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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 6, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Nets8%8689
1Heat92%104101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
34.4
28.9
25
72%
7
1
3
1
1
3
3
4
1-1
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
45%
4-7
57%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.6
31.4
32.9
12
36%
3
2
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
5-16
6-14
31%
47%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.1
28.7
29.2
5
42%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-6
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.7
23.1
30.9
6
52%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
45%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.5
22.7
24.8
8
35%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-1
0%
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
2-5
40%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.3
28.4
19.8
11
62%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
5-8
2-5
63%
44%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
25.7
23.5
7
50%
7
9
0
1
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
3-8
40%
40%
1-2
50%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.9
17.8
22.4
6
36%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
8.4
7.8
7
51%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
1-2
50%
39%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
7.3
15.2
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.8
6.2
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.5
6.0
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-0
-
33%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.6
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.8
35.6
34.0
29
68%
10
3
2
2
1
3
3
7
7-10
70%
8-14
7-13
57%
53%
2-3
67%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
33.6
35.5
23
63%
3
9
2
1
0
4
0
3
3-5
60%
7-12
6-11
58%
56%
2-4
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.6
33.0
30.1
21
64%
5
2
1
1
3
0
0
5
9-10
90%
6-11
6-11
55%
53%
0-1
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.3
19.7
20.4
4
50%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.2
11.9
18.0
2
114%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
29.9
24.8
6
33%
7
2
0
0
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
23.7
26.0
8
100%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
2-3
67%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.5
22.8
19.1
2
25%
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.4
16.9
19.1
4
50%
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
4.3
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
4.3
4.4
2
35%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 36.0
4.3
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.7
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.7
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.