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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 14, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Suns28%102121
2Lakers72%110116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.8
35.8
32.3
35
80%
8
3
3
1
0
2
2
6
2-4
50%
6-10
5-9
60%
49%
7-10
70%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.8
33.9
33.0
21
75%
2
13
1
1
0
0
0
2
7-7
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.1
28.7
22.9
8
40%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.7
26.6
24.0
17
94%
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
5-7
71%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.6
5.7
17.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
53%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.5
37.7
26.8
20
75%
6
2
1
1
1
2
2
4
2-3
67%
3-3
1-2
100%
44%
4-9
44%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.4
22.6
20.8
2
33%
5
2
0
1
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
54%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.4
21.0
24.9
6
37%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
2-5
40%
2-6
4-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.3
14.2
18.0
3
30%
2
1
3
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-5
20%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
13.7
14.6
9
64%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
3-5
60%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.1
0.2
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.8
1.5
0
0-1
43%
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.0
42.3
29.0
22
57%
11
4
1
1
1
1
4
7
2-3
67%
10-17
4-7
59%
54%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.4
41.0
38.9
28
71%
17
2
1
1
1
4
9
8
4-6
67%
12-17
8-15
71%
55%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.2
38.3
34.9
25
60%
9
14
1
1
0
8
2
7
2-2
100%
10-16
7-15
63%
50%
1-4
25%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.3
28.0
30.2
6
50%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.0
22.6
33.5
13
54%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
3-7
43%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.7
25.4
17.4
7
36%
7
2
1
1
1
2
2
5
3-4
75%
2-6
2-4
33%
55%
0-2
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.0
18.9
19.1
12
68%
2
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.7
11.1
2.8
3
50%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
6.2
7.1
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.0
3.6
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.5
2.6
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.6
7.3
0
1-1
47%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.7
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.