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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Knicks33%105118
9Nuggets67%110120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.4
39.5
35.9
19
55%
8
12
1
2
1
1
4
4
7-10
70%
3-9
4-8
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.4
37.8
29.6
21
68%
17
1
2
1
0
2
5
12
1-1
100%
10-12
3-5
83%
51%
0-3
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
35.8
33.5
21
47%
10
3
0
1
1
1
3
7
7-8
88%
4-9
3-6
44%
46%
2-10
20%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.0
32.5
33.0
24
53%
6
2
1
1
2
2
1
5
3-8
38%
9-17
8-14
53%
54%
1-2
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.3
11.8
15.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.5
31.4
34.7
23
62%
1
1
0
1
5
2
1
0
5-6
83%
6-11
5-11
55%
50%
2-5
40%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.7
16.3
22.6
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.8
12.4
20.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.1
10.0
7.1
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
2-3
67%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.3
6.5
12.3
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.2
6.0
7.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.0
2.8
0
0-1
43%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.7
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.9
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
38.1
36.6
7
53%
6
5
0
1
0
0
0
6
5-6
83%
1-3
3-7
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.5
36.5
37.0
26
48%
9
3
1
1
1
5
1
8
10-14
71%
8-20
8-17
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
33.4
16.8
10
87%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.1
32.8
30.2
13
43%
2
8
1
1
0
4
0
2
5-7
71%
4-10
3-7
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.2
29.6
27.5
17
79%
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
7-9
4-7
78%
58%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23.0
24.3
25.1
6
31%
4
3
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-4
0%
3-7
3-7
43%
53%
0-1
0%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
22.9
18.7
19
71%
9
0
1
1
0
1
5
4
0-1
0%
5-10
3-5
50%
51%
3-3
100%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
21.4
29.3
22
61%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
6-7
86%
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
2-6
33%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
1.1
13.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32.5
7.6
0
1-2
45%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.3
3.3
0
0-1
54%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.4
3.1
0
0-0
48%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.4
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.