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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 14, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Timberwolves25%99105
14Hawks75%108111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.2
40.6
33.6
22
59%
17
0
2
1
0
5
5
12
8-8
100%
7-13
6-13
54%
46%
0-2
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.4
39.3
33.1
18
80%
0
8
3
1
0
5
0
0
4-5
80%
4-5
3-7
80%
44%
2-4
50%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.3
37.0
30.8
10
63%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
46%
2-6
33%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.8
33.9
34.6
25
66%
4
3
1
1
0
5
1
3
4-7
57%
9-13
7-16
69%
47%
1-3
33%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.4
20.4
24.3
2
13%
2
2
0
1
3
2
2
0
0-2
0%
1-7
3-8
14%
45%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 24.7
22.9
25.4
11
48%
4
1
2
1
0
2
1
3
6-8
75%
1-5
3-7
20%
44%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.5
21.3
14.2
13
87%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
2-3
67%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
10.1
5.7
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.6
8.7
9.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.7
5.9
6.1
4
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 24.9
10.8
0
2-3
48%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.0
8.5
0
1-2
44%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.8
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.9
39.8
34.9
23
55%
10
2
2
2
1
5
5
5
2-2
100%
9-18
6-11
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.4
35.7
32.9
28
76%
10
3
1
1
3
0
3
7
10-10
100%
9-14
7-12
64%
56%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.4
28.0
36.6
17
58%
3
5
2
1
0
1
2
1
5-6
83%
3-9
6-13
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.4
27.9
19.3
9
46%
7
2
1
1
1
1
3
4
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.5
20.9
27.0
4
35%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.7
30.8
26.9
11
54%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
5-5
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.4
17.1
14.7
4
69%
2
2
3
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.0
16.4
13.2
9
77%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.8
11.7
14.2
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.8
11.6
17.8
4
42%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
4-4
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.0
7.7
0
1-1
43%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.1
6.8
0
1-1
50%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.6
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.