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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Raptors15%92110
3Magic85%106106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.3
40.4
26.3
26
71%
7
2
1
1
0
1
2
5
10-12
83%
8-12
4-8
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.0
39.4
32.2
27
55%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
10-20
5-12
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.5
32.3
24.3
1
13%
12
3
2
1
0
1
4
8
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.3
31.9
25.1
14
71%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
5-7
4-9
71%
49%
1-2
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.0
26.2
27.6
13
67%
5
2
0
1
0
4
0
5
4-4
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
24.2
12.6
7
47%
4
2
1
1
2
1
1
3
0-1
0%
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
22.3
20.1
10
51%
2
7
2
1
0
2
2
0
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
49%
2-3
67%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.5
16.1
24.1
12
76%
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
5-7
4-6
71%
58%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.9
7.3
2.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.4
17.3
0
2-4
44%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.6
5.3
0
1-1
46%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.0
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 25.9
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.0
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.9
43.7
32.4
25
58%
8
1
0
1
5
4
2
6
7-17
41%
9-14
7-12
64%
61%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.8
36.5
29.9
23
67%
2
8
1
1
0
3
1
1
3-5
60%
7-10
3-7
70%
52%
2-5
40%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.8
31.6
31.7
10
41%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
4-11
4-8
36%
49%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
25.7
32.4
6
51%
6
4
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.6
18.2
19.5
8
50%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
2-7
29%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
29.9
7.5
24
109%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
8-11
73%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.5
22.3
25.5
8
58%
3
1
1
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.4
16.4
17.0
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.2
11.5
19.9
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.7
4.3
19.2
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
59%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.0
9.9
0
0-1
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
7.8
0
1-2
51%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.3
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.