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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 3, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Grizzlies36%103109
22Warriors64%107115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.2
45.5
35.5
35
71%
7
3
2
1
0
3
1
6
3-4
75%
10-16
6-13
63%
49%
4-7
57%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
44.0
34.7
18
56%
7
13
3
2
0
3
0
7
5-7
71%
5-8
5-10
63%
46%
1-5
20%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
36.9
31.3
23
55%
2
5
1
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-15
4-8
40%
47%
3-5
60%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.8
31.2
29.7
10
65%
8
2
1
1
1
4
2
6
4-6
67%
3-5
4-7
60%
54%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
27.8
30.5
10
56%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-9
5-11
56%
46%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
19.3
17.5
7
51%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 19.6
11.8
13.3
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.7
10.2
13.4
4
53%
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
2-4
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.5
4.6
2.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.8
4.5
15.3
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.8
4.1
11.8
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 23.8
5.0
0
1-1
45%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.3
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.9
42.9
33.0
25
68%
6
0
2
1
2
3
1
5
2-3
67%
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
7-13
54%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.0
42.6
35.7
39
57%
9
8
3
2
0
4
2
7
14-19
74%
11-21
7-14
52%
50%
1-5
20%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
36.9
26.2
15
39%
16
2
3
1
1
2
9
7
5-5
100%
5-17
6-10
29%
55%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
30.1
21.7
2
33%
5
3
1
1
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-4
33%
60%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.6
19.5
17.3
7
47%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.1
33.5
23.1
16
61%
4
8
1
1
0
4
0
4
4-5
80%
3-7
2-5
43%
53%
2-4
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
15.8
12.0
6
50%
1
2
1
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.6
12.5
11.2
3
75%
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-2
50%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
6.2
12.1
2
29%
3
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
0-1
0%
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
15.9
0
3-6
54%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.2
11.5
1
1-3
46%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 24.7
3.9
0
0-1
49%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.