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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Cavaliers45%96123
2476ers55%98116
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.1
35.8
33.1
23
94%
12
2
0
1
0
1
5
7
3-5
60%
10-10
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.2
30.8
28.1
16
55%
8
0
1
1
0
2
3
5
6-6
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
53%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 27.9
29.6
27.0
22
54%
3
7
3
1
0
3
0
3
10-12
83%
6-10
2-5
60%
46%
0-5
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.4
28.4
30.1
7
75%
4
0
0
1
0
4
1
3
5-6
83%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 30.4
25.1
30.3
7
58%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.7
27.9
25.4
20
77%
5
4
1
1
0
2
1
4
6-9
67%
4-5
2-4
80%
43%
2-4
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
18.4
24.5
9
55%
2
6
0
1
0
2
1
1
5-5
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
17.2
15.6
4
29%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.4
14.8
2.2
10
68%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-3
67%
4-6
0-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
12.3
15.4
5
87%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
7.9
0
1-2
50%
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.1
4.0
0
0-1
44%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 21.8
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.4
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.4
38.6
32.4
29
71%
2
8
2
2
1
0
1
1
6-8
75%
7-12
4-7
58%
48%
3-5
60%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.9
32.0
18.2
15
75%
4
2
2
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
44%
3-5
60%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.7
30.0
34.6
20
70%
2
1
2
1
2
2
1
1
4-5
80%
8-12
6-12
67%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
18.2
36.7
7
44%
2
4
0
2
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
5-9
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.5
6.3
15.5
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.7
26.3
5.1
8
67%
7
2
1
0
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-6
1-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.0
25.5
25.0
16
52%
2
5
1
1
0
2
2
0
2-3
67%
7-11
3-6
64%
50%
0-3
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.0
25.0
24.2
5
34%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
14.1
22.6
5
51%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.3
12.2
12.3
8
82%
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
1
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.8
6.9
9.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.7
5.0
1.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.