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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 13, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Wizards21%9496
11Bulls79%105103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.9
37.4
33.9
8
90%
4
6
1
1
1
3
1
3
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
1-1
100%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.2
30.8
39.0
16
55%
2
6
3
2
0
4
0
2
0-1
0%
5-10
5-12
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
27.1
35.7
4
20%
7
1
0
1
0
3
4
3
0-0
-
2-9
8-17
22%
47%
0-1
0%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.9
25.3
27.1
6
30%
4
1
0
1
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
46%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.8
20.1
22.8
6
47%
5
0
0
1
4
1
3
2
2-3
67%
2-5
3-7
40%
50%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.9
31.6
28.6
30
66%
6
4
2
1
0
5
2
4
1-2
50%
4-12
4-9
33%
44%
7-10
70%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.5
18.9
12.0
11
61%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
43%
1-2
50%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.0
18.0
8.9
8
47%
10
0
1
0
0
1
4
6
0-1
0%
4-8
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.0
17.9
1.4
2
25%
2
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
43%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
13.0
26.6
5
83%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-8
50%
41%
1-1
100%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 20.9
4.6
0
1-1
45%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.0
3.9
0
0-1
42%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.3
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.5
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
43.6
38.4
20
59%
9
6
1
1
0
2
3
6
5-7
71%
3-8
6-12
38%
50%
3-6
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.7
38.1
35.0
21
69%
9
0
2
1
1
5
3
6
9-12
75%
6-10
5-10
60%
54%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.1
36.1
36.5
24
52%
4
8
2
1
1
3
1
3
7-7
100%
7-16
9-16
44%
52%
1-4
25%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.5
33.7
29.3
11
70%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
3-7
43%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
25.7
28.3
9
51%
7
1
2
1
5
0
5
2
1-2
50%
4-8
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.7
19.6
16.4
8
67%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.7
18.6
17.6
7
72%
4
2
2
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.6
14.6
13.8
1
9%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-3
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.4
9.9
12.4
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.7
5.0
0
1-1
50%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.7
3.8
0
0-0
44%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.1
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.