FinalWin Prob.pScore
264%99
93
1436%94
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.58986.2
NOH
107.98992.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)93
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 3' Tip Shot93
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)93
6.2%
96
93.8%
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)93
7.0%
95
93.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 10 AST)93
14.7%
94
85.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0NOHAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Paul 19 AST)90
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T13)90
27.5%
91
72.5%
Q4 - 0:50.0NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)90
51.9%
91
48.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)90
54.6%
90
45.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)90
67.3%
89
32.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)89
64.2%
89
35.8%
Q4 - 1:03MIAHeat Rebound88
53.2%
89
46.8%
Q4 - 1:04NOHMISS Paul 10' Jump Shot88
48.1%
89
51.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)88
39.6%
89
60.4%
Q4 - 1:27MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)87
36.8%
89
63.2%
Q4 - 1:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)86
29.3%
89
70.7%
Q4 - 1:32NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 286
27.8%
89
72.2%
Q4 - 1:32NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)86
20.6%
89
79.4%
Q4 - 1:53NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)86
29.9%
88
70.1%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot86
33.4%
88
66.6%
Q4 - 2:08MIAWade Free Throw Technical (28 PTS)86
44.1%
88
55.9%
Q4 - 2:08NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P3.T14)85
32.3%
88
67.7%
Q4 - 2:15NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)85
19.3%
88
80.7%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
22.7%
88
77.3%
Q4 - 2:33NOHOkafor 6' Driving Bank Shot (26 PTS) (Paul 18 AST)85
32.6%
88
67.4%
Q4 - 2:58MIAPaul STEAL (5 STL)85
42.5%
86
57.5%
Q4 - 3:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)85
57.4%
86
42.6%
Q4 - 3:05NOHMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
52.8%
86
47.2%
Q4 - 3:19NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
41.9%
86
58.1%
Q4 - 3:21NOHMISS Paul 11' Jump Shot85
52.8%
86
47.2%
Q4 - 3:35MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (27 PTS)85
47.3%
86
52.7%
Q4 - 3:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (26 PTS)84
45.4%
86
54.6%
Q4 - 3:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (25 PTS)83
43.2%
86
56.8%
Q4 - 3:43MIAHeat Rebound82
30.0%
86
70.0%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot82
24.3%
86
75.7%
Q4 - 3:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
29.7%
86
70.3%
Q4 - 3:53NOHMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot82
27.1%
86
72.9%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWade 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)82
21.4%
86
78.6%
Q4 - 4:29NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
11.3%
86
88.7%
Q4 - 4:29NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
11.8%
85
88.2%
Q4 - 4:30NOHWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)79
15.4%
84
84.6%
Q4 - 4:31NOHMISS Paul 1' Layup79
19.6%
84
80.4%
Q4 - 4:35MIAPaul STEAL (4 STL)79
15.4%
84
84.6%
Q4 - 4:57NOHBelinelli 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 17 AST)79
21.5%
84
78.5%
Q4 - 5:17MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)79
32.8%
82
67.2%
Q4 - 5:17MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
31.2%
82
68.8%
Q4 - 5:33NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
26.1%
82
73.9%
Q4 - 5:33NOHOkafor 2' Tip Shot (24 PTS)77
26.1%
82
73.9%
Q4 - 5:34NOHMISS West 3' Layup77
38.4%
80
61.6%
Q4 - 5:52MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)77
32.6%
80
67.4%
Q4 - 5:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
26.0%
80
74.0%
Q4 - 6:00NOHMISS Belinelli 20' Jump Shot75
23.9%
80
76.1%
Q4 - 6:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)75
24.0%
80
76.0%
Q4 - 6:34NOHGreen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST)72
14.8%
80
85.2%
Q4 - 6:54NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
18.6%
78
81.4%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot72
20.2%
78
79.8%
Q4 - 7:06MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
27.9%
78
72.1%
Q4 - 7:07NOHMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot72
26.0%
78
74.0%
Q4 - 7:31MIAHaslem 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)72
22.1%
78
77.9%
Q4 - 8:00NOHOkafor 10' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)70
17.9%
78
82.1%
Q4 - 8:27MIAWade 8' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS)70
25.2%
76
74.8%
Q4 - 8:38NOHBayless Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)68
20.5%
76
79.5%
Q4 - 8:51NOHJump Ball Smith vs. Haslem: Tip to Okafor68
16.6%
76
83.4%
Q4 - 8:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
20.4%
76
79.6%
Q4 - 8:59NOHMISS Ariza 16' Jump Shot68
19.2%
76
80.8%
Q4 - 9:10NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
19.1%
76
80.9%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
20.3%
76
79.7%
Q4 - 9:31NOHOkafor 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Green 2 AST)68
22.9%
76
77.1%
Q4 - 9:44NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
27.5%
74
72.5%
Q4 - 9:45MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup68
29.0%
74
71.0%
Q4 - 9:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
32.5%
74
67.5%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot68
29.0%
74
71.0%
Q4 - 10:03NOHAriza Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)68
34.3%
74
65.7%
Q4 - 10:18MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 9 AST)68
29.3%
74
70.7%
Q4 - 10:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
24.8%
74
75.2%
Q4 - 10:28NOHMISS Bayless 4' Jump Shot66
23.5%
74
76.5%
Q4 - 10:38MIAHouse Backcourt Turnover (P1.T9)66
20.7%
74
79.3%
Q4 - 10:42MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
24.8%
74
75.2%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot66
21.9%
74
78.1%
Q4 - 10:54NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
24.8%
74
75.2%
Q4 - 10:54NOHSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
25.8%
73
74.2%
Q4 - 11:09MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 3 AST)66
30.9%
72
69.1%
Q4 - 11:20MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
26.5%
72
73.5%
Q4 - 11:22NOHMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
25.2%
72
74.8%
Q4 - 11:44NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
22.4%
72
77.6%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
23.6%
72
76.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
26.4%
72
73.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound64
26.4%
72
73.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 39' 3PT Jump Shot64
23.6%
72
76.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
28.0%
72
72.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHMISS Mbenga 12' Jump Shot64
26.9%
72
73.1%
Q3 - 0:21.0NOHMbenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
24.3%
72
75.7%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 264
24.8%
72
75.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
27.4%
72
72.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAHeat Rebound63
24.0%
72
76.0%
Q3 - 0:35.0NOHMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
22.9%
72
77.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)63
20.7%
72
79.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
20.0%
72
80.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)61
17.3%
72
82.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
14.7%
72
85.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0NOHMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
16.4%
72
83.6%
Q3 - 1:20MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)61
16.0%
72
84.0%
Q3 - 1:49NOHAriza 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Paul 16 AST)59
13.3%
72
86.7%
Q3 - 1:53MIAPaul STEAL (3 STL)59
16.0%
70
84.0%
Q3 - 2:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
20.4%
70
79.6%
Q3 - 2:04NOHMISS Thornton 3' Finger Roll Layup59
19.5%
70
80.5%
Q3 - 2:08NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
17.5%
70
82.5%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot59
18.3%
70
81.7%
Q3 - 2:29NOHAriza 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Paul 15 AST)59
20.2%
70
79.8%
Q3 - 2:32NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
23.5%
68
76.5%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
24.6%
68
75.4%
Q3 - 2:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
27.0%
68
73.0%
Q3 - 2:45NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot59
25.9%
68
74.1%
Q3 - 3:01MIABosh 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (James 8 AST)59
25.6%
68
74.4%
Q3 - 3:14NOHPaul 15' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
22.3%
68
77.7%
Q3 - 3:23NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
25.4%
66
74.6%
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot57
26.5%
66
73.5%
Q3 - 3:45NOHSmith 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 14 AST)57
29.1%
66
70.9%
Q3 - 4:04MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)57
33.5%
64
66.5%
Q3 - 4:24NOHWest 7' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)57
38.2%
64
61.8%
Q3 - 4:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)57
41.7%
62
58.3%
Q3 - 4:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
40.8%
62
59.2%
Q3 - 4:54NOHPaul Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)55
38.2%
62
61.8%
Q3 - 5:12MIAWade 4' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)55
34.5%
62
65.5%
Q3 - 5:22NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)53
31.2%
62
68.8%
Q3 - 5:38NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
27.3%
62
72.7%
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
28.4%
62
71.6%
Q3 - 5:48NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
29.9%
62
70.1%
Q3 - 6:25MIAHeat Rebound51
26.2%
62
73.8%
Q3 - 6:28NOHMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot51
25.1%
62
74.9%
Q3 - 6:40MIAPaul STEAL (2 STL)51
22.9%
62
77.1%
Q3 - 6:58NOHWest 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Paul 13 AST)51
26.1%
62
73.9%
Q3 - 7:12NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
30.5%
60
69.5%
Q3 - 7:13MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Shot51
31.6%
60
68.4%
Q3 - 7:34NOHBelinelli Foul Turnover (P1.T8)51
34.0%
60
66.0%
Q3 - 7:54MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)51
30.5%
60
69.5%
Q3 - 8:06NOHOkafor 3' Putback Layup (18 PTS)49
28.4%
60
71.6%
Q3 - 8:07NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
31.3%
58
68.7%
Q3 - 8:08NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot49
33.8%
58
66.2%
Q3 - 8:22MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
31.3%
58
68.7%
Q3 - 8:22MIAAnthony 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)49
31.3%
58
68.7%
Q3 - 8:24MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot47
26.1%
58
73.9%
Q3 - 8:45NOHWest 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 12 AST)47
28.3%
58
71.7%
Q3 - 8:59MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
31.3%
56
68.7%
Q3 - 9:16NOHWest 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)45
29.2%
56
70.8%
Q3 - 9:30MIABosh 19' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)45
32.3%
54
67.7%
Q3 - 9:51MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
29.2%
54
70.8%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
27.1%
54
72.9%
Q3 - 10:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
30.7%
54
69.3%
Q3 - 10:18NOHMISS Paul 4' Layup43
29.8%
54
70.2%
Q3 - 10:22NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
27.6%
54
72.4%
Q3 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
28.5%
54
71.5%
Q3 - 10:39NOHPaul 14' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)43
30.6%
54
69.4%
Q3 - 10:48NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
33.6%
52
66.4%
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot43
34.6%
52
65.4%
Q3 - 11:11NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
38.4%
52
61.6%
Q3 - 11:11NOHOkafor 2' Tip Shot (16 PTS)43
38.4%
52
61.6%
Q3 - 11:12NOHMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
44.0%
50
56.0%
Q3 - 11:34MIABosh 13' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)43
41.5%
50
58.5%
Q3 - 11:46NOHOkafor Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)41
38.3%
50
61.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
34.9%
50
65.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound41
38.3%
50
61.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot41
35.9%
50
64.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)41
39.2%
50
60.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHHORNETS Rebound41
36.9%
50
63.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHMISS Paul 8' Jump Shot41
38.5%
50
61.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)41
36.7%
50
63.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
39.2%
50
60.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
39.6%
49
60.4%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (11 PTS)41
43.0%
48
57.0%
Q2 - 1:07NOHOkafor 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)39
40.0%
48
60.0%
Q2 - 1:26MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)39
44.0%
46
56.0%
Q2 - 1:46NOHBelinelli 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)37
39.9%
46
60.1%
Q2 - 1:50MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)37
44.0%
44
56.0%
Q2 - 2:12NOHPaul 1' Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)37
47.5%
44
52.5%
Q2 - 2:18NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
50.5%
42
49.5%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot37
51.5%
42
48.5%
Q2 - 2:42NOHOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)37
53.7%
42
46.3%
Q2 - 2:42NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 237
54.9%
41
45.1%
Q2 - 3:01MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)37
54.4%
41
45.6%
Q2 - 3:25NOHThornton 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)34
48.7%
41
51.3%
Q2 - 3:44MIAWade 3' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS)34
51.2%
39
48.8%
Q2 - 3:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
48.6%
39
51.4%
Q2 - 3:52NOHMISS Paul 32' 3PT Jump Shot32
47.5%
39
52.5%
Q2 - 4:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
45.8%
39
54.2%
Q2 - 4:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)31
45.2%
39
54.8%
Q2 - 4:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
43.1%
39
56.9%
Q2 - 4:21MIAOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)30
40.9%
39
59.1%
Q2 - 4:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
43.1%
39
56.9%
Q2 - 4:28NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot30
42.1%
39
57.9%
Q2 - 4:51NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
39.9%
39
60.1%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot30
40.9%
39
59.1%
Q2 - 5:13NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
44.0%
39
56.0%
Q2 - 5:20NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
41.1%
39
58.9%
Q2 - 5:21MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot30
42.0%
39
58.0%
Q2 - 5:26MIAHeat Rebound30
43.9%
39
56.1%
Q2 - 5:26MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot30
42.0%
39
58.0%
Q2 - 5:43NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
43.9%
39
56.1%
Q2 - 6:04MIAHouse 1' Layup (4 PTS)30
50.1%
36
49.9%
Q2 - 6:09NOHGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
47.7%
36
52.3%
Q2 - 6:18NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
44.4%
36
55.6%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
45.4%
36
54.6%
Q2 - 6:28MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
47.7%
36
52.3%
Q2 - 6:29NOHMISS West 8' Jump Shot28
46.7%
36
53.3%
Q2 - 6:49NOHHORNETS Rebound28
44.4%
36
55.6%
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot28
45.4%
36
54.6%
Q2 - 7:00NOHBayless Foul Turnover (P1.T3)28
47.7%
36
52.3%
Q2 - 7:24MIAHaslem 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (House 2 AST)28
45.5%
36
54.5%
Q2 - 7:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
42.9%
36
57.1%
Q2 - 7:45NOHMISS Bayless 14' Jump Shot26
42.0%
36
58.0%
Q2 - 8:04MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS)26
41.3%
36
58.7%
Q2 - 8:20NOHWest 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)24
38.8%
36
61.2%
Q2 - 8:40NOHMbenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
41.2%
34
58.8%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot24
42.1%
34
57.9%
Q2 - 8:57NOHThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)24
43.9%
34
56.1%
Q2 - 9:16MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)24
49.8%
31
50.2%
Q2 - 9:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
44.7%
31
55.3%
Q2 - 9:34NOHMISS Mbenga 9' Hook Shot21
43.9%
31
56.1%
Q2 - 9:58MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)21
42.0%
31
58.0%
Q2 - 10:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
40.0%
31
60.0%
Q2 - 10:07NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot19
39.1%
31
60.9%
Q2 - 10:18NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
37.3%
31
62.7%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
38.1%
31
61.9%
Q2 - 10:34NOHSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
39.9%
31
60.1%
Q2 - 10:55MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)19
37.3%
31
62.7%
Q2 - 11:10NOHMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 117
35.2%
31
64.8%
Q2 - 11:10NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
35.5%
31
64.5%
Q2 - 11:10NOHSmith 2' Putback Layup (8 PTS)17
35.5%
31
64.5%
Q2 - 11:10NOHMISS Ariza 19' Jump Shot17
39.5%
29
60.5%
Q2 - 11:34NOHBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot17
38.5%
29
61.5%
Q2 - 11:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
40.2%
29
59.8%
Q2 - 11:42NOHMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
39.4%
29
60.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
40.2%
29
59.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Okafor 20' Jump Shot17
40.2%
29
59.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)17
38.8%
29
61.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0NOHGreen 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
36.1%
29
63.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
38.8%
27
61.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot15
39.3%
27
60.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
40.7%
27
59.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0NOHMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot15
40.1%
27
59.9%
Q1 - 1:02NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
40.1%
27
59.9%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot15
40.6%
27
59.4%
Q1 - 1:19NOHOkafor 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)15
41.7%
27
58.3%
Q1 - 1:33NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
44.6%
25
55.4%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot15
45.1%
25
54.9%
Q1 - 1:58NOHOkafor 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS)15
46.3%
25
53.7%
Q1 - 2:17MIAHouse 11' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
49.7%
23
50.3%
Q1 - 2:50NOHSmith 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)13
47.1%
23
52.9%
Q1 - 3:00NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
49.7%
21
50.3%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot13
50.9%
21
49.1%
Q1 - 3:32NOHSmith 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)13
52.5%
21
47.5%
Q1 - 3:45MIAWade 1' Layup (6 PTS)13
54.7%
19
45.3%
Q1 - 3:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
52.5%
19
47.5%
Q1 - 3:53NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
50.1%
19
49.9%
Q1 - 3:53NOHMISS Smith 3' Tip Shot11
51.7%
19
48.3%
Q1 - 3:55NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot11
51.7%
19
48.3%
Q1 - 4:06NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
50.7%
19
49.3%
Q1 - 4:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
53.2%
19
46.8%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Anthony 3' Tip Shot11
51.5%
19
48.5%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
51.5%
19
48.5%
Q1 - 4:11MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
53.1%
19
46.9%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
51.5%
19
48.5%
Q1 - 4:33NOHSmith 2' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)11
53.1%
19
46.9%
Q1 - 5:06NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
55.4%
17
44.6%
Q1 - 5:07MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot11
56.1%
17
43.9%
Q1 - 5:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
57.7%
17
42.3%
Q1 - 5:15NOHMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot11
57.0%
17
43.0%
Q1 - 5:28MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
55.4%
17
44.6%
Q1 - 5:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 5:42NOHMISS Belinelli 22' Jump Shot8
50.6%
17
49.4%
Q1 - 5:52MIAPaul STEAL (1 STL)8
48.9%
17
51.1%
Q1 - 6:07NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)8
51.9%
17
48.1%
Q1 - 6:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
55.9%
14
44.1%
Q1 - 6:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q1 - 6:24NOHAriza Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
54.0%
14
46.0%
Q1 - 6:47MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
51.7%
14
48.3%
Q1 - 7:06NOHOkafor 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)4
50.7%
14
49.3%
Q1 - 7:17NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 7:18MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot4
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 7:26MIAHeat Rebound4
54.7%
12
45.3%
Q1 - 7:26MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot4
53.1%
12
46.9%
Q1 - 7:45NOHAriza 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)4
54.7%
12
45.3%
Q1 - 7:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
58.5%
9
41.5%
Q1 - 7:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
58.1%
9
41.9%
Q1 - 8:17NOHAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)2
57.2%
9
42.8%
Q1 - 8:33NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
61.1%
6
38.9%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot2
61.6%
6
38.4%
Q1 - 8:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.9%
6
37.1%
Q1 - 8:42NOHMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot2
62.4%
6
37.6%
Q1 - 8:58NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
61.1%
6
38.9%
Q1 - 8:59MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot2
61.6%
6
38.4%
Q1 - 9:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
63.7%
6
36.3%
Q1 - 9:28NOHMISS Ariza 4' Jump Shot2
63.1%
6
36.9%
Q1 - 9:34MIAAriza STEAL (1 STL)2
61.9%
6
38.1%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw Technical2
63.6%
6
36.4%
Q1 - 10:05NOHPaul 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
64.2%
6
35.8%
Q1 - 10:18NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
65.5%
4
34.5%
Q1 - 10:20NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
65.5%
4
34.5%
Q1 - 10:20NOHMISS West 2' Layup2
66.8%
4
33.2%
Q1 - 10:22NOHMISS Ariza 3' Driving Layup2
66.8%
4
33.2%
Q1 - 10:32NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
65.5%
4
34.5%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup2
66.1%
4
33.9%
Q1 - 10:54NOHBelinelli 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)2
67.4%
4
32.6%
Q1 - 11:12MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
69.1%
2
30.9%
Q1 - 11:32NOHOkafor 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)0
67.5%
2
32.5%
Q1 - 11:49MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
69.1%
0
30.9%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Anthony: Tip to Arroyo0
70.4%
0
29.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
NOH
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
19
63%
NOH
18
27
67%
Midrange
MIA
16
38
42%
NOH
17
38
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
NOH
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
22
24
92%
NOH
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2867%14.0 / 21
L. James2050%10.0 / 20
C. Bosh1558%7.5 / 13
Z. Ilgauskas10100%5.0 / 5
U. Haslem850%4.0 / 8
J. Jones650%3.0 / 6
E. House420%2.0 / 10
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Okafor2693%13.0 / 14
D. West1550%7.5 / 15
T. Ariza1350%6.5 / 13
C. Paul1346%6.5 / 14
J. Smith1250%6.0 / 12
M. Belinelli850%4.0 / 8
M. Thornton583%2.5 / 3
W. Green450%2.0 / 4
J. Bayless0-0.0 / 2
D. Mbenga0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+13
-13
89
NOH
76
+11
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
NOH
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
106.0
MIA 104.5
NOH 107.9 +3.4
Pace
91.3
88.9
MIA 86.2
NOH 92.3 +6.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
MIA 16.7
NOH 15.6 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.3%
MIA 45.5%
NOH 51.9% +6.4%
TO %
14.4%
13.6%
MIA 12.8% +1.1%
NOH 13.9%
ORB %
25.2%
25.1%
MIA 20.0%
NOH 26.3% +6.3%
FTrt
36.3
29.6
MIA 30.8 +9.3
NOH 21.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
57.4%
MIA 57.6%
NOH 66.7% +9.1%
STL %
7.3%
8.5%
MIA 6.7%
NOH 10.1% +3.4%
BLK %
8.5%
7.6%
MIA 7.7% +5.9%
NOH 1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.0%
MIA 51.1%
NOH 54.5% +3.4%
Rim FG%
64.7%
57.5%
MIA 63.2%
NOH 66.7% +3.5%
Mid FG%
42.2%
42.1%
MIA 42.1%
NOH 44.7% +2.6%
3P %
37.0%
36.0%
MIA 23.8%
NOH 28.6% +4.8%
FT %
76.9%
76.5%
MIA 91.7% +9.3%
NOH 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
32.2%
MIA 24.4%
NOH 34.2% +9.8%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
48.6%
MIA 48.7%
NOH 48.1% +0.6%
3P Att. %
23.5%
19.2%
MIA 26.9% +9.2%
NOH 17.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIANOH
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes24.823.1
Points9396
Rebounds3642
Assists1926
Steals69
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)32 (1)
Field Goals33-7839-79
At-the-Rim FG12-1918-27
Midrange FG16-3817-38
2-Point FG28-5735-65
3-Point FG5-214-14
Free Throws22-2414-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
41.2
20
50%
7
10
3
1
3
0
0
7
7-8
88%
5-14
36%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
39.9
28
67%
10
2
2
2
7
1
2
8
13-13
100%
6-11
55%
1-5
20%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
33.5
15
58%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-12
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
16.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
14.1
2
50%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
28.0
6
50%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
25.8
8
50%
6
0
0
0
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 35
22.4
10
100%
3
0
0
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
18.2
4
20%
2
3
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-7
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
F · 6'6" 218 · 36
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
51%
36
19
6
5
13
0
8
28
22-24
92%
28-57
49%
5-21
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.