Rebound43
1.9%
64
98.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Richardson 5' Jump Bank Shot43
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAJames 9' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)43
2.1%
64
97.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)41
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)41
2.7%
59
97.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot41
2.9%
59
97.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
2.7%
59
97.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q2 - 1:03MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T5)41
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q2 - 1:14PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
2.9%
59
97.1%
Q2 - 1:14PHXMISS Nash Free Throw 1 of 240
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q2 - 1:26MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)40
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q2 - 1:38PHXWarrick Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P1.T8)40
3.3%
57
96.7%
Q2 - 1:58MIAHaslem 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)40
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q2 - 2:04PHXJames STEAL (1 STL)40
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q2 - 2:13MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q2 - 2:13MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)40
4.9%
54
95.1%
Q2 - 2:23PHXHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
5.4%
53
94.6%
Q2 - 2:23PHXHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
5.3%
53
94.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIAJames 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)38
4.8%
53
95.2%
Q2 - 2:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
5.4%
51
94.6%
Q2 - 2:57PHXMISS Clark 19' Jump Shot38
5.6%
51
94.4%
Q2 - 3:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
6.3%
51
93.7%
Q2 - 3:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)38
6.4%
50
93.6%
Q2 - 3:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
6.9%
49
93.1%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot38
7.6%
49
92.4%
Q2 - 3:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
6.9%
49
93.1%
Q2 - 3:27PHXMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot38
7.2%
49
92.8%
Q2 - 3:47MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 7 AST)38
7.9%
49
92.1%
Q2 - 3:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
9.7%
46
90.3%
Q2 - 3:58PHXMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot38
10.1%
46
89.9%
Q2 - 4:04PHXTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
11.0%
46
89.0%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot38
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q2 - 4:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
9.8%
46
90.2%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS James 9' Fadeaway Jumper38
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q2 - 4:40PHXRichardson 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)38
9.8%
46
90.2%
Q2 - 5:04MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)36
8.9%
46
91.1%
Q2 - 5:04MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)36
9.1%
45
90.9%
Q2 - 5:17PHXHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
10.0%
44
90.0%
Q2 - 5:17PHXHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
9.8%
44
90.2%
Q2 - 5:17PHXSuns Rebound34
8.9%
44
91.1%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot34
8.7%
44
91.3%
Q2 - 5:36PHXTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)34
8.0%
44
92.0%
Q2 - 5:46MIAWade 3' Driving Dunk (7 PTS)34
8.9%
44
91.1%
Q2 - 5:49PHXHaslem STEAL (1 STL)34
9.9%
42
90.1%
Q2 - 5:59MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)34
11.0%
42
89.0%
Q2 - 5:59MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)34
11.2%
41
88.8%
Q2 - 6:15PHXChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
12.4%
40
87.6%
Q2 - 6:15PHXMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 233
12.2%
40
87.8%
Q2 - 6:22MIAWade 2' Reverse Dunk (5 PTS)33
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q2 - 6:42PHXRichardson 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Frye 1 AST)33
13.7%
38
86.3%
Q2 - 6:45PHXDragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
12.6%
38
87.4%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot31
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 6:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
11.2%
38
88.8%
Q2 - 7:01PHXMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 7:15PHXTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
12.5%
38
87.5%
Q2 - 7:16MIAMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot31
12.1%
38
87.9%
Q2 - 7:30PHXBosh STEAL (1 STL)31
11.3%
38
88.7%
Q2 - 7:48MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)31
12.5%
38
87.5%
Q2 - 8:03PHXDragic Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)31
13.8%
36
86.2%
Q2 - 8:09PHXDragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
15.2%
36
84.8%
Q2 - 8:10MIAMISS Bosh 5' Running Jump Shot31
14.8%
36
85.2%
Q2 - 8:24PHXChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
13.8%
36
86.2%
Q2 - 8:24PHXChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)30
13.6%
36
86.4%
Q2 - 8:35MIAHEAT Rebound29
11.5%
36
88.5%
Q2 - 8:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 229
12.9%
35
87.1%
Q2 - 8:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
12.6%
35
87.4%
Q2 - 8:40PHXMISS Warrick 11' Fadeaway Jumper29
13.0%
35
87.0%
Q2 - 9:04MIAHouse 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)29
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 9:08PHXHouse STEAL (1 STL)29
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q2 - 9:18MIAWade 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)29
16.6%
33
83.4%
Q2 - 9:38PHXTurkoglu 17' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)29
18.0%
31
82.0%
Q2 - 9:57PHXSuns Rebound27
16.6%
31
83.4%
Q2 - 9:58MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup27
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q2 - 10:03MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
15.2%
31
84.8%
Q2 - 10:04PHXMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 227
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q2 - 10:04PHXDragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
16.2%
31
83.8%
Q2 - 10:17MIAHoward 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)26
15.3%
31
84.7%
Q2 - 10:37PHXChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
16.6%
29
83.4%
Q2 - 10:37PHXMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 225
16.3%
29
83.7%
Q2 - 10:41PHXTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
16.7%
29
83.3%
Q2 - 10:42MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup25
16.2%
29
83.8%
Q2 - 10:54MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q2 - 10:55MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
16.2%
29
83.8%
Q2 - 11:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
15.4%
29
84.6%
Q2 - 11:04PHXMISS Dudley 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q2 - 11:24MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 6 AST)25
16.8%
29
83.2%
Q2 - 11:41PHXTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q2 - 11:41PHXMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 224
17.9%
27
82.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHX24
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
17.9%
27
82.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
16.8%
27
83.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0PHXMISS Warrick 4' Layup24
17.1%
27
82.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
17.9%
27
82.1%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19.7%
25
80.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0PHXMISS Dudley 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAJames 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)24
21.0%
25
79.0%
Q1 - 1:09MIAHEAT Rebound24
22.8%
23
77.2%
Q1 - 1:10PHXMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
23.2%
23
76.8%
Q1 - 1:26PHXSuns Rebound24
24.1%
23
75.9%
Q1 - 1:26MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot24
23.7%
23
76.3%
Q1 - 1:44PHXRichardson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
22.8%
23
77.2%
Q1 - 2:07MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 2:32PHXFrye 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)22
22.7%
21
77.3%
Q1 - 2:44MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T4)19
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 2:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
18.2%
21
81.8%
Q1 - 2:44MIAMISS Anthony 5' Reverse Layup19
19.1%
21
80.9%
Q1 - 3:02PHXRichardson 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
17.9%
21
82.1%
Q1 - 3:16MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)17
16.7%
21
83.3%
Q1 - 3:33PHXNash 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)17
15.4%
21
84.6%
Q1 - 3:45PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
14.3%
21
85.7%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot15
14.0%
21
86.0%
Q1 - 3:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
13.2%
21
86.8%
Q1 - 3:53MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
14.0%
21
86.0%
Q1 - 4:01MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
13.0%
21
87.0%
Q1 - 4:02PHXMISS Nash 18' Jump Shot15
13.3%
21
86.7%
Q1 - 4:18MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
14.2%
21
85.8%
Q1 - 4:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
15.2%
19
84.8%
Q1 - 4:27PHXMISS Warrick Free Throw 2 of 215
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 4:27PHXWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
16.1%
19
83.9%
Q1 - 4:36MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 4:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
14.1%
19
85.9%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Haslem 19' Fadeaway Jumper14
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 4:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
14.1%
19
85.9%
Q1 - 4:55PHXMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
14.4%
19
85.6%
Q1 - 5:08MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)14
15.5%
19
84.5%
Q1 - 5:08MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)14
15.7%
18
84.3%
Q1 - 5:24PHXFrye 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)14
16.5%
17
83.5%
Q1 - 5:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
15.4%
17
84.6%
Q1 - 6:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
14.2%
17
85.8%
Q1 - 6:04PHXMISS Hill 8' Fadeaway Jumper12
14.5%
17
85.5%
Q1 - 6:14MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)12
15.3%
17
84.7%
Q1 - 6:14MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)12
15.5%
16
84.5%
Q1 - 6:40PHXNash 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
16.4%
15
83.6%
Q1 - 7:03MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
15.3%
15
84.7%
Q1 - 7:28PHXHill 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)10
17.4%
12
82.6%
Q1 - 7:38MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 5 AST)8
16.3%
12
83.7%
Q1 - 7:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
17.4%
10
82.6%
Q1 - 7:54PHXMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot8
17.8%
10
82.2%
Q1 - 8:01PHXTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
18.4%
10
81.6%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup8
18.0%
10
82.0%
Q1 - 8:08PHXTurkoglu 3' Layup (2 PTS)8
17.2%
10
82.8%
Q1 - 8:09PHXTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
16.1%
10
83.9%
Q1 - 8:13PHXMISS Hill 3' Driving Layup6
15.4%
10
84.6%
Q1 - 8:18PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
16.1%
10
83.9%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot6
15.8%
10
84.2%
Q1 - 8:51PHXFrye 2' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)6
15.1%
10
84.9%
Q1 - 9:03MIAIlgauskas 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)4
14.3%
10
85.7%
Q1 - 9:15PHXHill Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
15.2%
8
84.8%
Q1 - 9:15PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.2%
8
83.8%
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
15.9%
8
84.1%
Q1 - 9:33PHXNash 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)4
15.2%
8
84.8%
Q1 - 9:46MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Frye: Tip to2
14.2%
8
85.8%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot2
13.9%
8
86.1%
Q1 - 9:59MIAHEAT Rebound2
13.3%
8
86.7%
Q1 - 10:00PHXMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
13.6%
8
86.4%
Q1 - 10:11MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)2
14.5%
8
85.5%
Q1 - 10:30PHXHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
15.3%
6
84.7%
Q1 - 10:30PHXHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
15.1%
6
84.9%
Q1 - 10:46MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)0
14.5%
6
85.5%
Q1 - 10:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.3%
4
84.7%
Q1 - 10:54PHXMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
15.6%
4
84.4%
Q1 - 11:11MIABosh 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)0
16.2%
4
83.8%
Q1 - 11:30MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 11:31PHXMISS Richardson 21' Fadeaway Jumper0
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 11:47MIABosh 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Frye: Tip to Bosh0
19.2%
0
80.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.07 53.3%
MIA
1.26 62.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHX
16
28
57%
MIA
16
23
70%
Midrange
PHX
11
25
44%
MIA
24
44
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHX
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
MIA
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
Free Throws
PHX
27
37
73%
MIA
22
25
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Nash1765%8.5 / 13
G. Hill1563%7.5 / 12
C. Frye1478%7.0 / 9
J. Richardson1139%5.5 / 14
G. Dragic1169%5.5 / 8
H. Turkoglu1063%5.0 / 8
J. Childress675%3.0 / 4
H. Warrick550%2.5 / 5
E. Clark338%1.5 / 4
J. Dudley214%1.0 / 7
G. Siler250%1.0 / 2
E. Barron0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh3580%17.5 / 22
L. James2063%10.0 / 16
D. Wade1771%8.5 / 12
E. House1583%7.5 / 9
C. Arroyo1071%5.0 / 7
U. Haslem850%4.0 / 8
J. Jones531%2.5 / 8
J. Stackhouse563%2.5 / 4
J. Anthony467%2.0 / 3
Z. Ilgauskas250%1.0 / 2
J. Howard233%1.0 / 3
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHX
82
+8
-17
90
MIA
87
+10
-11
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.07 53.3%
MIA
1.26 62.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
111.4
PHX 97.0 +28.5
MIA 125.5
Pace
94.1
91.3
PHX 109.7 +20.5
MIA 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.2
PHX 13.1 +3.0
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.2%
52.4%
PHX 47.9%
MIA 58.7% +10.8%
TO %
14.2%
14.4%
PHX 16.1%
MIA 10.2% +5.9%
ORB %
23.7%
25.2%
PHX 15.4%
MIA 25.7% +10.3%
FTrt
28.3
36.3
PHX 51.4 +22.3
MIA 29.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.4%
54.1%
PHX 59.4%
MIA 61.7% +2.3%
STL %
6.9%
7.3%
PHX 4.0%
MIA 9.2% +5.2%
BLK %
6.6%
8.5%
PHX 6.0% +0.3%
MIA 5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.6%
55.7%
PHX 53.3%
MIA 62.8% +9.5%
Rim FG%
62.3%
64.7%
PHX 57.1%
MIA 69.6% +12.5%
Mid FG%
41.0%
42.2%
PHX 44.0%
MIA 54.5% +10.5%
3P %
37.7%
37.0%
PHX 26.3%
MIA 36.8% +10.5%
FT %
75.9%
76.9%
PHX 73.0%
MIA 88.0% +15.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
31.6%
PHX 38.9% +12.1%
MIA 26.7%
Mid Att. %
40.4%
44.9%
PHX 34.7% +16.4%
MIA 51.2%
3P Att. %
27.1%
23.5%
PHX 26.4% +4.3%
MIA 22.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsPHXMIA
Possessions9998
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points96123
Rebounds3242
Assists1929
Steals49
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (5)33 (4)
Field Goals32-7247-86
At-the-Rim FG16-2816-23
Midrange FG11-2524-44
2-Point FG27-5340-67
3-Point FG5-197-19
Free Throws27-3722-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 225 · 30
30.6
11
39%
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
1-1
100%
5-9
56%
0-5
0%
G · 6'3" 178 · 37
29.3
17
65%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
5-6
83%
6-10
60%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 28
26.4
14
78%
6
1
1
0
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 220 · 32
25.4
10
63%
6
4
1
1
2
4
1
5
3-6
50%
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 225 · 38
24.2
15
63%
2
3
0
1
1
3
0
2
9-9
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 240 · 25
20.1
2
14%
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 219 · 28
19.6
5
50%
2
1
0
0
4
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 25
18.8
11
69%
4
0
0
1
5
2
0
4
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27
18.1
6
75%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 234 · 23
13.8
3
38%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 29
9.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 305 · 24
4.5
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#15 · C · 7'0" 277 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · F · 6'9" 234 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
53%
32
19
4
4
17
0
6
26
27-37
73%
27-53
51%
5-19
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.