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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 6, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Rockets30%104121
7Spurs70%111124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.2
39.1
24.1
14
72%
7
4
1
1
0
2
2
5
4-4
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
2-3
67%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.5
32.8
34.8
20
63%
8
2
0
1
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
10-15
8-15
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
27.6
18.1
7
64%
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.8
22.7
31.9
24
89%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
7-8
88%
4-5
4-9
80%
45%
3-5
60%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.8
17.5
28.6
18
65%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
44%
2-4
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.3
34.6
7.3
11
33%
4
7
1
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-15
1-2
20%
41%
1-1
100%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
30.3
16.3
11
43%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-2
0%
4-9
2-4
44%
47%
1-3
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.4
27.4
16.2
8
51%
13
2
0
1
1
1
4
9
2-2
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
49%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.6
17.9
7.4
8
57%
1
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
46%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.5
15.1
23.5
0
0%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
5.2
0
0-1
46%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.9
3.6
0
0-1
42%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.1
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.6
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
41.5
33.0
21
53%
4
14
5
1
0
4
0
4
5-6
83%
8-17
7-14
47%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.3
39.7
31.6
28
56%
3
5
2
2
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
7-13
4-7
54%
50%
4-11
36%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.4
39.3
31.1
22
75%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
51%
4-5
80%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.5
38.2
30.9
19
53%
11
3
1
1
3
0
2
9
3-7
43%
8-15
6-12
53%
51%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.5
21.4
22.3
6
38%
8
1
1
1
1
0
4
4
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.2
34.6
23.4
11
62%
10
2
0
1
1
2
4
6
1-2
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.5
22.9
16.6
10
74%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.1
16.0
12.3
5
28%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
48%
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
11.4
12.9
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 24.5
9.0
0
1-2
48%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.4
7.6
0
1-2
47%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
7.4
0
0-1
42%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.