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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 15, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Thunder33%95115
9Jazz67%101108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.1
39.6
38.9
30
62%
6
4
2
1
0
3
1
5
16-16
100%
4-9
7-15
44%
48%
2-8
25%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
39.2
29.1
22
75%
11
1
1
1
4
0
5
6
4-4
100%
9-13
4-8
69%
53%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
31.6
27.0
11
70%
3
0
2
1
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.3
31.0
27.8
8
40%
8
0
1
0
1
1
4
4
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
48%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.0
30.1
38.6
22
70%
1
7
1
2
0
5
0
1
6-6
100%
8-12
7-15
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.1
18.8
13.7
4
67%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.2
16.4
27.8
5
37%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
16.0
18.1
8
80%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
2-2
100%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.9
10.6
1.4
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
1-1
100%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
6.7
4.2
2
53%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.0
4.6
0
0-1
48%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.2
1.6
0
0-0
41%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.7
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.8
40.3
35.0
20
60%
6
6
2
1
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
7-14
7-13
50%
56%
1-1
100%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
40.0
37.5
31
80%
5
11
1
1
0
4
1
4
3-3
100%
8-11
6-11
73%
52%
4-7
57%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 25.9
36.8
32.3
12
40%
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
5-14
6-13
36%
52%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
36.3
35.5
13
56%
3
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
6-6
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
52%
1-3
33%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.6
22.3
4.5
4
67%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
26.4
25.9
16
52%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
7-10
3-6
70%
50%
0-4
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.4
14.3
8.3
4
67%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.7
8.2
6.5
2
100%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.4
8.0
8.3
4
72%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.9
4.3
13.7
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.1
3.1
5.6
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.2
25.4
1
2-4
47%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.