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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 11, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Warriors36%10090
13Bulls64%105120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.0
36.7
40.3
24
55%
5
5
1
2
0
4
0
5
4-4
100%
10-17
8-15
59%
49%
0-3
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.9
35.2
37.2
12
46%
8
2
0
1
1
3
1
7
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
2-7
29%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
31.0
36.7
17
45%
3
6
5
2
0
5
0
3
1-2
50%
5-13
6-12
38%
48%
2-5
40%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
22.3
26.8
2
33%
5
2
1
1
0
3
5
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
57%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
15.6
11.8
4
33%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
23.4
9.6
9
50%
6
0
0
0
1
0
4
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
20.7
5.2
8
50%
6
0
0
0
1
0
5
1
0-0
-
4-8
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.6
17.6
11.7
5
46%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
1-1
100%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
14.7
20.1
7
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.2
9.0
6.7
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
7.4
3.8
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 24.8
6.4
1.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
39.6
38.4
26
59%
11
6
1
1
2
0
3
8
6-7
86%
7-14
6-12
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.1
36.7
37.4
22
62%
3
13
1
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
10-14
9-17
71%
51%
0-3
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.5
35.6
24.3
14
70%
5
2
6
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
48%
2-6
33%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.7
32.9
38.1
17
67%
7
5
1
1
2
1
3
4
5-6
83%
6-10
6-10
60%
53%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
25.8
31.8
14
60%
7
0
2
1
3
1
3
4
4-4
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.6
21.1
14.4
2
25%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
53%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.6
17.1
10.1
7
90%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.7
13.9
19.0
10
100%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
2-3
67%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.4
11.1
13.6
8
82%
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
54%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.7
3.5
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.7
2.8
4.1
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.1
1.0
0
0-0
47%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.