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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 10, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2676ers28%95103
11Thunder72%103109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.0
38.9
28.2
15
52%
8
1
1
1
0
0
2
6
3-3
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.7
38.5
33.5
17
60%
9
5
1
1
0
5
5
4
5-7
71%
6-11
6-12
55%
49%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.4
32.6
36.8
17
71%
2
11
2
2
0
6
1
1
7-9
78%
5-8
4-9
63%
46%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.9
30.6
21.4
12
50%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
2-4
67%
43%
0-3
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.5
19.8
14.0
8
68%
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
22.4
18.6
8
80%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
51%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
22.0
14.7
17
86%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
4-5
80%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.0
17.5
25.7
6
25%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-6
3-7
17%
48%
1-5
20%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.7
10.1
14.0
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.3
7.7
11.5
1
17%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
14.2
0
2-3
47%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.7
2.3
0
0-1
49%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.8
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.0
42.6
38.3
31
65%
5
12
1
2
0
7
1
4
9-11
82%
11-19
7-14
58%
46%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
39.9
22.4
10
73%
5
2
3
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.1
39.9
41.5
31
62%
7
2
3
1
0
1
0
7
16-16
100%
6-13
8-17
46%
50%
1-5
20%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.3
35.4
30.6
8
40%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
50%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.1
31.3
30.2
12
76%
7
0
1
1
4
0
3
4
2-2
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
55%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.2
22.2
21.2
9
57%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
16.3
13.4
6
50%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-2
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.0
9.1
10.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
3.4
7.6
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.2
8.6
0
1-1
43%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
2.7
0
1-1
52%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.9
1.4
0
0-0
40%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.7
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.