FinalWin Prob.pScore
1024%93
116
176%103
114
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
116.010093.8
MIA logo MIA
112.910188.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA116
100%
114
0%
OT1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound116
98.8%
114
1.2%
OT1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot116
99.9%
114
0.1%
OT1 - 0:00.0UTAElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)116
98.8%
114
1.2%
OT1 - 0:17.0MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (39 PTS) (James 14 AST)114
61.0%
114
39.0%
OT1 - 0:20.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)114
90.5%
111
9.5%
OT1 - 0:20.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)113
88.5%
111
11.5%
OT1 - 0:24.0UTAJazz Rebound112
76.3%
111
23.7%
OT1 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot112
69.2%
111
30.8%
OT1 - 0:35.0UTAPrice Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)112
51.1%
111
48.9%
OT1 - 0:54.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)112
64.8%
111
35.2%
OT1 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot112
59.5%
111
40.5%
OT1 - 1:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)112
46.6%
111
53.4%
OT1 - 1:11UTAMISS Millsap 3' Hook Shot112
51.5%
111
48.5%
OT1 - 1:14UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)112
62.3%
111
37.7%
OT1 - 1:15UTABosh BLOCK (2 BLK)112
51.3%
111
48.7%
OT1 - 1:36UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)112
59.7%
111
40.3%
OT1 - 1:37MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup112
55.1%
111
44.9%
OT1 - 1:50UTAKirilenko 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miles 4 AST)112
43.8%
111
56.2%
OT1 - 1:56UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)109
23.1%
111
76.9%
OT1 - 1:57MIAMISS Wade 20' Fadeaway Jumper109
20.3%
111
79.7%
OT1 - 2:21UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (46 PTS)109
14.6%
111
85.4%
OT1 - 2:21UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (45 PTS)108
13.0%
111
87.0%
OT1 - 2:42MIAWade 4' Driving Layup (36 PTS)107
11.4%
111
88.6%
OT1 - 2:57UTAFesenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)107
15.7%
109
84.3%
OT1 - 2:57UTAMISS Fesenko Free Throw 1 of 2106
13.2%
109
86.8%
OT1 - 3:22MIAWade 2' Driving Dunk (34 PTS)106
17.9%
109
82.1%
OT1 - 3:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)106
22.6%
107
77.4%
OT1 - 3:29UTAMISS Fesenko 5' Jump Shot106
26.3%
107
73.7%
OT1 - 3:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)106
32.6%
107
67.4%
OT1 - 4:07UTAFesenko 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Kirilenko 7 AST)106
50.6%
104
49.4%
OT1 - 4:17UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)104
41.7%
104
58.3%
OT1 - 4:18MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot104
38.6%
104
61.4%
OT1 - 4:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)104
31.9%
104
68.1%
OT1 - 4:36UTAMISS Price 3' Driving Layup104
34.8%
104
65.2%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Fesenko: Tip to Price104
41.8%
104
58.2%
Q4 - 0:01.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)102
2.8%
104
97.2%
Q4 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Miles 3PT Jump Shot102
2.9%
104
97.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)102
7.5%
104
92.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2102
9.9%
103
90.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 1102
12.7%
103
87.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)99
2.0%
103
98.0%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)99
2.4%
102
97.6%
Q4 - 0:12.0UTAMillsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot (39 PTS) (D. Williams 13 AST)99
4.7%
101
95.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)96
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)96
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 0:21.0UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)96
2.4%
99
97.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)93
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 293
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0UTAMillsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (D. Williams 12 AST)93
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)90
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)90
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0UTAMiles Foul Turnover (P3.T11)90
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)90
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)90
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 1:10UTAD. Williams 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)90
3.9%
94
96.1%
Q4 - 1:25MIAHaslem 2' Tip Shot (5 PTS)88
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 1:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)88
4.9%
92
95.1%
Q4 - 1:27MIAMISS Haslem 3' Driving Layup88
7.4%
92
92.6%
Q4 - 1:48UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)88
6.0%
92
94.0%
Q4 - 1:51MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)88
10.0%
92
90.0%
Q4 - 2:11UTAKirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (D. Williams 11 AST)88
5.9%
92
94.1%
Q4 - 2:28MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)85
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 2:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)85
3.0%
91
97.0%
Q4 - 2:30UTAWade STEAL (1 STL)85
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 2:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)85
7.2%
90
92.8%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 285
7.8%
89
92.2%
Q4 - 3:06UTAMillsap 3' Layup (33 PTS) (Miles 3 AST)85
6.9%
89
93.1%
Q4 - 3:27UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
5.1%
89
94.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 283
4.7%
89
95.3%
Q4 - 3:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)83
3.5%
89
96.5%
Q4 - 3:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)83
6.8%
88
93.2%
Q4 - 3:32UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
7.6%
88
92.4%
Q4 - 3:44UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
9.5%
88
90.5%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot83
8.5%
88
91.5%
Q4 - 4:03UTAMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
6.3%
88
93.7%
Q4 - 4:03UTAMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
5.9%
88
94.1%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade 3' Dunk (25 PTS) (James 13 AST)81
4.4%
88
95.6%
Q4 - 4:41UTAD. Williams Foul Turnover (P2.T8)81
6.2%
86
93.8%
Q4 - 5:11MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (James 12 AST)81
10.8%
86
89.2%
Q4 - 5:21MIAHEAT Rebound81
14.2%
84
85.8%
Q4 - 5:22MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
17.6%
84
82.4%
Q4 - 5:37MIAJones Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (11 PTS)81
14.2%
84
85.8%
Q4 - 5:37MIAJones Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
14.8%
83
85.2%
Q4 - 5:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)81
24.7%
82
75.3%
Q4 - 5:44UTAJames BLOCK (3 BLK)81
26.8%
82
73.2%
Q4 - 5:59MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (James 11 AST)81
32.1%
82
67.9%
Q4 - 6:20UTAD. Williams 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kirilenko 6 AST)81
44.6%
79
55.4%
Q4 - 6:37MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)79
37.9%
79
62.1%
Q4 - 6:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
30.5%
79
69.5%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Reverse Layup79
35.5%
79
64.5%
Q4 - 6:59UTAPrice 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (D. Williams 10 AST)79
30.5%
79
69.5%
Q4 - 7:20UTAFesenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
19.6%
79
80.4%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 276
19.0%
79
81.0%
Q4 - 7:21MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)76
16.2%
79
83.8%
Q4 - 7:36UTAMiles 3' Layup (10 PTS)76
19.3%
78
80.7%
Q4 - 7:52MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
15.6%
78
84.4%
Q4 - 7:52MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 274
16.2%
77
83.8%
Q4 - 8:11UTAD. Williams 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kirilenko 5 AST)74
16.1%
77
83.9%
Q4 - 8:24UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
12.8%
77
87.2%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot72
12.0%
77
88.0%
Q4 - 8:42UTAMiles 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)72
10.2%
77
89.8%
Q4 - 8:52UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
8.0%
77
92.0%
Q4 - 8:53MIAMISS Wade 4' Running Jump Shot70
7.5%
77
92.5%
Q4 - 9:09UTAMiles 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Kirilenko 4 AST)70
7.1%
77
92.9%
Q4 - 9:13UTAJazz Rebound68
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q4 - 9:13UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q4 - 9:27UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Ilgauskas 22' Jump Shot68
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q4 - 9:48UTAMiles 2' Running Dunk (4 PTS)68
4.5%
77
95.5%
Q4 - 9:52MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)66
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q4 - 9:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 9:59UTAMISS Price 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q4 - 10:20MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)66
4.0%
77
96.0%
Q4 - 10:36UTAFesenko 2' Layup (2 PTS)66
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q4 - 10:40UTAFesenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q4 - 10:42UTAMISS Millsap 13' Fadeaway Jumper64
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q4 - 11:02MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T9)64
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q4 - 11:16UTAD. Williams 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)64
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q4 - 11:23UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q4 - 11:24MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot62
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q4 - 11:41MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q4 - 11:42UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Millsap 17' Jump Shot62
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0UTAHaslem STEAL (1 STL)62
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAHEAT Rebound62
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup62
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 1:06UTAMillsap 3' Layup (31 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)62
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 1:21MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P4.T8)60
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 1:26MIAJames Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)60
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 1:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 1:29UTAMISS Kirilenko 21' Jump Shot60
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 1:47MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 10 AST)60
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 1:58UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)60
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 1:58UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)59
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 2:17MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 9 AST)58
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 2:24MIAHEAT Rebound58
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 2:25MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup58
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q3 - 2:52UTAKirilenko 2' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)58
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 3:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)56
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 3:18UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)56
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 3:21MIAIlgauskas Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)53
3.3%
67
96.7%
Q3 - 3:52UTAMillsap 18' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)53
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 4:08MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)51
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 4:36UTAMillsap 10' Jump Bank Shot (25 PTS)51
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q3 - 4:50UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
2.5%
65
97.5%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 249
2.4%
65
97.6%
Q3 - 4:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)49
2.2%
65
97.8%
Q3 - 5:08MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS James 3' Layup49
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 5:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot49
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 5:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 5:15MIAMISS Arroyo 3' Driving Layup49
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 5:19MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 5:20UTAMISS D. Williams 14' Jump Shot49
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 5:32MIABosh 17' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)49
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 6:01UTAMillsap 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)49
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 6:18MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)47
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q3 - 6:36UTAMillsap 2' Dunk (21 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)47
3.9%
60
96.1%
Q3 - 6:52MIAJames 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)45
3.4%
60
96.6%
Q3 - 6:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q3 - 6:58UTAJames BLOCK (2 BLK)45
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q3 - 7:10UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)45
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot45
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 7:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q3 - 7:31UTAMISS Bell 6' Running Jump Shot45
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q3 - 7:56MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 8 AST)45
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q3 - 8:13UTAMillsap 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)45
5.7%
56
94.3%
Q3 - 8:27UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
5.0%
56
95.0%
Q3 - 8:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 243
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q3 - 8:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)43
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q3 - 8:39UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)43
5.0%
55
95.0%
Q3 - 8:43UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Bosh 4' Hook Shot40
3.6%
55
96.4%
Q3 - 8:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q3 - 8:50MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot40
3.6%
55
96.4%
Q3 - 9:06UTAMillsap 3' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)40
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 9:19UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
2.9%
55
97.1%
Q3 - 9:20UTAMISS Millsap 12' Jump Shot38
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q3 - 9:36UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
2.9%
55
97.1%
Q3 - 9:37MIAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot38
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q3 - 9:59UTAD. Williams 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q3 - 10:14MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (15 PTS)36
2.3%
55
97.7%
Q3 - 10:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
2.6%
53
97.4%
Q3 - 10:17MIAMISS Wade 4' Running Jump Shot36
2.9%
53
97.1%
Q3 - 10:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
2.6%
53
97.4%
Q3 - 10:31UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
2.8%
53
97.2%
Q3 - 10:42UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)36
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot36
2.9%
53
97.1%
Q3 - 11:04UTAMillsap 2' Layup (15 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)36
2.8%
53
97.2%
Q3 - 11:11MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)34
2.5%
53
97.5%
Q3 - 11:34UTAJefferson 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)34
2.1%
53
97.9%
Q3 - 11:37UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
1.9%
53
98.1%
Q3 - 11:38UTAMISS Millsap 4' Jump Shot32
1.7%
53
98.3%
Q3 - 11:53MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
1.9%
53
98.1%
Q3 - 11:53MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA32
2.1%
51
97.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
2.4%
51
97.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 232
2.4%
51
97.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 232
2.6%
51
97.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)32
2.6%
51
97.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0UTABell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
2.4%
51
97.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
1.8%
51
98.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
1.8%
50
98.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
2.1%
49
97.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
2.1%
49
97.9%
Q2 - 1:03MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 7 AST)29
2.4%
49
97.6%
Q2 - 1:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
3.2%
46
96.8%
Q2 - 1:14UTAMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot29
3.3%
46
96.7%
Q2 - 1:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)29
3.5%
46
96.5%
Q2 - 1:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)29
3.6%
45
96.4%
Q2 - 1:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
4.1%
44
95.9%
Q2 - 1:32UTAMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot29
4.2%
44
95.8%
Q2 - 1:54MIAWade 2' Driving Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)29
4.5%
44
95.5%
Q2 - 2:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
5.3%
42
94.7%
Q2 - 2:01UTAMISS Jefferson 10' Hook Shot29
5.5%
42
94.5%
Q2 - 2:11UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)29
6.0%
42
94.0%
Q2 - 2:12MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup29
5.8%
42
94.2%
Q2 - 2:35UTAMillsap 3' Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)29
5.3%
42
94.7%
Q2 - 2:48UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
4.7%
42
95.3%
Q2 - 2:49MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 227
4.6%
42
95.4%
Q2 - 2:49MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
4.3%
42
95.7%
Q2 - 2:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
4.7%
41
95.3%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot27
5.1%
41
94.9%
Q2 - 3:14UTAMillsap 3' Layup (11 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)27
4.8%
41
95.2%
Q2 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)25
4.3%
41
95.7%
Q2 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)25
4.4%
40
95.6%
Q2 - 3:43UTAHayward 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)25
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 3:59UTAJazz Rebound23
4.3%
39
95.7%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Bosh 3' Layup23
4.2%
39
95.8%
Q2 - 4:22UTAMiles 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
3.9%
39
96.1%
Q2 - 4:26UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)21
3.5%
39
96.5%
Q2 - 4:27UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
3.2%
39
96.8%
Q2 - 4:46MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
3.5%
39
96.5%
Q2 - 4:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
3.9%
37
96.1%
Q2 - 4:58UTAMISS Miles 5' Driving Jump Shot21
4.0%
37
96.0%
Q2 - 5:17UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
4.5%
37
95.5%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
4.4%
37
95.6%
Q2 - 5:40UTAMillsap 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)21
4.1%
37
95.9%
Q2 - 6:00MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P2.T4)19
3.6%
37
96.4%
Q2 - 6:07MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
3.4%
37
96.6%
Q2 - 6:08UTAIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)19
3.6%
37
96.4%
Q2 - 6:33MIAIlgauskas 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)19
3.9%
37
96.1%
Q2 - 6:51UTAMiles Foul Turnover (P1.T6)19
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q2 - 7:00UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
4.8%
35
95.2%
Q2 - 7:01UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
4.6%
35
95.4%
Q2 - 7:20MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)19
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q2 - 7:40UTAPrice Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)19
5.4%
33
94.6%
Q2 - 7:43MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
6.1%
33
93.9%
Q2 - 8:06UTAKirilenko 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)19
5.7%
33
94.3%
Q2 - 8:23MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)17
5.1%
33
94.9%
Q2 - 8:23MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)17
5.2%
32
94.8%
Q2 - 8:23MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)17
5.3%
31
94.7%
Q2 - 8:34MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
6.3%
30
93.7%
Q2 - 8:35UTAMISS Price 19' Jump Shot17
6.5%
30
93.5%
Q2 - 8:55MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 5 AST)17
6.9%
30
93.1%
Q2 - 9:24UTAPrice 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)17
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q2 - 9:40MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)15
7.1%
28
92.9%
Q2 - 9:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
8.6%
25
91.4%
Q2 - 9:56UTAMISS Miles 7' Running Hook Shot15
8.8%
25
91.2%
Q2 - 10:04UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q2 - 10:05MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot15
9.4%
25
90.6%
Q2 - 10:19UTAWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
8.7%
25
91.3%
Q2 - 10:19UTAWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
8.5%
25
91.5%
Q2 - 10:35UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
8.0%
25
92.0%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot13
7.7%
25
92.3%
Q2 - 10:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
7.2%
25
92.8%
Q2 - 10:55UTAMISS Elson 19' Jump Shot13
7.4%
25
92.6%
Q2 - 11:12UTAElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
8.1%
25
91.9%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Tip Shot13
7.9%
25
92.1%
Q2 - 11:14MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
7.4%
25
92.6%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS James 8' Fadeaway Jumper13
7.9%
25
92.1%
Q2 - 11:38UTAPrice Foul Turnover (P1.T4)13
7.4%
25
92.6%
Q2 - 11:41UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
8.1%
25
91.9%
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
7.9%
25
92.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA13
7.4%
25
92.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
7.4%
25
92.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
7.8%
25
92.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T2)13
8.2%
25
91.8%
Q1 - 0:08.0UTAD. Williams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
7.6%
25
92.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
6.8%
25
93.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
6.7%
25
93.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
6.3%
25
93.7%
Q1 - 1:02UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
7.0%
25
93.0%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
6.9%
25
93.1%
Q1 - 1:24UTAMillsap 4' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)11
6.6%
25
93.4%
Q1 - 1:37UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
5.9%
25
94.1%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS James 12' Running Hook Shot9
5.7%
25
94.3%
Q1 - 1:58MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
5.5%
25
94.5%
Q1 - 1:59UTAMISS Miles 12' Turnaround Jump Shot9
5.6%
25
94.4%
Q1 - 2:25UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
6.1%
25
93.9%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot9
5.9%
25
94.1%
Q1 - 2:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)9
5.6%
25
94.4%
Q1 - 2:33UTAMISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot9
5.8%
25
94.2%
Q1 - 2:56MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)9
6.1%
25
93.9%
Q1 - 3:16UTAKirilenko 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)9
7.3%
22
92.7%
Q1 - 3:36MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
6.7%
22
93.3%
Q1 - 3:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
8.0%
19
92.0%
Q1 - 3:48UTAMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
8.2%
19
91.8%
Q1 - 3:56UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot7
8.4%
19
91.6%
Q1 - 4:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
7.9%
19
92.1%
Q1 - 4:14UTAMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot7
8.2%
19
91.8%
Q1 - 4:31MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)7
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 4:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)7
9.3%
17
90.7%
Q1 - 4:42UTAMISS Millsap 14' Jump Shot7
9.6%
17
90.4%
Q1 - 5:05MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
10.5%
17
89.5%
Q1 - 5:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 5:15UTAMISS D. Williams 19' Jump Shot7
11.5%
15
88.5%
Q1 - 5:19UTAJazz Rebound7
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 5:20UTABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)7
11.5%
15
88.5%
Q1 - 5:25UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 5:26UTAMISS Kirilenko 3' Driving Layup7
11.5%
15
88.5%
Q1 - 5:35MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 5:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 5:48UTAMISS Kirilenko 21' Jump Shot7
11.5%
15
88.5%
Q1 - 6:01MIAAnthony 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)7
12.1%
15
87.9%
Q1 - 6:02MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup7
13.7%
13
86.3%
Q1 - 6:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 6:14UTAMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot7
13.3%
13
86.7%
Q1 - 6:28MIAAnthony 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
14.0%
13
86.0%
Q1 - 6:43MIAHEAT Rebound7
15.0%
11
85.0%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot7
15.8%
11
84.2%
Q1 - 7:01UTAJames STEAL (1 STL)7
14.9%
11
85.1%
Q1 - 7:06UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
16.1%
11
83.9%
Q1 - 7:09UTAAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)7
15.3%
11
84.7%
Q1 - 7:19UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
16.1%
11
83.9%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot7
15.7%
11
84.3%
Q1 - 7:36UTAMillsap Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
14.9%
11
85.1%
Q1 - 7:56MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)7
16.1%
11
83.9%
Q1 - 8:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
17.0%
9
83.0%
Q1 - 8:11UTAJames BLOCK (1 BLK)7
17.3%
9
82.7%
Q1 - 8:27MIAJames 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)7
18.1%
9
81.9%
Q1 - 8:41UTAMillsap 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)7
19.3%
7
80.7%
Q1 - 8:59MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)5
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 9:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
19.3%
5
80.7%
Q1 - 9:12UTAMISS Jefferson 9' Jump Shot5
19.6%
5
80.4%
Q1 - 9:25MIABosh 3' Driving Layup (3 PTS)5
20.5%
5
79.5%
Q1 - 9:47UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
21.8%
3
78.2%
Q1 - 9:54UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.3%
3
80.7%
Q1 - 9:55MIAMISS Wade 20' Fadeaway Jumper2
18.9%
3
81.1%
Q1 - 10:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.0%
3
82.0%
Q1 - 10:14UTAMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot2
18.4%
3
81.6%
Q1 - 10:30MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
19.3%
3
80.7%
Q1 - 10:43MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Kirilenko: Tip to James2
20.3%
1
79.7%
Q1 - 10:44UTAMISS D. Williams 12' Jump Shot2
20.7%
1
79.3%
Q1 - 11:00UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.6%
1
78.4%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot2
20.6%
1
79.4%
Q1 - 11:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.0%
1
80.0%
Q1 - 11:08UTAMISS Kirilenko 4' Jump Shot2
20.3%
1
79.7%
Q1 - 11:09UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
20.9%
1
79.1%
Q1 - 11:11UTAMISS Millsap 6' Jump Shot2
20.3%
1
79.7%
Q1 - 11:26MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
21.0%
1
79.0%
Q1 - 11:26MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 22
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 11:39UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:39UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Jefferson: Tip to Millsap0
19.9%
0
80.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.15 57.4%
MIA
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
22
35
63%
MIA
17
32
53%
Midrange
UTA
15
39
38%
MIA
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
UTA
18
21
86%
MIA
36
47
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap4677%23.0 / 30
D. Williams2170%10.5 / 15
A. Kirilenko1657%8.0 / 14
C. Miles1240%6.0 / 15
R. Price550%2.5 / 5
K. Fesenko563%2.5 / 4
R. Bell325%1.5 / 6
A. Jefferson214%1.0 / 7
F. Elson250%1.0 / 2
G. Hayward250%1.0 / 2
E. Watson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3965%19.5 / 30
L. James2043%10.0 / 23
C. Bosh1753%8.5 / 16
J. Jones1192%5.5 / 6
C. Arroyo1071%5.0 / 7
Z. Ilgauskas650%3.0 / 6
U. Haslem542%2.5 / 6
J. Anthony467%2.0 / 3
E. House220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
88
+12
-12
100
MIA
90
+15
-11
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.15 57.4%
MIA
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.2
111.4
UTA 116.0 +3.1
MIA 112.9
Pace
91.0
91.3
UTA 93.7 +5.2
MIA 88.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
UTA 15.4 +0.9
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
52.4%
UTA 52.7% +5.1%
MIA 47.6%
TO %
14.8%
14.4%
UTA 10.5%
MIA 10.5%
ORB %
26.9%
25.2%
UTA 21.7%
MIA 22.7% +1.0%
FTrt
31.3
36.3
UTA 22.6
MIA 57.3 +34.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
54.1%
UTA 66.7% +8.4%
MIA 58.3%
STL %
8.3%
7.3%
UTA 6.0% +3.0%
MIA 3.0%
BLK %
9.9%
8.5%
UTA 7.5%
MIA 9.5% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
55.7%
UTA 57.4% +5.1%
MIA 52.3%
Rim FG%
60.3%
64.7%
UTA 62.9% +9.8%
MIA 53.1%
Mid FG%
40.0%
42.2%
UTA 38.5% +1.4%
MIA 37.1%
3P %
34.6%
37.0%
UTA 42.1% +2.1%
MIA 40.0%
FT %
77.1%
76.9%
UTA 85.7% +9.1%
MIA 76.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
31.6%
UTA 37.6%
MIA 39.0% +1.4%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
44.9%
UTA 41.9% +0.7%
MIA 42.7%
3P Att. %
19.1%
23.5%
UTA 20.4% +2.1%
MIA 18.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsUTAMIA
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes25.627.4
Points116114
Rebounds4446
Assists3021
Steals63
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)36 (1)
Field Goals45-9336-82
At-the-Rim FG22-3517-32
Midrange FG15-3913-35
2-Point FG37-7430-67
3-Point FG8-196-15
Free Throws18-2136-47
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 246 · 26
43.5
46
77%
9
1
1
1
1
4
4
5
5-7
71%
16-25
64%
3-3
100%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
42.7
21
70%
4
14
0
0
3
6
1
3
2-2
100%
8-13
62%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 30
39.5
16
57%
9
7
1
1
1
1
2
7
4-4
100%
3-9
33%
2-3
67%
C · 6'10" 280 · 26
28.0
2
14%
9
2
1
1
0
3
1
8
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 34
26.9
3
25%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 220 · 24
28.8
12
40%
4
4
2
1
3
5
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-6
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
19.6
5
50%
3
0
1
0
3
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 280 · 24
18.5
5
63%
2
0
0
1
1
5
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 35
6.5
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 226 · 21
6.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 199 · 31
5.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 200 · 23
#13 · C · 6'11" 260 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
116
57%
44
30
6
5
12
0
10
34
18-21
86%
37-74
50%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.