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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 10, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Jazz25%94104
3Magic75%10394
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
42.0
38.7
30
62%
5
14
0
1
0
4
0
5
11-12
92%
5-12
5-11
42%
48%
3-7
43%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.7
38.8
37.0
23
62%
5
3
2
1
0
0
0
5
7-8
88%
8-15
7-14
53%
52%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 25.8
38.7
31.6
21
64%
8
0
0
1
1
5
3
5
1-1
100%
10-16
6-12
63%
48%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
35.4
33.7
12
56%
6
3
2
1
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
1-5
4-7
20%
49%
2-4
50%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.1
33.9
24.5
8
80%
5
1
3
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
42%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
26.5
25.5
5
56%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.9
9.3
11.0
5
64%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.4
6.0
14.7
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.7
5.2
8.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.6
4.2
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.4
6.2
0
0-1
44%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.0
2.6
0
0-1
45%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.8
36.3
29.3
20
59%
2
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
4-10
40%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
35.3
31.1
16
49%
7
2
0
1
0
2
2
5
1-3
33%
3-8
3-5
38%
50%
3-7
43%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.9
33.1
32.3
14
55%
9
4
1
1
3
6
4
5
4-11
36%
5-8
7-12
63%
60%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.8
32.3
28.6
19
67%
5
7
2
1
0
3
2
3
5-5
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
51%
4-7
57%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
1.6
11.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.5
36.6
18.0
14
55%
4
2
2
0
1
2
3
1
4-6
67%
5-10
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.7
20.5
18.2
6
75%
10
0
1
0
0
2
5
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
58%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.6
16.9
21.4
3
25%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.2
15.7
23.1
0
0%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-2
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.4
11.7
20.3
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.0
15.1
1
1-1
49%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
10.4
0
1-1
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.