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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 15, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Grizzlies21%9472
2Magic79%10589
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.2
39.9
40.6
9
26%
9
3
1
1
2
3
3
6
0-0
-
3-13
7-14
23%
48%
1-4
25%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.3
37.4
33.9
9
27%
9
2
1
1
1
2
4
5
1-4
25%
4-15
6-13
27%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
35.6
34.6
11
50%
3
8
1
2
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
1-2
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
28.8
30.5
11
53%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
3-4
4-8
75%
46%
1-5
20%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.8
28.5
33.9
14
61%
8
2
1
1
0
3
4
4
6-8
75%
4-8
4-8
50%
54%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
18.5
17.8
7
44%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 19.7
15.3
11.2
2
29%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 23.8
12.4
6.3
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.7
11.6
6.1
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.8
9.7
13.1
7
60%
2
0
4
1
0
2
2
0
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.5
2.4
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.8
6.7
0
1-1
42%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.5
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
39.0
29.5
9
32%
6
4
1
1
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-8
3-5
25%
50%
1-5
20%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.9
38.9
33.2
18
50%
14
0
2
1
2
4
2
12
8-11
73%
5-13
7-12
38%
61%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.8
31.7
30.6
11
63%
9
4
3
1
0
5
1
8
4-4
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
51%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.8
28.8
30.9
19
93%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
3-4
4-8
75%
48%
3-4
75%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.6
20.9
19.4
8
57%
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.5
22.2
22.9
10
58%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
6-6
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.7
21.6
16.1
8
69%
4
1
0
0
2
1
2
2
2-4
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
58%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
20.6
19.8
6
44%
4
0
2
1
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
1-5
20%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.2
16.3
15.7
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.0
6.8
0
0-1
48%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
4.5
0
0-1
49%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
1.4
0
0-0
43%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.3
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.