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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bobcats54%9693
28Wizards46%9485
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.6
42.0
35.7
13
55%
5
3
0
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
4-5
4-10
80%
46%
1-6
17%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
40.4
38.5
25
67%
14
1
2
2
2
1
6
8
6-8
75%
8-14
5-10
57%
51%
1-1
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.6
38.2
36.0
19
87%
5
5
0
1
1
4
2
3
1-2
50%
6-8
4-7
75%
54%
2-2
100%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.0
33.1
33.3
17
83%
2
10
1
1
0
4
0
2
4-5
80%
2-3
2-6
67%
41%
3-5
60%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
22.6
17.0
6
60%
5
0
1
0
2
5
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.2
17.1
14.5
4
34%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.2
13.6
20.4
4
29%
9
2
0
1
0
2
5
4
2-2
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.2
11.6
3.0
2
23%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-2
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.8
11.3
9.0
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.2
6.9
11.5
3
52%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
3.3
16.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.7
0.1
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.7
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.2
40.5
38.8
13
41%
4
11
4
2
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-12
6-12
42%
46%
1-4
25%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
38.0
34.2
22
50%
9
2
2
1
0
1
5
4
2-2
100%
10-21
8-16
48%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.9
38.0
30.9
14
89%
1
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
2-3
67%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.8
21.4
24.0
10
79%
2
1
1
1
2
2
0
2
2-3
67%
4-5
4-7
80%
52%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.9
21.1
32.9
2
13%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
5-10
17%
49%
0-2
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
31.6
22.8
8
51%
4
1
1
1
6
2
3
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
43%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.8
31.6
25.4
5
18%
6
4
2
1
1
4
1
5
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
46%
1-9
11%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.4
12.9
10.3
9
64%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
1-3
33%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.0
4.8
12.0
2
69%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-1
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.0
5.5
0
0-1
45%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 20.9
4.2
0
0-1
49%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.0
1.4
0
0-0
47%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.8
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.5
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.