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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hawks45%100102
17Pacers55%10192
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.9
37.0
36.5
25
66%
8
2
1
1
7
4
1
7
6-7
86%
8-15
6-12
53%
50%
1-1
100%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.4
35.9
33.0
11
41%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
48%
0-3
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.5
31.8
24.5
16
74%
3
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
31.0
33.6
15
60%
6
3
0
1
0
2
3
3
1-1
100%
7-12
6-12
58%
55%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.4
23.6
23.4
11
59%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.7
24.6
28.2
11
66%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
2-2
100%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.0
23.7
14.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.4
12.5
15.8
6
100%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
2-3
67%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.8
12.2
15.5
5
64%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.0
5.0
5.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.8
2.9
13.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.1
5.0
0
0-1
46%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.6
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.6
40.4
35.8
22
63%
6
3
1
1
2
2
0
6
7-8
88%
6-10
5-11
60%
49%
1-4
25%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.6
37.3
19.5
6
30%
4
5
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.9
33.2
27.7
18
46%
15
3
1
0
1
3
7
8
6-8
75%
6-16
5-11
38%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30.2
31.6
32.2
14
69%
1
2
2
1
0
4
0
1
5-5
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
50%
1-4
25%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 23.7
22.9
26.7
2
33%
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.4
25.7
22.7
5
37%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.8
25.1
19.8
8
57%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
2-6
33%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
13.1
9.2
10
102%
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-4
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.1
10.7
14.7
7
81%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.8
6.5
0
1-1
50%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.5
6.2
0
0-1
51%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.9
2.1
0
0-1
47%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 25.0
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.2
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 20.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.