for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat64%9993
14Hornets36%9496
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.8
41.2
31.4
20
51%
7
10
3
1
1
3
0
7
7-8
88%
5-14
5-10
36%
53%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.8
39.9
28.4
28
64%
10
2
2
1
2
7
2
8
13-13
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
51%
1-5
20%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.6
33.5
27.7
15
58%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-12
5-11
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.3
16.8
23.9
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.2
14.1
21.3
2
50%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
28.0
24.6
6
50%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
38%
2-6
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
25.8
23.6
8
51%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.4
22.4
16.6
10
83%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-5
83%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.5
18.2
20.0
4
20%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
0-7
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
11.0
1
1-1
48%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 36.0
4.7
0
0-1
42%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.7
4.5
0
1-1
47%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.7
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
36.4
28.3
13
50%
6
1
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
3-7
43%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.5
36.3
33.8
13
45%
2
19
5
2
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
5-11
5-9
45%
49%
0-2
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.1
35.0
27.0
26
91%
13
1
0
1
1
1
4
9
2-3
67%
12-13
3-6
92%
51%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.6
31.1
24.1
8
51%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.2
28.2
30.5
15
51%
7
0
1
1
0
2
4
3
5-6
83%
5-12
6-12
42%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.7
24.6
19.1
12
53%
6
0
2
0
0
1
2
4
2-3
67%
5-10
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.3
18.2
24.2
4
50%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.2
11.7
13.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.4
10.5
17.8
5
83%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
1-1
100%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.8
8.1
10.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
7.0
0
1-2
44%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
3.8
0
0-1
44%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.4
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.9
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.