FinalWin Prob.pScore
741%100
102
659%103
101
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
112.19182.8
DEN logo DEN
114.88897.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN102
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound102
96.4%
101
3.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENMISS Anthony 22' Jump Shot102
95.2%
101
4.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)102
60.0%
101
40.0%
Q4 - 0:08.0DALMavericks Rebound102
86.9%
101
13.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot102
70.0%
101
30.0%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)102
79.1%
101
20.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENAnthony Putback Dunk (20 PTS)102
79.1%
101
20.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup102
94.0%
99
6.0%
Q4 - 0:48.0DALTerry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)102
84.5%
99
15.5%
Q4 - 1:07DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)102
89.6%
99
10.4%
Q4 - 1:11DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot102
83.7%
99
16.3%
Q4 - 1:26DALKidd REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)102
87.6%
99
12.4%
Q4 - 1:27DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Running Jump Shot102
82.1%
99
17.9%
Q4 - 1:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)102
84.4%
99
15.6%
Q4 - 1:49DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
82.0%
99
18.0%
Q4 - 1:59DALButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)102
76.3%
99
23.7%
Q4 - 2:22DENAnthony 5' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)99
57.9%
99
42.1%
Q4 - 2:39DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Kidd 12 AST)99
65.1%
97
34.9%
Q4 - 2:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)97
55.6%
97
44.4%
Q4 - 2:53DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot97
51.3%
97
48.7%
Q4 - 3:11DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)97
41.0%
97
59.0%
Q4 - 3:11DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
45.7%
97
54.3%
Q4 - 3:16DALButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
56.6%
97
43.4%
Q4 - 3:18DENMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup97
51.9%
97
48.1%
Q4 - 3:33DALNowitzki 2' Layup (33 PTS)97
42.4%
97
57.6%
Q4 - 3:45DALButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
34.0%
97
66.0%
Q4 - 3:46DENMISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot95
31.3%
97
68.7%
Q4 - 4:14DALNowitzki 1' Driving Layup (31 PTS)95
25.1%
97
74.9%
Q4 - 4:37DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)93
18.8%
97
81.2%
Q4 - 4:59DALNowitzki Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)93
24.9%
95
75.1%
Q4 - 5:26DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)93
34.9%
95
65.1%
Q4 - 5:38DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
50.9%
92
49.1%
Q4 - 5:39DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot93
53.7%
92
46.3%
Q4 - 5:58DENAfflalo Layup (14 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)93
60.0%
92
40.0%
Q4 - 6:02DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)93
64.7%
90
35.3%
Q4 - 6:04DALMISS Butler 2' Tip Shot93
66.9%
90
33.1%
Q4 - 6:04DALButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
71.7%
90
28.3%
Q4 - 6:05DALMISS Butler 1' Layup93
66.9%
90
33.1%
Q4 - 6:07DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)93
71.8%
90
28.2%
Q4 - 6:09DALAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)93
67.0%
90
33.0%
Q4 - 6:17DALKidd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)93
71.8%
90
28.2%
Q4 - 6:21DALMISS Nowitzki 2' Driving Dunk93
67.0%
90
33.0%
Q4 - 6:38DENLawson Foul Turnover (P1.T12)93
71.9%
90
28.1%
Q4 - 6:57DALHaywood 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)93
64.9%
90
35.1%
Q4 - 7:24DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)93
69.7%
90
30.3%
Q4 - 7:24DENAnthony 2' Tip Shot (14 PTS)93
69.7%
90
30.3%
Q4 - 7:27DENMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup93
78.6%
88
21.4%
Q4 - 7:32DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)93
74.9%
88
25.1%
Q4 - 7:34DALMISS Haywood 21' Jump Shot93
76.6%
88
23.4%
Q4 - 7:58DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
80.2%
88
19.8%
Q4 - 7:59DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
78.7%
88
21.3%
Q4 - 8:12DALBarea 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)93
73.1%
88
26.9%
Q4 - 8:31DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)91
67.6%
88
32.4%
Q4 - 8:35DALNowitzki Layup (29 PTS) (Kidd 11 AST)91
77.9%
85
22.1%
Q4 - 8:53DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)89
73.1%
85
26.9%
Q4 - 8:59DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
82.1%
82
17.9%
Q4 - 9:00DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot89
83.2%
82
16.8%
Q4 - 9:13DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T11)89
83.6%
82
16.4%
Q4 - 9:26DALBarea Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)89
80.1%
82
19.9%
Q4 - 9:46DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
83.7%
82
16.3%
Q4 - 9:49DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
82.7%
82
17.3%
Q4 - 9:56DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)89
80.2%
82
19.8%
Q4 - 9:58DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Turnaround Jump Shot89
81.3%
82
18.7%
Q4 - 10:09DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw Technical89
82.0%
82
18.0%
Q4 - 10:22DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
82.0%
82
18.0%
Q4 - 10:24DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
81.0%
82
19.0%
Q4 - 10:33DALNowitzki 3' Finger Roll Layup (27 PTS)89
78.4%
82
21.6%
Q4 - 10:50DENSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)87
74.4%
82
25.6%
Q4 - 11:09DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)87
68.3%
82
31.7%
Q4 - 11:27DENHarrington 3' Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)85
63.5%
82
36.5%
Q4 - 11:37DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
68.4%
80
31.6%
Q4 - 11:38DALMISS Marion 6' Running Jump Shot85
69.8%
80
30.2%
Q4 - 11:49DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)85
72.9%
80
27.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL84
68.4%
80
31.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENHarrington 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)84
66.9%
80
33.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0DALBillups STEAL (1 STL)84
71.7%
78
28.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0DENLawson 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)84
75.3%
78
24.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALHaywood 1' Dunk (2 PTS)84
79.3%
76
20.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
75.4%
76
24.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0DALMISS Terry 22' Jump Shot82
72.9%
76
27.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
75.4%
76
24.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
71.8%
76
28.2%
Q3 - 0:59.0DENMISS Smith 1' Putback Dunk82
74.3%
76
25.7%
Q3 - 1:01DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
73.0%
76
27.0%
Q3 - 1:07DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
70.5%
76
29.5%
Q3 - 1:09DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper82
71.7%
76
28.3%
Q3 - 1:36DENSmith 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)82
74.2%
76
25.8%
Q3 - 1:44DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
78.1%
74
21.9%
Q3 - 1:45DALMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot82
79.0%
74
21.0%
Q3 - 1:56DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)82
81.0%
74
19.0%
Q3 - 1:58DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
80.2%
74
19.8%
Q3 - 2:17DALButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST)82
76.3%
74
23.7%
Q3 - 2:41DENHarrington 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)79
68.9%
74
31.1%
Q3 - 2:46DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
72.9%
72
27.1%
Q3 - 2:47DALMISS Marion 19' Jump Shot79
74.0%
72
26.0%
Q3 - 3:07DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)79
75.2%
72
24.8%
Q3 - 3:16DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)79
81.2%
69
18.8%
Q3 - 3:37DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)77
78.5%
69
21.5%
Q3 - 3:52DALButler 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)77
83.8%
66
16.2%
Q3 - 4:00DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
81.4%
66
18.6%
Q3 - 4:02DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)75
77.1%
66
22.9%
Q3 - 4:02DENMISS Anthony 1' Tip Shot75
79.6%
66
20.4%
Q3 - 4:03DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
79.6%
66
20.4%
Q3 - 4:13DALChandler Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)75
77.2%
66
22.8%
Q3 - 4:26DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)73
74.6%
66
25.4%
Q3 - 4:44DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)73
80.2%
63
19.8%
Q3 - 4:51DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
74.6%
63
25.4%
Q3 - 4:53DENMISS Harrington 7' Jump Shot70
73.4%
63
26.6%
Q3 - 5:08DALButler 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)70
69.1%
63
30.9%
Q3 - 5:24DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)68
65.9%
63
34.1%
Q3 - 5:43DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
72.7%
60
27.3%
Q3 - 5:44DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot68
73.8%
60
26.2%
Q3 - 6:04DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)68
74.9%
60
25.1%
Q3 - 6:15DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)68
71.5%
60
28.5%
Q3 - 6:15DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)67
71.2%
60
28.8%
Q3 - 6:30DENHarrington 1' Layup (4 PTS)66
68.4%
60
31.6%
Q3 - 6:31DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
71.5%
58
28.5%
Q3 - 6:33DENMISS Forbes 8' Jump Shot66
74.0%
58
26.0%
Q3 - 6:47DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)66
71.6%
58
28.4%
Q3 - 7:09DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
63.3%
58
36.7%
Q3 - 7:10DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
62.2%
58
37.8%
Q3 - 7:18DALHarrington STEAL (3 STL)63
59.6%
58
40.4%
Q3 - 7:32DENForbes Foul Turnover (P1.T8)63
63.4%
58
36.6%
Q3 - 7:53DALButler 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)63
59.6%
58
40.4%
Q3 - 7:58DENAfflalo Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)61
56.1%
58
43.9%
Q3 - 8:18DALChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
51.6%
58
48.4%
Q3 - 8:18DALMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 260
50.4%
58
49.6%
Q3 - 8:18DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)60
51.9%
58
48.1%
Q3 - 8:19DALMISS Terry 3' Driving Layup60
49.1%
58
50.9%
Q3 - 8:36DENAnthony 3' Layup (9 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)60
51.8%
58
48.2%
Q3 - 8:49DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)60
55.4%
56
44.6%
Q3 - 8:49DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
54.8%
56
45.2%
Q3 - 8:52DENAfflalo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)58
51.8%
56
48.2%
Q3 - 9:02DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
47.5%
56
52.5%
Q3 - 9:04DALMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot58
48.7%
56
51.3%
Q3 - 9:21DENAnthony 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)58
51.3%
56
48.7%
Q3 - 9:52DALTerry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)58
54.9%
54
45.1%
Q3 - 9:57DENBillups Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)55
47.7%
54
52.3%
Q3 - 10:08DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)55
43.6%
54
56.4%
Q3 - 10:18DALMavericks Rebound52
36.9%
54
63.1%
Q3 - 10:18DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
34.6%
54
65.4%
Q3 - 10:36DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
36.9%
54
63.1%
Q3 - 10:36DENShel. Williams Tip Shot (6 PTS)52
36.9%
54
63.1%
Q3 - 10:39DENMISS Anthony Layup52
42.7%
52
57.3%
Q3 - 10:50DENNUGGETS Rebound52
40.2%
52
59.8%
Q3 - 10:50DENMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot52
42.7%
52
57.3%
Q3 - 11:18DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
40.1%
52
59.9%
Q3 - 11:18DALChandler 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)52
40.1%
52
59.9%
Q3 - 11:20DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Turnaround Jump Shot50
34.7%
52
65.3%
Q3 - 11:36DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
37.0%
52
63.0%
Q3 - 11:37DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
36.0%
52
64.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN50
33.7%
52
66.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki 1' Layup (20 PTS)50
33.7%
52
66.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)48
30.8%
52
69.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALMISS Terry 21' Jump Shot48
29.4%
52
70.6%
Q2 - 0:17.0DENBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)48
30.8%
52
69.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0DALButler 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)48
37.4%
49
62.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)46
33.7%
49
66.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 246
33.4%
49
66.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
31.3%
49
68.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0DALNowitzki 5' Running Hook Shot (18 PTS)46
34.3%
48
65.7%
Q2 - 1:14DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)44
30.9%
48
69.1%
Q2 - 1:42DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)44
37.6%
45
62.4%
Q2 - 1:44DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
33.8%
45
66.2%
Q2 - 1:46DALMISS Kidd 17' Jump Shot42
32.3%
45
67.7%
Q2 - 2:03DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
34.3%
45
65.7%
Q2 - 2:03DENForbes 2' Layup (12 PTS)42
34.3%
45
65.7%
Q2 - 2:05DENMISS Shel. Williams 3' Layup42
39.2%
43
60.8%
Q2 - 2:20DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
37.0%
43
63.0%
Q2 - 2:22DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot42
38.0%
43
62.0%
Q2 - 2:31DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)42
40.1%
43
59.9%
Q2 - 2:52DALNowitzki 18' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)42
37.1%
43
62.9%
Q2 - 3:07DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)40
34.6%
43
65.4%
Q2 - 3:07DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
31.3%
43
68.7%
Q2 - 3:07DENMISS Anthony 3' Layup40
33.6%
43
66.4%
Q2 - 3:21DALChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
31.3%
43
68.7%
Q2 - 3:21DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
30.5%
43
69.5%
Q2 - 3:21DALMavericks Rebound38
29.2%
43
70.8%
Q2 - 3:21DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot38
27.1%
43
72.9%
Q2 - 3:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)38
29.2%
43
70.8%
Q2 - 3:28DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot38
28.3%
43
71.7%
Q2 - 3:43DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
26.3%
43
73.7%
Q2 - 3:43DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
25.9%
43
74.1%
Q2 - 3:43DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
24.3%
43
75.7%
Q2 - 3:44DENMISS Forbes 14' Running Jump Shot36
23.5%
43
76.5%
Q2 - 3:52DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
21.7%
43
78.3%
Q2 - 3:53DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper36
22.5%
43
77.5%
Q2 - 4:12DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)36
24.4%
43
75.6%
Q2 - 4:12DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
24.6%
42
75.4%
Q2 - 4:31DALChandler Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)36
26.4%
41
73.6%
Q2 - 4:39DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)36
29.1%
41
70.9%
Q2 - 4:40DENMISS Forbes 2' Layup36
28.3%
41
71.7%
Q2 - 4:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
26.4%
41
73.6%
Q2 - 4:52DENMISS Lawson 3PT Jump Shot36
28.3%
41
71.7%
Q2 - 5:21DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)36
26.9%
41
73.1%
Q2 - 5:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
22.5%
41
77.5%
Q2 - 5:38DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
21.9%
41
78.1%
Q2 - 5:44DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
20.5%
41
79.5%
Q2 - 5:46DALMISS Nowitzki 1' Reverse Layup33
21.1%
41
78.9%
Q2 - 5:54DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
22.5%
41
77.5%
Q2 - 5:55DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
21.9%
41
78.1%
Q2 - 6:16DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)33
20.9%
41
79.1%
Q2 - 6:16DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)32
20.7%
41
79.3%
Q2 - 6:23DENHarrington 1' Layup (2 PTS)31
19.3%
41
80.7%
Q2 - 6:25DALHarrington STEAL (2 STL)31
20.8%
39
79.2%
Q2 - 6:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
23.1%
39
76.9%
Q2 - 6:29DENMISS Forbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
22.4%
39
77.6%
Q2 - 6:48DALBarea Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
20.8%
39
79.2%
Q2 - 6:48DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
20.5%
39
79.5%
Q2 - 7:12DENForbes 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)29
19.6%
39
80.4%
Q2 - 7:18DALAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)29
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 7:23DALCardinal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
23.3%
37
76.7%
Q2 - 7:26DENMISS Afflalo 3' Layup29
22.7%
37
77.3%
Q2 - 7:36DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 7:38DALMISS Cardinal 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
21.9%
37
78.1%
Q2 - 7:54DENForbes 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)29
23.3%
37
76.7%
Q2 - 8:09DALMarion 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)29
25.7%
35
74.3%
Q2 - 8:28DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)27
23.7%
35
76.3%
Q2 - 8:38DENNUGGETS Rebound27
25.6%
33
74.4%
Q2 - 8:39DALMISS Marion 10' Jump Shot27
26.3%
33
73.7%
Q2 - 8:55DENAfflalo 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)27
27.8%
33
72.2%
Q2 - 8:59DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q2 - 9:01DALForbes BLOCK (1 BLK)27
30.8%
31
69.2%
Q2 - 9:25DENForbes 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
32.4%
31
67.6%
Q2 - 9:38DALHarrington STEAL (1 STL)27
34.6%
29
65.4%
Q2 - 9:43DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
37.1%
29
62.9%
Q2 - 9:47DENMISS Afflalo 1' Layup27
36.4%
29
63.6%
Q2 - 9:52DALForbes STEAL (1 STL)27
34.6%
29
65.4%
Q2 - 10:06DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
37.1%
29
62.9%
Q2 - 10:07DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 227
36.8%
29
63.2%
Q2 - 10:07DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 227
35.3%
29
64.7%
Q2 - 10:13DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
34.5%
29
65.5%
Q2 - 10:15DALMISS Marion Layup27
35.3%
29
64.7%
Q2 - 10:19DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
37.1%
29
62.9%
Q2 - 10:22DENMISS Harrington 1' Driving Layup27
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q2 - 10:42DALBarea 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
34.5%
29
65.5%
Q2 - 10:47DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
32.5%
29
67.5%
Q2 - 10:48DENMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot25
31.7%
29
68.3%
Q2 - 11:07DALSmith STEAL (1 STL)25
30.2%
29
69.8%
Q2 - 11:09DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
32.5%
29
67.5%
Q2 - 11:13DENMISS Smith 3' Driving Jump Shot25
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q2 - 11:20DALMarion 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)25
30.2%
29
69.8%
Q2 - 11:43DENAfflalo 8' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS)23
28.3%
29
71.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL23
30.2%
27
69.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound23
32.5%
27
67.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Barea 33' 3PT Jump Shot23
31.1%
27
68.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
32.2%
27
67.8%
Q1 - 0:18.0DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
34.8%
25
65.2%
Q1 - 0:18.0DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
34.4%
25
65.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
32.2%
25
67.8%
Q1 - 0:20.0DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
31.1%
25
68.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
32.3%
25
67.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENMISS Billups 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup21
31.7%
25
68.3%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALMarion 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)21
30.5%
25
69.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
26.5%
25
73.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot19
27.0%
25
73.0%
Q1 - 1:17DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
28.4%
25
71.6%
Q1 - 1:17DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
28.7%
24
71.3%
Q1 - 1:22DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)19
30.9%
23
69.1%
Q1 - 1:40DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)17
28.4%
23
71.6%
Q1 - 1:40DENNUGGETS Rebound17
27.0%
23
73.0%
Q1 - 1:41DENMISS Lawson 15' Running Jump Shot17
27.9%
23
72.1%
Q1 - 2:05DALNowitzki 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)17
27.2%
23
72.8%
Q1 - 2:22DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)15
25.2%
23
74.8%
Q1 - 2:40DALNowitzki 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)15
29.0%
20
71.0%
Q1 - 3:03DALMavericks Rebound13
27.3%
20
72.7%
Q1 - 3:03DALMISS Kidd 16' Jump Shot13
26.0%
20
74.0%
Q1 - 3:09DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
27.2%
20
72.8%
Q1 - 3:11DENMISS Smith 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup13
26.7%
20
73.3%
Q1 - 3:25DALHaywood Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)13
25.4%
20
74.6%
Q1 - 3:38DENBillups 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)13
27.2%
20
72.8%
Q1 - 3:48DENNUGGETS Rebound13
29.0%
18
71.0%
Q1 - 3:48DENMISS Anthony 2' Reverse Layup13
30.4%
18
69.6%
Q1 - 4:04DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 4:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
27.3%
18
72.7%
Q1 - 4:16DENMISS Anthony 23' Jump Shot11
26.7%
18
73.3%
Q1 - 4:34DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
25.4%
18
74.6%
Q1 - 4:35DALMISS Jones Driving Layup11
26.0%
18
74.0%
Q1 - 4:52DENForbes 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)11
27.3%
18
72.7%
Q1 - 5:03DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
29.2%
16
70.8%
Q1 - 5:07DALAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)11
29.8%
16
70.2%
Q1 - 5:30DENShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
31.2%
16
68.8%
Q1 - 5:30DENShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
31.6%
15
68.4%
Q1 - 5:49DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)11
32.8%
14
67.2%
Q1 - 5:58DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
29.4%
14
70.6%
Q1 - 5:59DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
28.8%
14
71.2%
Q1 - 6:15DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 6:16DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot8
28.2%
14
71.8%
Q1 - 6:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
29.4%
14
70.6%
Q1 - 6:30DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
28.9%
14
71.1%
Q1 - 6:46DALChandler 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)8
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 6:48DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 6:50DALMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 7:14DENForbes 6' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 7:32DENNUGGETS Rebound6
27.8%
12
72.2%
Q1 - 7:32DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Turnaround Bank Shot6
28.3%
12
71.7%
Q1 - 7:50DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
29.6%
12
70.4%
Q1 - 7:50DENAfflalo 2' Layup (5 PTS)6
29.6%
12
70.4%
Q1 - 7:50DENMISS Forbes 3PT Jump Shot6
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 7:59DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 8:00DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 8:00DENMISS Anthony 1' Tip Shot6
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 8:03DENMISS Anthony Layup6
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 8:07DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
31.4%
10
68.6%
Q1 - 8:08DALMISS Nowitzki 1' Layup6
31.9%
10
68.1%
Q1 - 8:27DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Forbes 2 AST)6
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 8:39DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
36.7%
7
63.3%
Q1 - 8:41DALMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot6
37.3%
7
62.7%
Q1 - 8:47DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.5%
7
61.5%
Q1 - 8:48DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
38.0%
7
62.0%
Q1 - 8:58DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
36.7%
7
63.3%
Q1 - 9:01DENMISS Forbes 18' Jump Shot6
38.2%
7
61.8%
Q1 - 9:06DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 9:10DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
37.5%
7
62.5%
Q1 - 9:29DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
38.7%
7
61.3%
Q1 - 9:36DALButler 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)6
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 9:47DENShel. Williams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)4
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 10:17DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 10:36DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:37DENMISS Anthony 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 10:58DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 11:00DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Turnaround Jump Shot2
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 11:19DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)2
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 11:41DALTerry 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Shel. Williams vs. Chandler: Tip to Nowitzki0
40.1%
0
59.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.07 53.7%
DEN
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
18
26
69%
DEN
24
42
57%
Midrange
DAL
14
43
33%
DEN
7
19
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
DEN
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
Free Throws
DAL
17
19
89%
DEN
9
12
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3553%17.5 / 33
J. Terry2067%10.0 / 15
C. Butler1657%8.0 / 14
T. Chandler990%4.5 / 5
J. Barea975%4.5 / 6
S. Marion844%4.0 / 9
J. Kidd325%1.5 / 6
B. Haywood250%1.0 / 2
D. Jones0-0.0 / 1
B. Cardinal0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2048%10.0 / 21
A. Afflalo1777%8.5 / 11
C. Billups1667%8.0 / 12
A. Harrington1653%8.0 / 15
G. Forbes1250%6.0 / 12
T. Lawson945%4.5 / 10
S. Williams675%3.0 / 4
J. Smith531%2.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
78
+17
-13
95
DEN
77
+17
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.07 53.7%
DEN
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.5
112.7
DAL 112.1
DEN 114.8 +2.7
Pace
91.5
95.2
DAL 82.8
DEN 97.6 +14.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
14.3
DAL 17.4
DEN 14.7 +2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.5%
52.6%
DAL 50.6%
DEN 51.7% +1.1%
TO %
14.7%
14.5%
DAL 13.2%
DEN 11.3% +1.9%
ORB %
24.1%
23.8%
DAL 31.6% +3.3%
DEN 28.3%
FTrt
28.6
36.7
DAL 22.6 +9.1
DEN 13.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.7%
57.6%
DAL 56.4%
DEN 61.0% +4.6%
STL %
7.4%
7.7%
DAL 6.6%
DEN 8.0% +1.4%
BLK %
6.8%
6.8%
DAL 8.2% +3.9%
DEN 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
56.3%
DAL 53.7% +1.6%
DEN 52.1%
Rim FG%
62.5%
58.5%
DAL 69.2% +12.1%
DEN 57.1%
Mid FG%
44.0%
40.0%
DAL 32.6%
DEN 36.8% +4.2%
3P %
36.5%
38.8%
DAL 46.7% +11.0%
DEN 35.7%
FT %
77.7%
76.6%
DAL 89.5% +14.5%
DEN 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
42.5%
DAL 31.0%
DEN 47.2% +16.2%
Mid Att. %
42.8%
31.8%
DAL 51.2%
DEN 21.3% +29.8%
3P Att. %
27.4%
25.8%
DAL 17.9%
DEN 31.5% +13.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDALDEN
Possessions9188
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points102101
Rebounds4539
Assists2225
Steals67
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)26 (2)
Field Goals39-8441-89
At-the-Rim FG18-2624-42
Midrange FG14-437-19
2-Point FG32-6931-61
3-Point FG7-1510-28
Free Throws17-199-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 32
39.0
35
53%
12
3
1
0
2
3
2
10
5-6
83%
15-31
48%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 38
38.3
3
25%
3
12
3
1
1
2
3
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
37.6
20
67%
3
4
1
0
4
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-8
25%
4-5
80%
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
34.9
16
57%
7
1
1
0
0
5
2
5
0-0
-
5-11
45%
2-3
67%
C · 7'1" 240 · 28
29.3
9
90%
9
1
0
1
1
3
3
6
3-4
75%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32
22.1
8
44%
6
1
0
2
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
16.4
9
75%
0
0
0
0
3
2
0
0
3-3
100%
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 263 · 31
15.8
2
50%
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 22
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 34
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30
C · 6'11" 262 · 24
#3 · G · 6'2" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · C · 7'2" 248 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F · 6'10" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
54%
45
22
6
5
13
0
12
33
17-19
89%
32-69
46%
7-15
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.