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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 6, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Clippers20%96107
8Jazz80%107109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.9
53.2
35.1
27
52%
5
5
1
1
3
7
1
4
9-9
100%
9-16
4-9
56%
50%
0-6
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 28.2
49.6
33.9
8
28%
4
2
3
1
1
2
3
1
3-3
100%
1-7
2-5
14%
46%
1-6
17%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 20.9
44.6
30.9
14
60%
5
5
1
1
1
4
1
4
3-4
75%
4-9
3-7
44%
43%
1-1
100%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.5
41.5
31.1
23
62%
7
1
0
1
3
2
1
6
5-6
83%
9-16
7-15
56%
47%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 21.6
37.0
32.3
16
59%
17
2
1
1
0
5
3
14
6-8
75%
5-10
6-13
50%
48%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 27.0
21.5
15.9
2
25%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
55%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.5
19.4
20.5
8
58%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
2-5
40%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.3
16.5
14.8
6
100%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.1
5.6
10.7
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
1-2
50%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.9
1.0
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.9
3.0
0
0-1
39%
Willie Warren
G · 6'4" 203 · 21.0
2.5
0
0-1
41%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 31.6
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
53.9
37.6
30
52%
8
7
2
1
0
4
2
6
4-6
67%
10-20
5-10
50%
51%
2-6
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 25.8
50.7
35.8
18
40%
10
3
0
1
3
3
4
6
4-6
67%
7-20
7-14
35%
51%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
47.9
28.3
18
85%
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
4-6
67%
4-6
3-6
67%
53%
2-2
100%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.7
41.6
37.0
25
63%
13
2
2
1
0
1
5
8
7-9
78%
9-16
7-13
56%
55%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.1
28.6
26.0
9
58%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
1-4
25%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
33.5
23.0
2
8%
3
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-8
3-5
13%
50%
0-5
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.7
12.7
11.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.6
10.6
9.4
3
75%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.9
6.3
3.5
2
50%
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.4
4.1
16.1
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.4
9.9
0
1-1
48%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.0
3.3
0
0-1
51%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.