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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 13, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Warriors37%9772
15Bucks63%10279
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.0
41.5
38.6
24
71%
5
8
3
2
0
7
0
5
2-2
100%
5-11
7-15
45%
49%
4-5
80%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.9
31.9
35.9
7
22%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
1-9
3-6
11%
46%
1-5
20%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
30.0
34.1
7
24%
2
4
3
2
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
3-11
5-11
27%
47%
0-3
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
28.1
25.2
0
0%
9
1
1
1
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
56%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
11.8
11.0
2
33%
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
25.9
14.0
8
50%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
2-4
50%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
24.0
18.1
11
46%
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
2-7
2-4
29%
50%
2-4
50%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 24.8
19.3
3.2
6
75%
8
0
0
0
2
0
3
5
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
44%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
12.4
5.0
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
7.8
13.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.6
7.3
13.5
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.2
7.4
0
1-1
40%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.1
41.6
29.5
19
45%
11
6
2
1
2
5
4
7
5-5
100%
4-14
4-8
29%
42%
2-5
40%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.9
40.3
30.3
26
69%
4
1
2
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
4-6
67%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.0
39.2
26.4
8
31%
17
0
0
1
7
2
5
12
0-2
0%
4-12
5-9
33%
54%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.2
38.8
25.7
6
71%
12
3
1
1
0
0
3
9
4-5
80%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.1
31.4
21.1
16
49%
10
3
2
1
0
2
6
4
2-3
67%
7-14
4-8
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
14.7
23.0
2
17%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
5-9
17%
52%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.5
12.3
17.7
2
17%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
11.1
22.7
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.7
5.9
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.4
4.8
14.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.2
14.7
1
1-2
46%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.0
4.0
0
1-1
53%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.8
Darington Hobson
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.1
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.