FinalWin Prob.pScore
238%90
100
192%109
109
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
111.19085.4
MIA logo MIA
123.98893.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0TORWeems Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)100
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0TORWeems Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0TORJohnson 2' Dunk (14 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)98
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0TORMISS Johnson 4' Jump Hook Shot96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade 2' Finger Roll Layup (31 PTS)96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)96
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 1:36TORRaptors Rebound93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIAMISS James 5' Turnaround Jump Shot93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIAMISS James 2' Layup93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIAIlgauskas 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 11 AST)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44TORBargnani 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Weems 5 AST)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 289
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 3:32TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 289
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 3:44MIAJames 1' Running Slam Dunk (23 PTS)89
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 3:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 3:50TORMISS Weems 7' Jump Shot89
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 4:08MIAIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 10 AST)89
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 4:30TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)89
1.4%
97
98.6%
Q4 - 4:55MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (27 PTS)87
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 5:10MIAHEAT Rebound87
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 5:10TORMISS Weems 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 5:24TORRaptors Rebound87
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q4 - 5:24TORWade BLOCK (1 BLK)87
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 5:39TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 187
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q4 - 5:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
3.8%
93
96.2%
Q4 - 5:45TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
4.2%
93
95.8%
Q4 - 6:09MIAHaslem 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (James 9 AST)87
5.8%
93
94.2%
Q4 - 6:25TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
7.5%
91
92.5%
Q4 - 6:25TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)86
7.3%
91
92.7%
Q4 - 6:37TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q4 - 6:38TORMISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot85
4.7%
91
95.3%
Q4 - 6:53TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 285
5.5%
91
94.5%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 285
4.6%
91
95.4%
Q4 - 7:04MIAHEAT Rebound85
4.5%
91
95.5%
Q4 - 7:04TORMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot85
4.9%
91
95.1%
Q4 - 7:26MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)85
6.0%
91
94.0%
Q4 - 7:41TORBargnani 8' Running Bank Shot (15 PTS)85
4.5%
91
95.5%
Q4 - 8:00MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 8 AST)83
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q4 - 8:23MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
5.0%
89
95.0%
Q4 - 8:24TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot83
5.4%
89
94.6%
Q4 - 8:45MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)83
6.3%
89
93.7%
Q4 - 9:03TORJohnson 10' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)83
8.5%
87
91.5%
Q4 - 9:08TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot81
6.3%
87
93.7%
Q4 - 9:30TORCalderon 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)81
5.4%
87
94.6%
Q4 - 9:39MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)79
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q4 - 9:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q4 - 9:50TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 179
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 9:55TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot77
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 10:09TORDeRozan 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)77
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 10:21MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)75
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 10:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 10:28MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot75
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 10:43TORDeRozan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)75
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 10:59TORRaptors Rebound73
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot73
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 11:15TORJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)73
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 11:31MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 11:31MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 11:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot73
3.0%
83
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR73
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound73
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)73
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0TORDeRozan 2' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)73
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot71
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0TORMISS Andersen 6' Jump Hook Shot71
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q3 - 1:07TORAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 1:09MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 271
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 1:09MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)71
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 1:09MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q3 - 1:09TORMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q3 - 1:35MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)71
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q3 - 1:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)71
5.2%
78
94.8%
Q3 - 1:55TORMISS Andersen 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
5.4%
78
94.6%
Q3 - 2:11TORAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
6.2%
78
93.8%
Q3 - 2:13TORMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 271
5.3%
78
94.7%
Q3 - 2:13TORMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 271
5.8%
78
94.2%
Q3 - 2:29TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
6.2%
78
93.8%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 171
6.0%
78
94.0%
Q3 - 2:44TORCalderon 23' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)71
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q3 - 2:48TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS Anthony 2' Layup69
5.9%
76
94.1%
Q3 - 3:13TORAndersen 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 3:30TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)67
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 267
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q3 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)67
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 3:51TORWright 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)67
4.3%
75
95.7%
Q3 - 3:55MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)65
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 4:21TORDorsey 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)65
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 4:38MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)63
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 4:46MIAHEAT Rebound63
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot63
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 4:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)63
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot63
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 5:14TORJack Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)63
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 5:24TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Arroyo 4' Jump Shot63
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 5:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Haslem 6' Jump Shot63
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 5:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 5:35MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup63
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 5:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 5:38TORMISS Bargnani 12' Jump Shot63
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 5:40TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 5:41TORMISS Bargnani 4' Jump Shot63
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 6:00TORJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot63
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 6:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 6:14TORMISS Wright 2' Reverse Layup63
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 6:19MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)63
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 6:35TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 6:35TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)62
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 6:42TORRaptors Rebound61
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 6:44TORMISS Jack 14' Jump Shot61
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 6:55TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot61
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 7:23TORJack 14' Jump Shot (3 PTS)61
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 7:34MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)59
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 7:54TORJohnson 6' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)59
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 8:17MIAIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)57
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q3 - 8:29TORJohnson 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)57
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 8:46MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)55
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 9:01TORWeems Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)55
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 9:16MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T3)55
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 9:30TORJohnson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Weems 3 AST)55
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 9:40MIAWade 3' Reverse Layup (20 PTS)53
1.5%
70
98.5%
Q3 - 9:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q3 - 9:48TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 9:56TORJack Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)53
2.0%
68
98.0%
Q3 - 10:10MIAIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)52
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 10:20MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q3 - 10:22TORMISS Bargnani 16' Jump Shot52
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q3 - 10:36TORJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 10:37MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot52
2.3%
66
97.7%
Q3 - 10:51MIAJames Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)52
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q3 - 11:03TORDeRozan 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)52
2.4%
65
97.6%
Q3 - 11:22MIAIlgauskas 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)50
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q3 - 11:23MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
2.4%
63
97.6%
Q3 - 11:25MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot50
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 11:45TORJames STEAL (2 STL)50
2.4%
63
97.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR50
2.8%
63
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound50
2.8%
63
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 49' 3PT Jump Shot50
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 4' Driving Layup50
2.8%
63
97.2%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
2.6%
63
97.4%
Q2 - 0:18.0TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 250
2.6%
63
97.4%
Q2 - 0:18.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q2 - 0:18.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0TORMISS Jack 3' Driving Layup49
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0TORJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0TORMISS Bargnani 21' Jump Shot49
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 249
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)49
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q2 - 1:13TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q2 - 1:32MIAJames 4' Driving Layup (16 PTS)47
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q2 - 1:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q2 - 1:36TORMISS Jack 1' Layup47
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q2 - 1:56MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q2 - 1:56MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
3.0%
59
97.0%
Q2 - 1:56TORMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot47
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q2 - 2:03MIAMISS Wade 2' Tip Shot47
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q2 - 2:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
3.4%
58
96.6%
Q2 - 2:05MIAMISS Haslem 2' Tip Shot47
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q2 - 2:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
3.4%
58
96.6%
Q2 - 2:11MIAMISS James 4' Driving Layup47
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q2 - 2:15TORJames STEAL (1 STL)47
3.4%
58
96.6%
Q2 - 2:37MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)47
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q2 - 3:02TORDeRozan 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q2 - 3:19MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)45
3.8%
56
96.2%
Q2 - 3:33TORWeems 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)45
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q2 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
3.8%
54
96.2%
Q2 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 4:15TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
4.2%
52
95.8%
Q2 - 4:15TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q2 - 4:28MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)41
3.8%
52
96.2%
Q2 - 4:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q2 - 4:41MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 4:59TORBargnani 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Weems 2 AST)41
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q2 - 5:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)39
3.8%
50
96.2%
Q2 - 5:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)39
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 5:20TORBargnani 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
4.3%
48
95.7%
Q2 - 5:22TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
3.8%
48
96.2%
Q2 - 5:24TORMISS Bargnani 11' Jump Shot37
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 5:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)37
3.8%
48
96.2%
Q2 - 5:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)37
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q2 - 6:04TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Weems 1 AST)37
4.4%
46
95.6%
Q2 - 6:19MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)34
3.6%
46
96.4%
Q2 - 6:45TORBargnani Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)34
4.4%
43
95.6%
Q2 - 6:55MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 7:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
5.4%
41
94.6%
Q2 - 7:17TORMISS Weems Free Throw 2 of 234
5.5%
41
94.5%
Q2 - 7:17TORWeems Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)34
5.9%
41
94.1%
Q2 - 7:19TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
5.5%
41
94.5%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot33
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 7:42TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
4.9%
41
95.1%
Q2 - 7:51TORAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
4.0%
41
96.0%
Q2 - 7:52MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot30
3.8%
41
96.2%
Q2 - 8:09TORDeRozan 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
3.6%
41
96.4%
Q2 - 8:15TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
3.3%
41
96.7%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
3.2%
41
96.8%
Q2 - 8:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
2.9%
41
97.1%
Q2 - 8:24TORMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
3.0%
41
97.0%
Q2 - 8:49MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
3.3%
41
96.7%
Q2 - 9:11MIAHEAT Rebound28
3.7%
39
96.3%
Q2 - 9:11TORMISS Andersen 13' Jump Shot28
3.8%
39
96.2%
Q2 - 9:39MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)28
4.1%
39
95.9%
Q2 - 9:51MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q2 - 9:52TORMISS DeRozan 8' Running Jump Shot28
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q2 - 10:00TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)28
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 10:02TORMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
5.2%
36
94.8%
Q2 - 10:14TORAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
5.6%
36
94.4%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS House 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
5.4%
36
94.6%
Q2 - 10:37TORCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)28
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q2 - 10:47TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
4.2%
36
95.8%
Q2 - 10:49TORMISS Calderon 16' Jump Shot25
3.9%
36
96.1%
Q2 - 11:10MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)25
4.3%
36
95.7%
Q2 - 11:18TORChalmers STEAL (1 STL)25
4.7%
34
95.3%
Q2 - 11:22MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)25
5.2%
34
94.8%
Q2 - 11:33MIAHEAT Rebound25
4.7%
34
95.3%
Q2 - 11:34TORMISS Andersen 17' Jump Shot25
4.8%
34
95.2%
Q2 - 11:35TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
5.2%
34
94.8%
Q2 - 11:39TORMISS Wright 8' Jump Hook Shot25
4.8%
34
95.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR25
5.2%
34
94.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound25
5.2%
34
94.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
4.8%
34
95.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)25
5.1%
34
94.9%
Q1 - 0:17.0TORAndersen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)25
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
5.6%
31
94.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS James 3' Layup23
5.5%
31
94.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0TORWright Foul Turnover (P1.T4)23
5.2%
31
94.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
5.6%
31
94.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
5.8%
30
94.2%
Q1 - 1:07MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)23
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q1 - 1:17TORCalderon 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
6.9%
28
93.1%
Q1 - 1:37MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)21
6.2%
28
93.8%
Q1 - 1:57TORWeems 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)21
6.9%
26
93.1%
Q1 - 2:17TORAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
6.3%
26
93.7%
Q1 - 2:19TORMISS Weems Free Throw 2 of 219
5.9%
26
94.1%
Q1 - 2:19TORWeems Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)19
6.2%
26
93.8%
Q1 - 2:20TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
5.8%
26
94.2%
Q1 - 2:21TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot18
5.5%
26
94.5%
Q1 - 2:24TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
5.8%
26
94.2%
Q1 - 2:24TORMISS Weems 20' Jump Shot18
5.5%
26
94.5%
Q1 - 2:30TORCalderon Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)18
5.8%
26
94.2%
Q1 - 2:30MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)17
5.3%
26
94.7%
Q1 - 2:37TORWeems Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)17
4.9%
26
95.1%
Q1 - 2:49MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
5.3%
26
94.7%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 217
5.4%
25
94.6%
Q1 - 2:56TORHaslem STEAL (1 STL)17
5.3%
25
94.7%
Q1 - 2:59TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
5.8%
25
94.2%
Q1 - 3:02MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
5.6%
25
94.4%
Q1 - 3:09TORHouse STEAL (1 STL)17
5.2%
25
94.8%
Q1 - 3:26TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
5.7%
25
94.3%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 217
5.7%
25
94.3%
Q1 - 3:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
5.4%
25
94.6%
Q1 - 3:44TORWeems 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)17
5.7%
24
94.3%
Q1 - 4:03MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)14
4.7%
24
95.3%
Q1 - 4:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
5.1%
22
94.9%
Q1 - 4:13TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
5.3%
22
94.7%
Q1 - 4:21TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
5.6%
22
94.4%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
5.5%
22
94.5%
Q1 - 4:40TORWright 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)14
5.1%
22
94.9%
Q1 - 4:54MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)12
4.7%
22
95.3%
Q1 - 5:09TORJohnson 3' Layup (4 PTS)12
5.7%
19
94.3%
Q1 - 5:11TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
5.3%
19
94.7%
Q1 - 5:12TORMISS Jack 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
5.0%
19
95.0%
Q1 - 5:17TORRaptors Rebound10
5.3%
19
94.7%
Q1 - 5:19TORMISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot10
5.0%
19
95.0%
Q1 - 5:35MIAIlgauskas 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
5.3%
19
94.7%
Q1 - 5:47MIAHEAT Rebound10
5.7%
17
94.3%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
6.1%
17
93.9%
Q1 - 6:04TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
5.7%
17
94.3%
Q1 - 6:04TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
5.6%
17
94.4%
Q1 - 6:21MIAJames 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
5.3%
17
94.7%
Q1 - 6:33TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
5.7%
15
94.3%
Q1 - 6:33TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
5.6%
15
94.4%
Q1 - 6:37TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
5.3%
15
94.7%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS James 4' Layup6
5.1%
15
94.9%
Q1 - 6:52MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
4.8%
15
95.2%
Q1 - 6:54TORMISS DeRozan 12' Jump Shot6
5.0%
15
95.0%
Q1 - 7:12MIAJames 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
5.2%
15
94.8%
Q1 - 7:30MIAHEAT Rebound6
5.6%
13
94.4%
Q1 - 7:32TORMISS Johnson 4' Hook Shot6
5.7%
13
94.3%
Q1 - 7:47MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)6
6.1%
13
93.9%
Q1 - 7:53TORWeems 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)6
6.5%
11
93.5%
Q1 - 8:14TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
5.9%
11
94.1%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 14
5.9%
11
94.1%
Q1 - 8:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
6.4%
9
93.6%
Q1 - 8:21TORMISS Bargnani 7' Running Hook Shot4
6.6%
9
93.4%
Q1 - 8:41MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS)4
6.9%
9
93.1%
Q1 - 8:52TORWeems 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
7.5%
7
92.5%
Q1 - 8:57TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6.9%
7
93.1%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot2
6.8%
7
93.2%
Q1 - 9:15TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
6.4%
7
93.6%
Q1 - 9:15TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
6.4%
7
93.6%
Q1 - 9:31MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)0
6.0%
7
94.0%
Q1 - 9:48MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
6.4%
5
93.6%
Q1 - 9:50TORIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)0
6.6%
5
93.4%
Q1 - 10:03TORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.0%
5
93.0%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper0
6.9%
5
93.1%
Q1 - 10:10MIAHEAT Rebound0
6.5%
5
93.5%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMISS James 7' Hook Shot0
6.9%
5
93.1%
Q1 - 10:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
6.5%
5
93.5%
Q1 - 10:29TORMISS Bargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
6.6%
5
93.4%
Q1 - 10:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
7.0%
5
93.0%
Q1 - 10:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.9%
2
92.1%
Q1 - 10:50TORMISS Bargnani 2' Reverse Layup0
8.1%
2
91.9%
Q1 - 11:08MIABosh 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
8.3%
2
91.7%
Q1 - 11:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.9%
0
91.1%
Q1 - 11:24TORMISS Jack 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
9.0%
0
91.0%
Q1 - 11:46TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.4%
0
90.6%
Q1 - 11:48MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot0
9.2%
0
90.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Bargnani: Tip to Arroyo0
8.9%
0
91.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.02 51.0%
MIA
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
10
18
56%
MIA
16
29
55%
Midrange
TOR
22
45
49%
MIA
21
40
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
MIA
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
Free Throws
TOR
21
29
72%
MIA
26
36
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bargnani2244%11.0 / 25
D. DeRozan2162%10.5 / 17
S. Weems1568%7.5 / 11
J. Calderon1594%7.5 / 8
A. Johnson1470%7.0 / 10
J. Wright418%2.0 / 11
D. Andersen433%2.0 / 6
J. Jack325%1.5 / 6
J. Dorsey2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3170%15.5 / 22
L. James2346%11.5 / 25
J. Jones1478%7.0 / 9
Z. Ilgauskas1286%6.0 / 7
C. Bosh1267%6.0 / 9
U. Haslem1056%5.0 / 9
C. Arroyo433%2.0 / 6
E. House338%1.5 / 4
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 1
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
79
+19
-11
98
MIA
79
+14
-9
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.02 51.0%
MIA
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
111.4
TOR 111.1
MIA 123.9 +12.8
Pace
93.1
91.3
TOR 85.4
MIA 93.0 +7.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.2
TOR 16.9
MIA 15.5 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
52.4%
TOR 48.2%
MIA 52.5% +4.3%
TO %
15.0%
14.4%
TOR 10.4%
MIA 8.7% +1.7%
ORB %
28.3%
25.2%
TOR 32.5% +5.7%
MIA 26.8%
FTrt
29.3
36.3
TOR 35.4
MIA 45.6 +10.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
54.1%
TOR 45.9% +0.9%
MIA 45.0%
STL %
7.6%
7.3%
TOR 5.6%
MIA 5.7% +0.1%
BLK %
6.7%
8.5%
TOR 5.8% +2.6%
MIA 3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
55.7%
TOR 51.0%
MIA 58.0% +7.0%
Rim FG%
58.9%
64.7%
TOR 55.6% +0.4%
MIA 55.2%
Mid FG%
41.2%
42.2%
TOR 48.9%
MIA 52.5% +3.6%
3P %
31.6%
37.0%
TOR 26.3%
MIA 30.0% +3.7%
FT %
75.5%
76.9%
TOR 72.4% +0.2%
MIA 72.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
31.6%
TOR 22.0%
MIA 36.7% +14.8%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
44.9%
TOR 54.9%
MIA 50.6% +4.2%
3P Att. %
16.2%
23.5%
TOR 23.2% +10.5%
MIA 12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points100109
Rebounds4338
Assists1718
Steals55
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (6)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)27 (5)
Field Goals37-8240-79
At-the-Rim FG10-1816-29
Midrange FG22-4521-40
2-Point FG32-6337-69
3-Point FG5-193-10
Free Throws21-2926-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 21
42.2
21
62%
6
3
1
0
1
4
1
5
7-11
64%
7-11
64%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 245 · 25
38.4
22
44%
9
0
0
0
3
5
3
6
4-4
100%
6-17
35%
2-6
33%
F · 6'6" 205 · 24
34.4
15
68%
3
5
0
0
3
4
1
2
4-6
67%
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 240 · 24
25.2
14
70%
3
1
1
2
1
5
1
2
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
23.2
3
25%
5
3
0
0
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
26.7
15
94%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
2-2
100%
F · 6'8" 225 · 23
19.9
4
18%
1
3
0
2
1
2
0
1
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
0-5
0%
· 6'8" 268 · 27
15.9
2
100%
11
0
3
0
0
5
4
7
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
· 6'11" 247 · 30
13.8
4
33%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 252 · 23
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30
G · 6'2" 205 · 29
#11 · F · 6'8" 234 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'3" 194 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
51%
43
17
5
4
11
0
13
30
21-29
72%
32-63
51%
5-19
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.