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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 13, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Jazz51%9596
16Bobcats49%9495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
38.1
34.7
12
45%
7
4
1
1
0
0
1
6
3-5
60%
3-8
4-7
38%
51%
1-3
33%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
35.5
39.0
17
46%
2
9
0
1
2
3
1
1
6-8
75%
4-10
6-11
40%
50%
1-5
20%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.8
33.5
36.3
17
67%
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
7-11
7-13
64%
55%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 25.9
31.1
33.6
19
66%
6
1
1
1
3
0
2
4
3-3
100%
8-13
6-13
62%
50%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.1
22.3
27.6
4
41%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
26.2
25.9
14
46%
6
3
2
1
0
1
3
3
5-5
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
48%
1-3
33%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.9
16.9
11.9
4
52%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-2
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.4
12.6
6.5
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.1
8.0
4.3
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.7
6.6
6.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.4
5.3
9.7
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-2
50%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.6
4.0
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.0
41.5
33.0
12
45%
3
10
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-5
80%
4-9
2-6
44%
41%
0-2
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
38.8
38.9
13
48%
8
3
2
1
2
0
1
7
3-6
50%
2-7
5-10
29%
51%
2-4
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
36.3
19.3
22
64%
20
2
0
0
4
0
8
12
2-3
67%
10-16
3-7
63%
51%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.6
33.7
36.4
12
51%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-9
4-7
44%
54%
1-2
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.6
33.2
37.6
24
56%
5
6
3
1
1
2
2
3
7-8
88%
1-5
4-9
20%
46%
5-13
38%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.2
15.9
15.5
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.2
14.6
9.9
4
67%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.8
10.9
10.1
2
33%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.2
8.4
7.0
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.3
6.6
8.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.7
0.0
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
11.3
0
1-3
45%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.2
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.